Post by william on Jan 22, 2011 16:24:20 GMT
The Emperor has no clothes? Cooling Planet disproves AGW hypothesis?
This thread is for unusual cooling observations and the general media and public's reaction to the anomalous weather observations.
It appears the planet is starting to cool. When will the general media and the public pick up the change. What will the global average temperature be for 2011?
January global average temperature is now below the satellite era average temperature. The planet is cooling.
The first evidence of cooling climate change is unusually worldwide weather changes.
Planetary temperature patterns are not following the pattern that occurred for past La Nina. Regions that normally do not cool during a La Nina are cooling. Regions that do cooling during a La Nina are cooling more.
There are very large regions of the oceans that are cooling. The regions of the ocean that are cooling are in locations where an increase in GCR is predicted to have the largest effect.
Solar cycle 24 is anomalously low. The solar observational data indicates the sun is moving to a Dalton like or Maunder like minimum. We have had roughly 15 high level solar cycles.
In the past when the sun changed from an active magnetic cycle to a low active magnetic cycle with weak solar wind bursts and with a low extended heliosphere, the planet cooled. What is different this time round, is the relative magnitude of the change and the concurrent change in the geomagnetic field strength.
The geomagnetic field strength has dropped 15% in the last 100 years. The cooling that normally occurs when the geomagnetic field strength decreases and GCR in turn increases has been masked by roughly the roughly 100 year period of increased solar magnetic field strength cycles.
The last two solar cycles in particular have had very strong solar wind bursts which removes cloud forming ions at mid and at tropical latitudes. There has been an unexplained, observed net reduction in planetary cloud cover during the 20th warming period. Roughly 75% of the 20th century warming is attributable to the change in planetary cloud cover.
Comment:
The solar wind bursts create a space charge differential in the ionosphere which in turn removes cloud forming ions by a process that is called electroscavenging from tropical and mid latitudes of the planet. The solar wind bursts occurred during periods when the solar cycle was low and GCR was high and hence masked the normal increase in planetary cloud that would occur during the minimum of each solar cycle.
www.accuweather.com/video/756131056001/bastardi-a-la-nina-that-is-k.asp?channel=vbbastaj
As Joe Bastardi notes, the AGW fan club have dismissed other possible causes of the 20th century warming and have not answered observational evidence that directly changes the AGW hypothesis. (The CO2 AGW hypothesis predicts a cooling of the stratosphere due to an expanding warmer troposphere. The observational evidence shows the stratosphere cooling has not occurred.)
Solar cycle 24 is anomalous and appears to be an abrupt interruption to the solar magnetic cycle. (The mechanism that creates sunspots has been interrupted. There has been unexplained massive hemispheric solar eruptions on the surface of the sun. )
www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=solar-minimum-forecasting
This thread is for unusual cooling observations and the general media and public's reaction to the anomalous weather observations.
It appears the planet is starting to cool. When will the general media and the public pick up the change. What will the global average temperature be for 2011?
January global average temperature is now below the satellite era average temperature. The planet is cooling.
The first evidence of cooling climate change is unusually worldwide weather changes.
Planetary temperature patterns are not following the pattern that occurred for past La Nina. Regions that normally do not cool during a La Nina are cooling. Regions that do cooling during a La Nina are cooling more.
There are very large regions of the oceans that are cooling. The regions of the ocean that are cooling are in locations where an increase in GCR is predicted to have the largest effect.
Solar cycle 24 is anomalously low. The solar observational data indicates the sun is moving to a Dalton like or Maunder like minimum. We have had roughly 15 high level solar cycles.
In the past when the sun changed from an active magnetic cycle to a low active magnetic cycle with weak solar wind bursts and with a low extended heliosphere, the planet cooled. What is different this time round, is the relative magnitude of the change and the concurrent change in the geomagnetic field strength.
The geomagnetic field strength has dropped 15% in the last 100 years. The cooling that normally occurs when the geomagnetic field strength decreases and GCR in turn increases has been masked by roughly the roughly 100 year period of increased solar magnetic field strength cycles.
The last two solar cycles in particular have had very strong solar wind bursts which removes cloud forming ions at mid and at tropical latitudes. There has been an unexplained, observed net reduction in planetary cloud cover during the 20th warming period. Roughly 75% of the 20th century warming is attributable to the change in planetary cloud cover.
Comment:
The solar wind bursts create a space charge differential in the ionosphere which in turn removes cloud forming ions by a process that is called electroscavenging from tropical and mid latitudes of the planet. The solar wind bursts occurred during periods when the solar cycle was low and GCR was high and hence masked the normal increase in planetary cloud that would occur during the minimum of each solar cycle.
www.accuweather.com/video/756131056001/bastardi-a-la-nina-that-is-k.asp?channel=vbbastaj
As Joe Bastardi notes, the AGW fan club have dismissed other possible causes of the 20th century warming and have not answered observational evidence that directly changes the AGW hypothesis. (The CO2 AGW hypothesis predicts a cooling of the stratosphere due to an expanding warmer troposphere. The observational evidence shows the stratosphere cooling has not occurred.)
Solar cycle 24 is anomalous and appears to be an abrupt interruption to the solar magnetic cycle. (The mechanism that creates sunspots has been interrupted. There has been unexplained massive hemispheric solar eruptions on the surface of the sun. )
www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=solar-minimum-forecasting
Solar physicists here at the semiannual meeting of the American Astronomical Society this week offered a number of mechanisms to shed light on what has been happening on the sun of late, but conceded that the final answer—or more likely answers—remains opaque.
"I think we're almost in violent agreement that this is an interesting minimum," said David Hathaway of the NASA Marshall Space Flight Center in Huntsville, Ala. By several measures—geomagnetic activity, weakness of polar magnetic fields, flagging solar deflection of galactic cosmic rays—the minimum was the deepest on record, Hathaway said, although some of those records contain just a few cycles. After hearing his colleagues' various approaches to investigating the sun's behavior, Hill took stock of a field with many open questions.
"My main impression of all this is I'm gratified to see that we all agree that this is an interesting minimum," Hill said. "What's not so gratifying is we have no clue why any of these effects are happening."
)
