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Post by throttleup on Jan 21, 2013 4:33:40 GMT
Welcome Shaggy, we appreciate your insights and experience.
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Post by sigurdur on Jan 21, 2013 6:29:55 GMT
Excellent synopsis Shaggy.
Thank you and please continue posting.
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zaphod
Level 3 Rank
Posts: 210
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Post by zaphod on Jan 21, 2013 14:26:01 GMT
Hello Shaggy, from Essex. Interesting about the peppers, to me that kind of observation can be as revealing as the scientific papers. I am not one of the climate experts, whom I respect greatly for their insights into a complex area of science, but it is vital that the experts give an honest and balanced message to the politicians and public. We are guided by what we see, hear, read and experience. Are you planning to carry on trying with the peppers, or are their other veg/fruit that have become more suitable? There are some good English Coxes and Conference in the shops at present.
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zaphod
Level 3 Rank
Posts: 210
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Post by zaphod on Jan 25, 2013 1:49:37 GMT
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Post by karlox on Jan 31, 2013 6:56:06 GMT
And for me, if you don´t mind, for it´s really annoying to read: "...the German Chancellor, who said there should be no sector of any sort of banking that was outside regulation. Belatedly, the tide may be turning" But in fact she has been totally against any European or independent audit on Germany´s Regional Banks -alike Cajas de Ahorro in Spain- while imposing such controls on elsewhere´s Banking systems such as with Spain etc. Underlying reason is that Landers Banks hide most of Europe´s southern countries sub-prime housing credit granted to Spanish, Greek´s, Irish banks etc, for best inflating our house building bubble... " if we are contributors, if we are not asking for money abroad, then I won´t allow sneakers around my own crap" (that´s the real underlying message) Didn´t such ´respectable´institutions know what was building up in southern Europe plus Ireland through cheap and abundant Euros provided to credit eager citizens and companies? I believe they certainly did know, and they have proceed so we can be now where we are: A nice bunch of european countries are on SALE at cheap prices... meanwhile they´ve made a lot of money through lending to our banks... and this is the way economic social engineering is being used in 21sth century in Europe instead of War for continental primacy. But could twisted policies as such ignore that currently Russia, China and Arab petrodollars are in the GAME? They are more than happy to ´help´Europe... buying it!. Could Germany alone defend ´European Supremacy´ in our own continent? Would we ALL be better off wilth UK leaving EU? Policies both side of the Atlantic are leading both us all to disaster. Third parties might be hitted if a big worldwide crash happens (China, Russia...) but after the crash it might emerge a world in which non-democratic regimes and economies have taken over and displaced down in the ranking US, Japan, Europe and others...
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Post by cuttydyer on Feb 7, 2013 12:38:25 GMT
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zaphod
Level 3 Rank
Posts: 210
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Post by zaphod on Feb 8, 2013 20:58:44 GMT
Interestingly, this page "Advanced climate modelling for policymakers - The new Met Office model increases our confidence that reducing greenhouse gas emissions to 50% of current levels by 2050 would make it possible to meet a 2 °C global warming limit. " at www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate-change/policy-relevant/advancewas last updated as long ago as 6 December 2010. Could heels be dug in?
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Post by cuttydyer on Mar 29, 2013 8:06:10 GMT
The "not helpful" Met Office:Last spring's forecast has been obtained by BBC News under Freedom of Information. The Met Office three-monthly outlook at the end of March stated: "The forecast for average UK rainfall slightly favours drier than average conditions for April-May-June, and slightly favours April being the driest of the three months." A soul-searching Met Office analysis later confessed: "Given that April was the wettest since detailed records began in 1910 and the April-May-June quarter was also the wettest, this advice was not helpful." Julia Slingo explains the difficulty of constructing long-distance forecasts, given the UK's position at the far edge of dominant world weather systems. She says "last year's calculations were not actually wrong because they were probabilistic".(On reading the above, I laughed so hard a little jet of wee came out. Aside from giving me wet trousers, Julia has provided me with my now all time favourite excuse). Link: www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-21967190
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Post by sigurdur on Mar 29, 2013 16:44:37 GMT
News flash: They were wrong.
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Post by karlox on Mar 29, 2013 18:04:50 GMT
Spain´s met office keeps on a very simple season forecast april-june. Mean Temps Mean Precipitations. This one is easy to remember for further checking: APRIL - JUNE FORECAST FROM AEMET
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Post by sigurdur on Mar 29, 2013 18:25:44 GMT
Spain´s met office keeps on a very simple season forecast april-june. Mean Temps Mean Precipitations. This one is easy to remember for further checking: APRIL - JUNE FORECAST FROM AEMETMy Spanish is very limited Karlox. Is the forecast for an average period? The colors would seem to indicate that.
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Post by karlox on Mar 30, 2013 10:58:37 GMT
Spain´s met office keeps on a very simple season forecast april-june. Mean Temps Mean Precipitations. This one is easy to remember for further checking: APRIL - JUNE FORECAST FROM AEMETMy Spanish is very limited Karlox. Is the forecast for an average period? The colors would seem to indicate that. It is april-june, and every single part of Iberian Peninsula plus Canary (Africa) and Balearic Islands are put in ´grey´ which means absolutely normal mean temperatures and precipitations everywhere! This 3 months season forecast are not used to be that simple! Since we are now receiving well above normal precipitations in 70% of the territory that would mean some change to drier than right-before weather .(don´t know about temps currently) I bet this forecast is wrong. Think most of Spain will have average or above average precps in many areas, certainly in april, including always drier southern Spain in this wetter pattern (as it´s been so far in the year) They might be probably right as far as temps, though I believe april will turn out to be colder than average most places. So within a month will see if I am right -based on nothing- or if they´re right, based on models.
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Post by karlox on Mar 30, 2013 11:01:45 GMT
Sorry is light sepia color ´normal or average´ so no yelow or red or blue areas depicted showing any positive or negative anomalies
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Post by cuttydyer on Apr 9, 2013 9:25:53 GMT
From bishop-hill.net: Questions relating to the work of the Met Office on global warming are being put in the UK parliament, and the Met Office is refusing to answer them. Parliamentary Questions have a history going back centuries. Giving answers, or giving a valid reason for not answering, is required. The stand-off is yet to be resolved. The Parliamentary Question that started this was put by Lord Donoughue on 8 November 2012. The Question is as follows. To ask Her Majesty’s Government … whether they consider a rise in global temperature of 0.8 degrees Celsius since 1880 to be significant. [HL3050]Link: www.bishop-hill.net/blog/2013/4/9/questions-to-ministers.html
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Post by nautonnier on Apr 9, 2013 17:52:53 GMT
From bishop-hill.net: Questions relating to the work of the Met Office on global warming are being put in the UK parliament, and the Met Office is refusing to answer them. Parliamentary Questions have a history going back centuries. Giving answers, or giving a valid reason for not answering, is required. The stand-off is yet to be resolved. The Parliamentary Question that started this was put by Lord Donoughue on 8 November 2012. The Question is as follows. To ask Her Majesty’s Government … whether they consider a rise in global temperature of 0.8 degrees Celsius since 1880 to be significant. [HL3050]Link: www.bishop-hill.net/blog/2013/4/9/questions-to-ministers.htmlIt would have been nice to put the question in a slightly different way. The warming from 1800 to 1934 and the warming from 1880 to current day. Ask if the warming in each case was significant and why was the warming 1800 to 1934 as high if not higher than the warming from 1880 to current day given that 'anthropogenic' CO2 was not seen as a problem until after 1950?
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