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Post by nautonnier on Oct 10, 2017 18:57:18 GMT
Interesting graph referenced on WUWT from the climate 'scientists' least favorite Russian - Abdussmatov Seems to agree with Theo's forecast. It was made 3 years ago. The above from Adussmatov I posted a long time ago and when I reported it - the forecast had already been 'in the wild' for 3 years.
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Post by sigurdur on Nov 9, 2017 19:43:34 GMT
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Post by nautonnier on Nov 9, 2017 21:52:19 GMT
That is going to set the cat amongst the pigeons. Leif will be going nuts. However, if you also add the change in the mix of frequencies so the water penetrating frequencies reduce as well as the TSI reduction that could be a really powerful effect on climate. And of course the changes in the Sun are likely to be caused by its motion driven by the chaotic motion of the planets - cue Theo. > I was very careful not to mention Bary******
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Post by blustnmtn on Nov 10, 2017 13:17:54 GMT
Blasphemous! This could lead to burning at the stake.
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Post by nautonnier on Nov 10, 2017 18:11:06 GMT
I joined this site when we were in SC23 and everyone was arguing about SC24. It now looks like we need to start thinking about SC25, how long the Sun will be quiescent before we get there, and, will we notice any rapid ramp up into SC25 at all. I know that Sig will have great sympathy, but it has barely made 70F here today in Florida
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Post by blustnmtn on Nov 10, 2017 19:05:52 GMT
It’s been that way for days and the last 2 spots that came around just kinda dissolved,
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Post by acidohm on Nov 10, 2017 19:16:14 GMT
It’s been that way for days and the last 2 spots that came around just kinda dissolved, One of the last 2 spots was on its 3rd time around, first time it appeared it gave us the highest spot numbers for well over a year!
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Post by acidohm on Nov 10, 2017 19:22:49 GMT
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Post by nautonnier on Nov 10, 2017 20:25:44 GMT
The link is interesting. Effectively, the movement of the magnetic fields is used to forecast what they will do next. My question is why are the magnetic fields moving? I am not sure I can answer that so I may phone my friend Bary****** or perhaps Theo may assist
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Post by acidohm on Nov 10, 2017 20:30:38 GMT
The link is interesting. Effectively, the movement of the magnetic fields is used to forecast what they will do next. My question is why are the magnetic fields moving? I am not sure I can answer that so I may phone my friend Bary****** or perhaps Theo may assist science.jrank.org/pages/6258/Solar-Activity-Cycle-Cause-activity-cycle.htmlFluid dynamics on a massive, hot scale.
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Post by missouriboy on Nov 10, 2017 20:57:13 GMT
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Post by nautonnier on Nov 11, 2017 13:53:29 GMT
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Post by missouriboy on Nov 11, 2017 16:36:48 GMT
Solar Cycle 24 Progression in Comparison to SC22 and SC23The September geomagnetic index value jumped to 19 before dropping again in October. This was the highest monthly value for ALL of SC24. Didn't see that reported anywhere. Our September weather became much warmer than the last half of August. Coincidence?
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Post by nautonnier on Nov 11, 2017 16:52:40 GMT
One of the papers linked to from the www.landscheidt.info site: "SOLAR ROTATION, IMPULSES OF THE TORQUE IN THE SUN'S MOTION, AND CLIMATIC VARIATION T. LANDSCHEIDT
Schroeter Institute for Research in Cycles of Solar Activity
Climatic Change 12 (1988) 265-295 © by Kluwer Academic Publishers
(Received 26 February, 1987; in revised form 30 November, 1987)
Abstract. Running variance analysis and maximum entropy spectral analysis applied to Mount Wilson rotation data yield arguments in favor of a connection between variations in the Sun's rotation rate, energetic X-ray flares, and impulses of the torque (IOT) in the Sun's irregular motion about the barycenter of the planetary system. Such IOT, that have been shown to be related to the secular cycle of solar activity and excursions of the Maunder minimum type, also seem to be linked to outstanding peaks in geomagnetic activity, maxima in ozone concentration, incidence of blocking type circulation, as well as rainfall over Central Europe, England/Wales, eastern United States, and India. Statistical tests, that confirm these links, additionally point to IOT connection with temperature in Central Europe and the number of icebergs that pass south of latitude 48° N. IOT relationship with X-ray flares and strong geomagnetic storms was tested in successful long range forecasts." bourabai.kz/landscheidt/rotation.htm
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Post by nautonnier on Nov 11, 2017 17:03:15 GMT
Link from Jennifer Marohasy's site to the Rhodes Fairbridge paper is broken, here is a working link to the PDF (suggest people save the content as people may be doing a clean up ) faculty.fgcu.edu/twimberley/EnviroPol/EnviroPhilo/Fairbridge.pdfDespite starting almost as a biography, the paper gives a very good grounding in the idea of inertial motion in the Sun affecting solar output and thus changing the Earth's climate as the Earth's systems react to the changes in radiation and geomagnetic effects. It also has a very good list of references for those that have time and inclination to dig deeper.
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