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Post by AstroMet on Jul 27, 2014 21:18:59 GMT
6-10 Day forecast looks nice for late July/early August. It will be for those experiencing autumn-like temperatures in the central, southeastern and eastern US in August. Our Sun is going into hibernation mode, which along with the planetary permutations associated with the Sun's cycles shows lessening sunspot activity that will lead to my forecast for global cooling in 2017. We've been steadily cooling over the last decade and by the time the Sun reaches solar cycle #25, we will effectively be within a globally cooler climate regime. I would not be surprised to see a mini-max of the Sun later this year and continuing through 2015 and 2016 before the Sun finally reaches its minimum phase. The effects of the Earth's climate will continue to be one of extremes as we transition from global warming to global cooling in these final years of solar-forced global warming. The problem, as always, will be in the slow response and lack of preparation by leaders, nations and governments for global cooling as all of the talk has been on 'man-made global warming,' which of course, does not exist. The trending to global cooling is only now becoming more apparent to those who wanted to keep their eyes and ears closed to what was happening in the real world - as temperatures continue to fall, along with anomalous signs of cooling every single year taking place ever more frequently. Cooler temperatures in mid-summer over the central, southeastern and eastern US is more proof of the trending to global cooling, as was last winter. We will see more of this in the years ahead before global cooling becomes official.
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Post by AstroMet on Jul 29, 2014 19:37:59 GMT
The prospect of a temperate, green climate as opposed to the scorching heat I've almost grown to expect in Oklahoma summers over the last several years of solar activity is very appealing, like you say, just be in the right place. However, we are not talking about a vacation here, we are talking about possibly millions of displaced people and the complete economic and social disruption that would come with it. I know that it is unscientific, but around here, I really thought that I sensed a season of cooling between SC 23 and 24, and I am a believer. We might be headed for a cooler climate. Oh yes, we certainly are headed for a cooler climate, and a major one at that. Meanwhile, as I have been saying, there will be no 'Super El Nino' this year. And just recently, Australia cut the odds of El Nino, after regions of the tropical Pacific Ocean have cooled. They and other climate centers will now say that the chance of El Nino this year will be 50 percent, after these climate centers issued their alerts all through the spring months. Rather than saying that they busted outright, they will back off, hope everyone forgets their mania and then will return to the falsities of their ENSO 'neutral state,' which does not exist in the first place. Either there is an ENSO cycle or there is not, as there is no neutral in it whatsoever.
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Post by walnut on Jul 30, 2014 2:57:07 GMT
That last 'polar vortex' a week or two ago... I was working out in the (very cold) rain, and I will tell you that there was some sleet or something in that rain. It amounted to some form of winter precipitation, in mid-July, in Oklahoma. My uncle several miles away witnessed the same thing. This uncle, incidentally, is finally conceding that there may be something to my assertions that something is happening to the climate, something cool and not warm.
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Post by AstroMet on Jul 30, 2014 22:05:10 GMT
That last 'polar vortex' a week or two ago... I was working out in the (very cold) rain, and I will tell you that there was some sleet or something in that rain. It amounted to some form of winter precipitation, in mid-July, in Oklahoma. My uncle several miles away witnessed the same thing. This uncle, incidentally, is finally conceding that there may be something to my assertions that something is happening to the climate, something cool and not warm. What is happening is global cooling. There are more people now willing to listen and open their closed minds as to the actual facts of the entire climate matter after two decades of total BS on 'man-made global warming,' which is literally impossible according to the laws of physics. And the proof of what I have been forecasting on the climate continues to roll in this July as it was reported by Reuters on July 29, 2014 on the record low temperatures that reflects the trending to global cooling: ATLANTA (Reuters) - Record-breaking low temperatures across the southern United States on Wednesday made July feel more like October, with the mercury dipping to 49 degrees Fahrenheit in Alabama.
In Atlanta, the low was 59 degrees, breaking the previous record of 61 degrees set in 1936, according to the National Weather Service. The normal low for Atlanta is about 71 degrees, the National Weather Service said.
“It was a pretty chilly morning, very pleasant out,” said Jessica Fieux, an Atlanta-based National Weather Service meteorologist.
A jet stream from Canada was causing the unusually low temperatures, said Mark Rose, a National Weather Service meteorologist in Nashville. Tennessee also logged record lows.
“The jet stream is unusually far south,” Rose said. “It's almost right on top of us.”
The entire eastern half of the United States is feeling the chill, the National Weather Service said, with a record-breaking low of 37 degrees at Saranac Lake, New York, where the previous low for the date was 39 degrees set in 2010.
In Alabama, an early-morning low of 59 degrees in Montgomery shattered a record-low of 66 degrees set in 1889, a National Weather Service meteorologist said, with temperatures falling to 49 degrees in Hamilton, close to the Mississippi border, where records have not been regularly kept.
In Macon, Georgia, a record of 62 degrees set in 1920 was shattered when the mercury dipped to 59 degrees early Wednesday.Despite the horrendous lies that have been told about anthropogenic global warming and all of the massive resources and waste of years on 'man-made global warming,' the ignorant, which ranges from non-forecasting climatologists and some meteorologists, to politicians like Al Gore (who hasn't forecasted a single weather event in his entire lifetime) along with careerists and their pundits who opined on and on about something that literally cannot take place on Earth (man-made global warming) - the truth of the matter is that all those years have been utterly wasted in preparing for the threat of true climate change and that is global cooling. For instance, a report just issued today by the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) - a division of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention - stated what I've always known and that is that winter cold kills more than twice as many people as does summer heat. Based on death certificate data from 2006-2010, the report's authors found that "about 2,000 U.S. residents died each year from weather-related causes of death." The CDC report found that 63% of these deaths were attributed to exposure to excessive natural cold, hypothermia or both, while about 31% of these deaths were attributed to exposure to excessive natural heat, heat stroke, sun stroke or all. As we near the Sun's coming hibernation phase into solar cycle #25, we are going to witness a significant pause in our interglacial climate and it is going to become quite cold - even during summer seasons. We are seeing just a slight taste of that in summer 2014 in the northern hemisphere this year. What is coming will be much worse and few are prepared for it because of the madhatter mania, dysfunction and disruption of climate science and meteorology by people who do not and cannot forecast. They will be totally to blame for the lack of preparation for global cooling, so make your extensive shitlist of names and organizations that devoted themselves entirely to the lie of 'man-made global warming' which has wasted 20+ years and billions of dollars on what literally can never happen to the Earth. As for global cooling - prepare yourselves and get all your ducks in a row for what is the true threat of climate change in just a few more years. Many people are already feeling the 'chill' in the air now - during mid-summer.
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Post by glennkoks on Jul 31, 2014 2:19:45 GMT
I think the most "alarming" trend with these last two fronts has been just how far below normal the temps have been.
Breaking very long term records by a degree or two is not "rare" it happens occasionally. But some of the record lows and record low highs have been absolutely crushed. There were places in Oklahoma a few weeks ago that broke the records by 9 and 10 degrees.
If this "polar vortex" weather pattern continues this fall and winter could be down right "eye opening".
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Post by glennkoks on Jul 31, 2014 2:28:17 GMT
26 degrees below normal is pretty substantial Attachments:
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Post by douglavers on Jul 31, 2014 3:48:07 GMT
Looking at the admirable graphic of the "blob" of very cold air which has settled over most of the US, I assume this originated somewhere in the Arctic. Exuding this amount of cold air must have led to an inflow of presumably much milder air. There is no sign of this extra warmth in the COI graph. ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/meant80n.uk.phpHave I misunderstood something? BTW it is noticeable that once the freeze line has been penetrated, there appears to be a step change in the rate of cooling. Wiggle watchers might find the next week interesting!!
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Post by AstroMet on Jul 31, 2014 16:48:02 GMT
I think the most "alarming" trend with these last two fronts has been just how far below normal the temps have been. Breaking very long term records by a degree or two is not "rare" it happens occasionally. But some of the record lows and record low highs have been absolutely crushed. There were places in Oklahoma a few weeks ago that broke the records by 9 and 10 degrees. If this "polar vortex" weather pattern continues this fall and winter could be down right "eye opening". The pattern for this year is really part of what has been trending since 2010 regarding the north/south jet stream from the circumpolar vortex Glenn. We are going to continue to see cooler temperatures, particularly in the central, southeastern and eastern US, with the Great Plains, Upper Midwest and Great Lakes regions much cooler than normal. There will be some spikes of warmer temperatures for them, but the solar year of 2014 will have been cooler-than-normal when all is said and done. The fall season looks cool as well, windy, chillier than normal for these regions, as the western US continues to bake and the drought in California still very much in play.
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Post by glennkoks on Aug 1, 2014 2:32:07 GMT
Astromet,
The million dollar question is when does the pattern change for Europe? It seems to be inversely correlated. A few years ago we were on the warm side of a trough while the Danube was frozen over. Last year East of the Rockies was "frozen" while Europe was relatively mild (if not stormy).
The really frightening scenario is both sides of the pond having cold winters with disruptive shortened growing seasons. Do you see this happening after 2017 as you have forecasted?
Or does the topsy turvy weather caused by a meridional jet continue?
From what I have read the period around 1330 AD was much like what we are experiencing today. Extremes, or extremely cold winters, hot summers, disruptive wet growing seasons changing from year to year. Most likely caused by a more equatorial jet.
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Post by walnut on Aug 1, 2014 3:03:05 GMT
Last two days, have seen formations of geese headed south. Really weird.
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Post by sigurdur on Aug 1, 2014 4:30:45 GMT
Last two days, have seen formations of geese headed south. Really weird. Where are u at again?
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Post by nautonnier on Aug 1, 2014 10:20:12 GMT
Astromet, The million dollar question is when does the pattern change for Europe? It seems to be inversely correlated. A few years ago we were on the warm side of a trough while the Danube was frozen over. Last year East of the Rockies was "frozen" while Europe was relatively mild (if not stormy). The really frightening scenario is both sides of the pond having cold winters with disruptive shortened growing seasons. Do you see this happening after 2017 as you have forecasted? Or does the topsy turvy weather caused by a meridional jet continue? From what I have read the period around 1330 AD was much like what we are experiencing today. Extremes, or extremely cold winters, hot summers, disruptive wet growing seasons changing from year to year. Most likely caused by a more equatorial jet. NW Europe - at least the parts near and around UK are having much warmer temperatures than normal as they are in the northward loop of the jetstream/Ferrel cells.
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Post by walnut on Aug 1, 2014 12:56:24 GMT
Last two days, have seen formations of geese headed south. Really weird. Where are u at again? That is Eastern Oklahoma, south of I40.
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Post by sigurdur on Aug 1, 2014 14:07:31 GMT
That is Eastern Oklahoma, south of I40. Was your observance actual full fledged flocks? Or just a few stragglers in a group?
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Post by walnut on Aug 1, 2014 14:33:03 GMT
They were the organized, medium sized formations of birds drafting off each other, that I would have expected to see in September. My partner had noticed it too, he is becoming concerned that our summer stone quarrying season is coming to an early end.
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