Post by Andrew on Jun 11, 2015 8:22:02 GMT
wattsupwiththat.com/2013/09/07/new-paper-says-no-evidence-of-planetary-influence-on-solar-activity/
New paper says ‘No evidence of planetary influence on solar activity’
Anthony Watts / September 7, 2013
Still no effect: Motion of Barycenter of the solar system relative to the Sun.
“Barycentric” influence of the planets on the sun is just statistically insignificant,
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From the comments. (please ask for relevant comments to be added here)
My bolds
RockyRoad September 7, 2013 at 1:24 pm
“Lots of evidence of solar influence on planetary climate”
There, fixed.
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Leif Svalgaard September 7, 2013 at 1:27 pm
Yeah, turn off the Sun and see what you get.
How about staying on topic…
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1957chev September 7, 2013 at 1:34 pm
Wow….that was a less than intelligent remark, Leif. Why is your mind so closed? Supporters of wind, are supported by wind, same for solar. The climate scare is your only sales gimmick, and you are fighting to hold on to that. Give it up. It’s over…..go home.
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richardscourtney September 7, 2013 at 1:39 pm
Leif is “home”.
He rightly complained at an anonymous troll trying to deflect the thread from its topic.
Your offensive and untrue bluster does not hide those facts.
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Richard Robert Wykoff September 7, 2013 at 1:45 pm
Ooooh, Anthony allowed barycenters on WUWT. Its been a while. The comment section will surely be fun.
kim September 7, 2013 at 1:46 pm
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Oh, c’mon, Leif thinks it’s possible the Sun controls the Earth’s climate. He just doesn’t know how yet, nor whether either.
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David Thomson September 7, 2013 at 3:12 pm
The barycenter signal is seen in the long term climate changes as evidenced by long term cooling and heating of the Earth. Each time the barycenter transits the surface of the Sun, as opposed to moving perpendicular to the surface, solar activity declines and a cooling phase on Earth soon follows.
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David Thomson September 7, 2013 at 3:36 pm
I think you guys are reading this story wrong. It is not about how the Sun affects the Earth, but how the gravitational effects of other planets (namely Jupiter) affects the solar activity.
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Carsten Arnholm September 7, 2013 at 3:30 pm
Regarding the planets’ possible influence on solar activity, I came to a similar conclusion in 2009:
http::/arnholm.org/astro/sun/sc24/sim1/
The current paper appears to be saying there is no statistical evidence. I say there is also no known physical mechanism involving the planets, other than tides, that could influence the Sun, and the tides are miniscule in the extreme.
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David Thomson September 7, 2013 at 3:36 pm
The tidal theory would only affect surface behavior of the Sun. The solar barycenter would be acting on the solid core of the Sun and causing it to move within the surrounding gases and liquids. It is this movement of the core that is supposed to drive the magnetohydrodynamics of solar behavior.
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Carsten Arnholm September 7, 2013 at 4:53 pm
The barycenter is not “solar”. The Barycenter is the center of mass of the solar system. It is not physical in any other way. It cannot “act” on the core of the Sun, being it solid or not. In fact the barycenter cannot act on anything
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David Thomson September 7, 2013 at 5:55 pm
If the center of the solar system is not at the center of the Sun, then why would you not think the Sun would be gravitationally moved? The Sun has no choice, except to be pulled toward the center of the solar system’s gravity. The Sun orbits the center of the solar system the same as the planets do.
Look at the Earth – Moon system. The center of gravity of these two bodies is neither in the Earth nor the Moon, yet both orbit the barycenter. The Sun does the same thing
The Sun’s orbit around the solar barycenter is wildly variable on the scale of hundreds of years. The variability is what shakes up the Sun’s core and modulates its magnetohydrodynamic systems.
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Leif Svalgaard September 7, 2013 at 9:08 pm
>>David Thomson says:
>>September 7, 2013 at 5:55 pm
>>Look at the Earth – Moon system. The center of gravity of these two bodies is neither in the Earth nor the Moon, yet both orbit >>the barycenter. The Sun does the same thing.
Great confusion here. The Earth+Moon orbits the center of the Sun as do all other planet+moon systems. You do not need to understand the theory [although it is simple enough]. We have very precise measurements of the Earth’s orbit and they show that the E+M orbit the center of the Sun. A simple consequence hereof is the measured value of TSI which varies with the square of the distance to the center.
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Leif Svalgaard says:
September 7, 2013 at 8:53 pm
The tidal forces do not care what material the Sun is made of.
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David Thomson September 8, 2013 at 8:37 am
If the mass of the Sun is primarily at its core, then yes, the tidal forces do care what material the Sun is made of. There would be more inertia with the core than their would be with the Sun’s upper layers. It would be a viscous wobble, which would explain the mechanism of the Sun’s magnetohydrodynamics.
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Bart September 10, 2013 at 2:36 pm
Those of you arguing about what bodies or barycenters are orbiting about need to define what you mean by “orbit”. The solar system barycenter is simply a reference point whose motion about the galactic core is independent of the local gravitational influences. Bodies “orbit” about it in the sense that they follow trajectories which place them in recurring positions relative to it, but these “orbits” are not Keplerian, i.e., not simple ellipses which obey Kepler’s Laws.
The fundamental misconception at large appears to be that bodies moving with respect to the barycenter will react to centrifugal forces which intuitively would increase as the body experienced its closest approach. But, intuition fails in this case. The bodies are in gravitational “free-fall”. Beyond tidal effects, they feel no gravitational or inertial forces whatsoever.
And, those tidal stresses are so very, very small. It does not appear likely, to me at least, that there is a significant gravitational connection between planetary motion and solar activity. However, this is an entirely different question than whether variations in solar activity are responsible for significant variations in the Earth’s climate.
My comment:
Thomson is told the tidal forces do not care what material the Sun is made of and the barycenter cannot act upon anything. Thomson seems to think the sun is being thrown around and therefore the denser materials in the core will wobble more than the surface materials, he knows however we are talking mainly about the gravitational influence of Jupiter.
Galileo showed a bag of feathers surrounding a lump of iron will all fall at the same rate in gravity and by definition in an orbit the gravitational forces balance the inertial forces so nothing is measurable apart from the gravity difference (tide) across the object.
New paper says ‘No evidence of planetary influence on solar activity’
Anthony Watts / September 7, 2013
Still no effect: Motion of Barycenter of the solar system relative to the Sun.
“Barycentric” influence of the planets on the sun is just statistically insignificant,
--------------------------------
From the comments. (please ask for relevant comments to be added here)
My bolds
RockyRoad September 7, 2013 at 1:24 pm
“Lots of evidence of solar influence on planetary climate”
There, fixed.
-----------
Leif Svalgaard September 7, 2013 at 1:27 pm
Yeah, turn off the Sun and see what you get.
How about staying on topic…
-----------
1957chev September 7, 2013 at 1:34 pm
Wow….that was a less than intelligent remark, Leif. Why is your mind so closed? Supporters of wind, are supported by wind, same for solar. The climate scare is your only sales gimmick, and you are fighting to hold on to that. Give it up. It’s over…..go home.
-----------
richardscourtney September 7, 2013 at 1:39 pm
Leif is “home”.
He rightly complained at an anonymous troll trying to deflect the thread from its topic.
Your offensive and untrue bluster does not hide those facts.
-----------
Richard Robert Wykoff September 7, 2013 at 1:45 pm
Ooooh, Anthony allowed barycenters on WUWT. Its been a while. The comment section will surely be fun.
kim September 7, 2013 at 1:46 pm
-----------
Oh, c’mon, Leif thinks it’s possible the Sun controls the Earth’s climate. He just doesn’t know how yet, nor whether either.
-----------
David Thomson September 7, 2013 at 3:12 pm
The barycenter signal is seen in the long term climate changes as evidenced by long term cooling and heating of the Earth. Each time the barycenter transits the surface of the Sun, as opposed to moving perpendicular to the surface, solar activity declines and a cooling phase on Earth soon follows.
------------
David Thomson September 7, 2013 at 3:36 pm
I think you guys are reading this story wrong. It is not about how the Sun affects the Earth, but how the gravitational effects of other planets (namely Jupiter) affects the solar activity.
------------
Carsten Arnholm September 7, 2013 at 3:30 pm
Regarding the planets’ possible influence on solar activity, I came to a similar conclusion in 2009:
http::/arnholm.org/astro/sun/sc24/sim1/
The current paper appears to be saying there is no statistical evidence. I say there is also no known physical mechanism involving the planets, other than tides, that could influence the Sun, and the tides are miniscule in the extreme.
------------
David Thomson September 7, 2013 at 3:36 pm
The tidal theory would only affect surface behavior of the Sun. The solar barycenter would be acting on the solid core of the Sun and causing it to move within the surrounding gases and liquids. It is this movement of the core that is supposed to drive the magnetohydrodynamics of solar behavior.
------------
Carsten Arnholm September 7, 2013 at 4:53 pm
The barycenter is not “solar”. The Barycenter is the center of mass of the solar system. It is not physical in any other way. It cannot “act” on the core of the Sun, being it solid or not. In fact the barycenter cannot act on anything
------------
David Thomson September 7, 2013 at 5:55 pm
If the center of the solar system is not at the center of the Sun, then why would you not think the Sun would be gravitationally moved? The Sun has no choice, except to be pulled toward the center of the solar system’s gravity. The Sun orbits the center of the solar system the same as the planets do.
Look at the Earth – Moon system. The center of gravity of these two bodies is neither in the Earth nor the Moon, yet both orbit the barycenter. The Sun does the same thing
The Sun’s orbit around the solar barycenter is wildly variable on the scale of hundreds of years. The variability is what shakes up the Sun’s core and modulates its magnetohydrodynamic systems.
------------
Leif Svalgaard September 7, 2013 at 9:08 pm
>>David Thomson says:
>>September 7, 2013 at 5:55 pm
>>Look at the Earth – Moon system. The center of gravity of these two bodies is neither in the Earth nor the Moon, yet both orbit >>the barycenter. The Sun does the same thing.
Great confusion here. The Earth+Moon orbits the center of the Sun as do all other planet+moon systems. You do not need to understand the theory [although it is simple enough]. We have very precise measurements of the Earth’s orbit and they show that the E+M orbit the center of the Sun. A simple consequence hereof is the measured value of TSI which varies with the square of the distance to the center.
------------
Leif Svalgaard says:
September 7, 2013 at 8:53 pm
The tidal forces do not care what material the Sun is made of.
------------
David Thomson September 8, 2013 at 8:37 am
If the mass of the Sun is primarily at its core, then yes, the tidal forces do care what material the Sun is made of. There would be more inertia with the core than their would be with the Sun’s upper layers. It would be a viscous wobble, which would explain the mechanism of the Sun’s magnetohydrodynamics.
------------
Bart September 10, 2013 at 2:36 pm
Those of you arguing about what bodies or barycenters are orbiting about need to define what you mean by “orbit”. The solar system barycenter is simply a reference point whose motion about the galactic core is independent of the local gravitational influences. Bodies “orbit” about it in the sense that they follow trajectories which place them in recurring positions relative to it, but these “orbits” are not Keplerian, i.e., not simple ellipses which obey Kepler’s Laws.
The fundamental misconception at large appears to be that bodies moving with respect to the barycenter will react to centrifugal forces which intuitively would increase as the body experienced its closest approach. But, intuition fails in this case. The bodies are in gravitational “free-fall”. Beyond tidal effects, they feel no gravitational or inertial forces whatsoever.
And, those tidal stresses are so very, very small. It does not appear likely, to me at least, that there is a significant gravitational connection between planetary motion and solar activity. However, this is an entirely different question than whether variations in solar activity are responsible for significant variations in the Earth’s climate.
My comment:
Thomson is told the tidal forces do not care what material the Sun is made of and the barycenter cannot act upon anything. Thomson seems to think the sun is being thrown around and therefore the denser materials in the core will wobble more than the surface materials, he knows however we are talking mainly about the gravitational influence of Jupiter.
Galileo showed a bag of feathers surrounding a lump of iron will all fall at the same rate in gravity and by definition in an orbit the gravitational forces balance the inertial forces so nothing is measurable apart from the gravity difference (tide) across the object.