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Post by acidohm on Nov 4, 2015 18:21:53 GMT
The PNW is getting snow!!!! Worrisome as that will prob screw up a warm mid-continent winter. Yep, cold and wet and not what NOAA forecast Wasn't it what the farmers almanac predicted??
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Post by missouriboy on Nov 4, 2015 18:45:03 GMT
Yep, cold and wet and not what NOAA forecast Wasn't it what the farmers almanac predicted?? Outsourcing NOAA work COULD have some advantages. Settled science does seem to have its prediction problems.
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Post by sigurdur on Nov 5, 2015 21:28:33 GMT
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Post by douglavers on Nov 6, 2015 21:09:11 GMT
Looking at the forward temperature projections for the US, it looks like the freeze line is going to be almost on the Gulf coast by 22nd November.
I expect the American contingent will be happy to fly off to a presumably warmer Paris in early December!
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Post by sigurdur on Nov 8, 2015 15:51:03 GMT
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Post by nautonnier on Nov 9, 2015 10:44:41 GMT
I think someone should point out how accurate Astromet's forecast was for this fall and winter. A longer than normal 'Indian Summer' indeed which only now is looking like breaking into a real winter.
Nice one Theo.
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Post by sigurdur on Nov 9, 2015 15:21:34 GMT
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Post by sigurdur on Dec 22, 2015 5:34:47 GMT
That would be expected. But reliability of forecast is so low I don't think anyone knows.
Where is Socold when we need him?
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Post by sigurdur on Jan 1, 2016 20:15:22 GMT
California's are as well. Whole of the West will become a non climate event again. Go figure eh?
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Post by missouriboy on Jan 2, 2016 18:19:08 GMT
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Post by acidohm on Jan 2, 2016 18:34:47 GMT
Hate to break it to you Mboy, but the Express and Mail are the worst papers I know for publishing wild claims on the scetchiest of solid information!! Never listen to them..... Currently the UK is VERY close to succumbing to a cold easterly weather system and has been for a couple of weeks, however the Atlantic keeps it at bay for now.....I have heard from 3 separate sources we are on a knife edge, it really is a case of wait and see. If the cold does come, I suspect it will only become certain with 3 days to go, I have constantly seen cold in the 7-10 day forecast....however it never comes to be. I have also heard it said, as Sig has said, the weather systems are currently extremely unusual (as in unique to our records) which makes it even harder to know what happens next. Tellingly, some of our largest snowfalls have happened late January. ...so it ain't over yet. Just take whatever the Express says with a heavy dose of salt
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Post by missouriboy on Jan 2, 2016 18:35:16 GMT
Is California's Luck Changing?
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Post by missouriboy on Jan 2, 2016 18:47:06 GMT
Some interesting new El Nino stuff on Joe's DAILY update video (12/31). Maps showing Tropical heat loss to space. www.weatherbell.com/
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Post by Andrew on Jan 4, 2016 4:19:07 GMT
Winter has arrived in Helsinki. A small amount of snow so far, -9C now and -24 forecast for Friday with 6kts of wind. -24.6 is the lowest I have seen it since we moved here and there was no wind then. December remained unusually mild all the way to the end of the year.
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Post by acidohm on Jan 4, 2016 5:52:55 GMT
Snow cover has really moved West in the last week www.natice.noaa.gov/pub/ims/ims_gif/DATA/cursnow_asiaeurope.gifAfter an early start in the alps, a snow drought ensued through December (unsurprisingly considering the mild weather). However a dump is imminent. Much has been made of the mild weather on N Europe, an oxford professed has been quoted as saying 'it's only when the public notice dafodills coming up in december that they believe what we've been saying all along' However....surely, as has been happening, when a weather system exists which sucks heat up from the tropics, then this is exactly what it is....weather. If I was an agw advocate, what I'd really be looking for are conditions which usually produce cold. ..eg, a blocking high, producing milder conditions? This has yet to be tested.....
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