|
Post by missouriboy on May 28, 2019 13:58:24 GMT
"An “attack” that is nothing of the sort Yesterday, the New York Times got rather upset over changes to President Trump’s climate policy, which it represented a hardening of his “attack on climate science”. Interestingly though, you have to read quite a lot of words before you actually get to the point – usually a sure sign that there is actually nothing much by way of news and quite a lot by way of hand waving. It turns out that Trump’s attempt to “undermine the very science on which climate change policy rests” is down to this:
>>[Director of the US Geological Survey,] James Reilly, a former astronaut and petroleum geologist, has ordered that scientific assessments…use only computer-generated climate models that project the impact of climate change through 2040, rather than through the end of the century, as had been done previously. <<
To describe this as an “attack” is obviously absurd. Reasonable people can question the ability of climate models to give us useful information about the climate in 20 years’ time, let alone 80. In a GWPF paper published last week, it was pointed out that climate models are overestimating warming in the tropical troposphere by a factor of three. With errors of that magnitude, how much trust can we really put in projections for the end of the century? You would have to be quite an innocent to take them at face value."More at: www.thegwpf.com/attack/ mailchi.mp/6cd6282382fc/press-releaseclimate-models-have-been-predicting-too-much-warming-174401Dr Christy has provided a simple, elegant vehicle for communicating the spectacular failure of the Catastrophic Global Warming Hypothesis, as quantified by current climate models. It's quantifications and conclusions should become "the point of the lance" to impale the Believers in the Court of Public Opinion. And it should be pushed in all possible venues.
|
|
|
Post by nautonnier on May 28, 2019 16:03:52 GMT
I thought, you know, caused blindness? They do have 8 tentacles to keep busy reminds me of
|
|
|
Post by Ratty on May 29, 2019 0:59:03 GMT
I thought, you know, caused blindness? ... and callouses (AU) calluses (US).
|
|
|
Post by flearider on May 30, 2019 14:29:50 GMT
|
|
|
Post by nautonnier on May 30, 2019 14:56:42 GMT
It is very reminiscent of a religion isn't it.
|
|
|
Post by IB DaMann on May 30, 2019 17:18:29 GMT
I thought, you know, caused blindness? ... and callouses (AU) calluses (US). ... and callllllllouses (octopus)
|
|
|
Post by IB DaMann on May 30, 2019 17:22:22 GMT
It is very reminiscent of a religion isn't it. Let's see, punishment for our sins, fear of the disastrous existential ramifications of "disbelief" and of lack of adherence to dogma, hmmm.
|
|
|
Post by nautonnier on May 31, 2019 11:51:37 GMT
|
|
|
Post by nautonnier on Jun 1, 2019 10:51:18 GMT
"Sorry, Alarmists, Climate Chaos Is Not Here
Despite Democrats' cataclysmal framing of every weather event, Americans are safer than ever.
Climate isn’t the same as weather—unless, of course, weather happens to be politically useful. In that case, weather portends climate apocalypse. So warns Elizabeth Warren as she surveyed Iowan rainstorms, which she claims, like tornadoes and floods, are more frequent and severe. “Different parts of the country deal with different climate issues,” Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D–Malthusia) cautioned as she too warned of extreme tornadoes. “But ALL of these threats will be increasing in intensity as climate crisis grows and we fail to act appropriately.”
Sen. Jeff Merkley (D–Ore.) recently sent a fundraising email warning Democrats that climate change was causing “growing mega-fires, extremely destructive hurricanes, and horrific flooding” in which “American lives are at stake.” Even if we pretend that passing a bazillion-dollar authoritarian Green New Deal would do anything to change the climate, there is no real-world evidence that today’s weather is increasingly threatening to human lives. By every quantifiable measure, in fact, we’re much safer despite the cataclysmal framing of every weather-related event.
How many of those taken in by alarmism realize that deaths from extreme weather have dropped somewhere around 99.9 percent since the 1920s? Heat and cold can still be killers, but thanks to increasingly reliable and affordable heating and cooling systems, and other luxuries of the age, the vast majority of Americans will never have to fear the climate in any genuine way. Since 1980, death caused by all natural disasters and heat and cold is somewhere under 0.5 percent..........."More at thefederalist.com/2019/05/30/sorry-alarmists-climate-chaos-not/
|
|
|
Post by blustnmtn on Jun 1, 2019 11:32:09 GMT
Here’s an interesting article about narrow focused experts and how poorly they perform at predicting: www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2019/06/how-to-predict-the-future/588040/“In Tetlock’s 20-year study, both the broad foxes and the narrow hedgehogs were quick to let a successful prediction reinforce their beliefs. But when an outcome took them by surprise, foxes were much more likely to adjust their ideas. Hedgehogs barely budged. Some made authoritative predictions that turned out to be wildly wrong—then updated their theories in the wrong direction. They became even more convinced of the original beliefs that had led them astray. The best forecasters, by contrast, view their own ideas as hypotheses in need of testing. If they make a bet and lose, they embrace the logic of a loss just as they would the reinforcement of a win. This is called, in a word, learning.”
|
|
|
Post by blustnmtn on Jun 1, 2019 22:11:08 GMT
|
|
|
Post by sigurdur on Jun 1, 2019 23:32:46 GMT
|
|
|
Post by missouriboy on Jun 3, 2019 7:49:47 GMT
Tony Heller has a new video out looking at current weather in context with long term trends. Couldn't copy and paste link.
|
|
|
Post by Ratty on Jun 3, 2019 11:34:11 GMT
Tony Heller has a new video out looking at current weather in context with long term trends. Couldn't copy and paste link. This?
|
|
|
Post by missouriboy on Jun 3, 2019 18:36:32 GMT
Tony Heller has a new video out looking at current weather in context with long term trends. Couldn't copy and paste link. This? Yep.
|
|