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Post by nautonnier on May 14, 2016 18:14:35 GMT
Joe Bastardi is saying that the major hurricane years are just after El Nino.
He has just said: Before end of month, mischief from western Caribbean or around FLA may get things started early. Pattern looks interesting 10-20 days
We can expect the normal slew of random guesses as we enter the season. Steve Goddard has said no Elementary School pupil in Florida has seen a hurricane hit Florida. But this year the hurricanes may be back. So I thought a thread may be worthwhile to focus discussion.
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Post by nautonnier on May 14, 2016 20:25:39 GMT
Another one from Joe Bastardi quoting Weather Bell work:
"Updating long standing hurricane ace,impact forecasts for clients,prem members.High impact season for western atlantic basin still message"
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Post by Ratty on May 14, 2016 23:12:18 GMT
Been watching Weather Underground; it seems like weeks since there has been a tripocal storm reported. I was about to ask if their site had a problem: 0 Active Tropical Storm Advisories  |
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Post by nonentropic on May 15, 2016 0:28:34 GMT
There is talk about a storm around southern India. There was a note of disappointment in the news reporters voice when it was said that it may not make the tropical cyclone status.
We can only hope that a real disaster gives them something to rejoice.
Ratty quite a cool central pacific track. That El Nino is long dead and the sister is out of bed. It must give real hope to the disaster mongers.
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Post by Ratty on May 15, 2016 11:06:06 GMT
The MSM in Australia send reporters out to areas that could bear the brunt of tropical storms/cyclones in anticipation of disaster. I ponder circumstances where a reporter - put in harm's way - suffers serious injury or death.
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Post by nautonnier on May 15, 2016 14:34:00 GMT
The MSM in Australia send reporters out to areas that could bear the brunt of tropical storms/cyclones in anticipation of disaster. I ponder circumstances where a reporter - put in harm's way - suffers serious injury or death. Yes until the hurricanes all went quiet we used to get them on the beaches here in Florida, practicing standing leaning at 45 degrees and shouting into a water spray. Sometimes their attempts to talk up hurricanes and floods get caught out. As in this case www.youtube.com/watch?v=cgm3_jzcNm4 |
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Post by Ratty on May 15, 2016 23:19:43 GMT
During a moderately severe cyclone a couple of years back, a reporter was standing in the doorway of the ABC's regional office in Rockhampton when a sheet of corrugated iron few past at speed. The word "decapitation" came to mind.
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Post by dontgetoutmuch on May 18, 2016 1:28:56 GMT
According to Weatherbell, the central gulf coast is in for a bad year...
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Post by Ratty on May 18, 2016 1:55:24 GMT
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Post by sigurdur on May 18, 2016 4:39:44 GMT
How can u stand it Ratty? Where have those extreme events gone?
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Post by acidohm on May 18, 2016 5:15:57 GMT
Anyone else noticed the cold ssta off West Africa? Not exactly a good breeding ground for hurricanes??
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Post by nonentropic on May 18, 2016 9:48:42 GMT
The only ocean running a silly sea current direction or pattern is the Indian. Is this normal?
looks so utterly El Nino, cooling though.
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Post by phydeaux2363 on May 18, 2016 12:12:16 GMT
According to Weatherbell, the central gulf coast is in for a bad year... As much as I respect Weatherbell, I fervently hope they are wrong about that prediction. It took NOLA seven years to to get back to a semblance of normalcy after Katrina, and whilst the upgrades on the flood protection system here are impressive, they are not yet complete. |
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Post by nautonnier on May 18, 2016 14:56:55 GMT
According to Weatherbell, the central gulf coast is in for a bad year... As much as I respect Weatherbell, I fervently hope they are wrong about that prediction. It took NOLA seven years to to get back to a semblance of normalcy after Katrina, and whilst the upgrades on the flood protection system here are impressive, they are not yet complete. Perhaps the Corps of Engineers should have put some turbines at the mouth of the Mississippi to generate electricity and also slow the flow and increase turbidity so that silt was slowed up to be deposited in the barrier islands refreshing them instead of just streaming the silt into the deep Gulf. |
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Post by phydeaux2363 on May 18, 2016 15:17:11 GMT
As much as I respect Weatherbell, I fervently hope they are wrong about that prediction. It took NOLA seven years to to get back to a semblance of normalcy after Katrina, and whilst the upgrades on the flood protection system here are impressive, they are not yet complete. Perhaps the Corps of Engineers should have put some turbines at the mouth of the Mississippi to generate electricity and also slow the flow and increase turbidity so that silt was slowed up to be deposited in the barrier islands refreshing them instead of just streaming the silt into the deep Gulf. No question that putting levees on the Mississippi River has exacerbated wetland and barrier island loss along the coast, thereby contributing to the destructiveness of storms in NOLA. Yours is an interesting idea that I've not heard before. Are there papers on the cost and feasibility of such a plan? A lot of BP money was supposed to be dedicated to projects diverting river silt to wetland remediation and stabilization. Guess what, though? Most of the Louisiana funds are now tied up by an internecine battle between the legislature and the attorney general's office over who should get the bulk of the money. My guess is a big chunk ends up going to more lawyers as the two sides conduct a turf war. And so it always seems to go when you give governments large sums of $$$ |
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