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Post by Ratty on Jun 4, 2016 8:11:16 GMT
Had a look. My eyesight has just now returned to normal.
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Post by nautonnier on Jun 4, 2016 17:08:41 GMT
Had a look. My eyesight has just now returned to normal. You are meant to click on each of the icons to get a full page rendering - you don't need that oil-filled magnifier in front of your screen
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Post by nautonnier on Jun 5, 2016 19:08:18 GMT
What is expected to be called Tropical Storm Colin developing in the Gulf of Mexico. Note as I said before the North East quadrant is where most of the strong storms and winds are in the Northern Hemisphere - the picture is infrared imagery showing the IR being radiated from condensing then freezing water droplets in the storms - a good measure of the convective intensity.
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Post by nautonnier on Jun 6, 2016 8:54:12 GMT
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Post by duwayne on Jun 8, 2016 15:29:08 GMT
I am traveling and yesterday I watched the Weather Channel from my motel room and it had several reports on the "Tropical Storm Collin (spelling? " over Florida. They were breathlessly noting that this was the 3rd "Named" storm this year and that this was the earliest on record that there had been 3 named storms. They reported 50 mile an winds, flooding and likely tornadoes.
They went to a reporter on Daytona Beach which was supposed to be hard hit and he said there was not much happening there.
They went to a reporter who said the maximum winds measured by the reports from the weather buoys was 22 MPH but the wind was probably blowing much harder somewhere.
They switched to a report from a weather plane that had flown into the "Storm" but said it had returned because it couldn't find anything.
They switched to the radar view and marked the center of the storm with a rotating "X" a little southwest of Apalachicola, Florida, but there was nothing on the radar in that area.
There were some small blips north and east but no organization or rotation.
This thing looked like a myth to me, not that there wasn't a thundershower that hit Florida sometime as happens about every day.
Maybe something happened that the weather channel didn't find.
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Post by nautonnier on Jun 8, 2016 23:59:08 GMT
I am traveling and yesterday I watched the Weather Channel from my motel room and it had several reports on the "Tropical Storm Collin (spelling? " over Florida. They were breathlessly noting that this was the 3rd "Named" storm this year and that this was the earliest on record that there had been 3 named storms. They reported 50 mile an winds, flooding and likely tornadoes. They went to a reporter on Daytona Beach which was supposed to be hard hit and he said there was not much happening there. They went to a reporter who said the maximum winds measured by the reports from the weather buoys was 22 MPH but the wind was probably blowing much harder somewhere. They switched to a report from a weather plane that had flown into the "Storm" but said it had returned because it couldn't find anything. They switched to the radar view and marked the center of the storm with a rotating "X" a little southwest of Apalachicola, Florida, but there was nothing on the radar in that area. There were some small blips north and east but no organization or rotation. This thing looked like a myth to me, not that there wasn't a thundershower that hit Florida sometime as happens about every day. Maybe something happened that the weather channel didn't find. I am currently around 10 miles from Daytona Beach, we got some bursts of heavy rain but nothing that was not normal for convective weather in this area. Colin was a rag bag of separate storms in a rather poorly formed low that got further pulled apart by other weather including a front extending up to the NE US. If it hadn't been for all the handwaving about named storms etc., people here would have taken it as normal convective weather. We had around 5 inches of rain in the 12 hours but that is actually not really out of the ordinary here. I think that there were times on the West of Florida where they got stormy winds but nothing that would be considered abnormal in other parts of the world. The media want to talk it up they really NEED this hurricane season to be impressive.
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Post by Ratty on Jun 9, 2016 1:09:04 GMT
FWIW, "The 2015–16 Australian region cyclone season was the least active tropical cyclone season since reliable records started during 1969, with only three named tropical cyclones developing in the region. Reasons for the low activity during the year, included a positive Indian Ocean Dipole occurring and the 2014–16 El Niño event." Australian Region: 2015-16 Cyclone Season
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Post by sigurdur on Jun 9, 2016 4:21:14 GMT
But warm water is supposed to generate huge storms! Why isn't it doing so???
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Post by Ratty on Jun 9, 2016 5:04:44 GMT
But warm water is supposed to generate huge storms! Why isn't it doing so??? I keep asking myself the same question but Naut has likely provided the answer. SSTs off the South Queensland coast have certainly been warm (surf reports) and I suspect those further North have been warmer.
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Post by nautonnier on Jun 9, 2016 8:54:40 GMT
But warm water is supposed to generate huge storms! Why isn't it doing so??? The meteorologists have a metric for convection they call the T-Scale which is the difference in atmospheric temperatures between the bottom and the top of a convective layer. If there is not a huge difference then the convection is slower and the layer is more stable and vice versa if the temperature difference is high then the layer will be unstable and fast more powerful convection can occur (an unstable atmosphere). Then add in windshear with different wind directions and speeds so that convective upcurrents get pulled apart by windshear before they can become big storms.
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Post by fredzl4dh on Jun 11, 2016 12:23:10 GMT
Getting sick of the rain down here south island NZ. We had 315mm rain last month normal would be around 95mm and starting to look for a holiday where they have sun last months sunny days were about 6 and getting depressive. This month we have had about 35mm to date but sunny days are not showing.The only redeeming thing is it has been a lot warmer.
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Post by nonentropic on Jun 11, 2016 19:53:00 GMT
My prediction is that it will all come right towards the end of the year fred.
Can I have a grant please to firm that up.
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Post by nautonnier on Jun 27, 2016 18:01:07 GMT
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Post by Ratty on Jun 28, 2016 1:01:45 GMT
Where is Harold?
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Post by sigurdur on Jun 28, 2016 14:39:12 GMT
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