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Post by Ratty on Jul 9, 2017 22:39:39 GMT
Quote from an old email of mine to a believer friend (on factors affecting climate): .... it's an incredibly complex circulatory system with a myriad of influences, each capable of affecting another.
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Post by phydeaux2363 on Jul 9, 2017 23:16:54 GMT
A system where what is happening in the present determines the future, but where an approximation of the present cannot even approximately determine the future.
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Post by sigurdur on Jul 10, 2017 1:23:55 GMT
Excellent find Acidohm!!!! We know there is a connection between the Atlantic and Pacific typhoons. Now presented is a further connection! The Atlantic may be more important in climate/weather than previously thought!
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Post by duwayne on Aug 14, 2017 20:04:54 GMT
In June for the first time I made a prediction of the future direction of ENSO. I predicted that ENSO would drop into the La Nina range this year despite the fact that the government "experts" were in agreement that there would be no La Nina in 2017. An Oceanic Nino Index (ONI) of -0.5 or below indicates La Nina conditions. In late June, the weekly ONI stood at +0.7. In the 6 weeks since then it has fallen 75% of the way to La Nina conditions with a reading of -0.2 this week. Here's what that looks like on a Sea Surface Temperature map. Below is the link to the Nullschool chart from the time of my prediction. Not much sign of a La Nina. If you use your cursor to "drag" so the map is more centered on the Pacific Ocean there is very little "Blue". If you then click on "Earth" down in the lower left corner of your screen and then "now" just to the right of "Control" you can see a current picture of the Pacific. Use your browser back button to jump back and forth between the June view and today's view and the change is pretty apparent. earth.nullschool.net/#2017/06/23/0000Z/ocean/surface/currents/overlay=sea_surface_temp_anomaly/orthographic=-59.16
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ENSO 2017
Aug 15, 2017 4:54:39 GMT
via mobile
Post by acidohm on Aug 15, 2017 4:54:39 GMT
Nullschool reckons -3 anomalies just appeared region 1+2.
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Post by Ratty on Aug 15, 2017 5:16:27 GMT
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Post by nonentropic on Aug 15, 2017 19:48:37 GMT
I thought the Arctic was below normal someone telling porkies!
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Post by nautonnier on Aug 16, 2017 8:26:46 GMT
I thought the Arctic was below normal someone telling porkies! The way the 'hottest year EVAH' is obtained is to raise (aka adjust/homogenize) temperatures in areas that cannot be measured - the arctic and antarctic are not measurable by satellite either - and central Africa has show immense heat despite (or perhaps because) not having any meteo observations there. Climate 'scientists' have less ethics than politicians
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Post by nautonnier on Aug 21, 2017 15:24:36 GMT
Joe Bastardi says on his twitter feed that: "Big drops in ENSO regions mean global temps zigzag down off super El Nino should continue in 2018. Hope nobody sold their coat
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Post by missouriboy on Aug 21, 2017 15:55:51 GMT
Joe Bastardi says on his twitter feed that: "Big drops in ENSO regions mean global temps zigzag down off super El Nino should continue in 2018. Hope nobody sold their coat I upgraded to double-thick polypropylene with an option to triple.
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ENSO 2017
Aug 22, 2017 1:22:26 GMT
via mobile
Post by sigurdur on Aug 22, 2017 1:22:26 GMT
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Post by Ratty on Aug 22, 2017 4:45:03 GMT
Very reasonable prices! As a precaution, should I get some here at 27.9738° South? WDYT? Swellnet 2017Better than skiiing, eh Code?
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Post by missouriboy on Aug 22, 2017 17:24:21 GMT
Sure looks cold! And deep too?
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ENSO 2017
Aug 22, 2017 18:51:44 GMT
via mobile
Post by acidohm on Aug 22, 2017 18:51:44 GMT
Search enso update and download the NOAA weekly update.
There is a large sub surface cold anomaly, all regions but 4 have plummeted to cold anomaly...
However NOAA still insisting in 6 months 60% prob of neutral, 20% la n 20% el n.
And they've been uncannily accurate so far :!
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ENSO 2017
Aug 22, 2017 19:00:56 GMT
via mobile
Post by acidohm on Aug 22, 2017 19:00:56 GMT
Perhaps also worth highlighting that the gulf stream looks cooler then it has for many months....
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