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Post by nautonnier on Jan 22, 2017 20:00:38 GMT
The bottom seems to have dropped out of the SOI
Looks like the oscillations are starting again
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Post by Ratty on Jan 23, 2017 0:31:49 GMT
The bottom seems to have dropped out of the SOI Looks like the oscillations are starting again So that's why I feel giddy: The Long Paddock
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Post by sigurdur on Jan 23, 2017 1:06:23 GMT
The bottom seems to have dropped out of the SOI Looks like the oscillations are starting again So that's why I feel giddy: The Long PaddockNaw, your wife asked if you were taking her out for breakfast.
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Post by Ratty on Jan 23, 2017 1:19:05 GMT
[ Snip ] Naw, your wife asked if you were taking her out for breakfast. Fat chance ...... of her asking or my agreeing.
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Post by icefisher on Feb 10, 2017 9:01:13 GMT
Just as an \FYI, the 2017 La Nina is now official. The 5th overlapping season recorded a mild -.7 giving it 5 seasons in a row.
It looks like the La Nina may continue to wane for a time then we will be in the spring predictability barrier in a little more than a month where NOAA is still looking for longer term indicators to predict what happens next.
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Post by graywolf on Feb 10, 2017 9:28:35 GMT
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Post by graywolf on Feb 17, 2017 16:30:28 GMT
Well that's a heck of a leap in 3.4 region???
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ENSO 2017
Feb 17, 2017 17:43:38 GMT
via mobile
Post by sigurdur on Feb 17, 2017 17:43:38 GMT
Yeppers!
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ENSO 2017
Feb 17, 2017 19:01:34 GMT
via mobile
Post by acidohm on Feb 17, 2017 19:01:34 GMT
Gosh!!
Just anomalous tho, nullschool shows no 'structure' to any warm water in the pacific.....looks unimpressive tbh..
There is an upwelling kelvin wave, but it's not strong, 1+2 has jumped more of late.
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Post by nautonnier on Feb 17, 2017 23:10:06 GMT
Gosh!! Just anomalous tho, nullschool shows no 'structure' to any warm water in the pacific.....looks unimpressive tbh.. There is an upwelling kelvin wave, but it's not strong, 1+2 has jumped more of late. I was surprised by the amount of cold out by Indonesia - normally the source of the hot water for an El Nino. And in the Atlantic, the North Atlantic Drift seems to peter out somewhat against a cold pool. The 'standard patterns' seem to have been disrupted.
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ENSO 2017
Feb 17, 2017 23:26:41 GMT
via mobile
Post by acidohm on Feb 17, 2017 23:26:41 GMT
The similarity in disruption to N pacific and N atlantic currents has been mused here before, but I've no idea if there could be a link??
Its been pointed out elsewhere, SOI is pretty negative and a Nino is being touted for October or so....
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Post by Ratty on Feb 17, 2017 23:29:33 GMT
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Post by nautonnier on Feb 17, 2017 23:29:49 GMT
The similarity in disruption to N pacific and N atlantic currents has been mused here before, but I've no idea if there could be a link?? Its been pointed out elsewhere, SOI is pretty negative and a Nino is being touted for October or so.... Perhaps the Tahiti Darwin pressures and the anchovy catch will not follow the rules of Nino 3.4? What would the wiggle watchers do then?
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Post by nautonnier on Feb 17, 2017 23:31:53 GMT
Not the warmest of Summers in Adelaide then Ratty
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Post by acidohm on Feb 17, 2017 23:57:44 GMT
The similarity in disruption to N pacific and N atlantic currents has been mused here before, but I've no idea if there could be a link?? Its been pointed out elsewhere, SOI is pretty negative and a Nino is being touted for October or so.... Perhaps the Tahiti Darwin pressures and the anchovy catch will not follow the rules of Nino 3.4? What would the wiggle watchers do then? I'd like to think hang up the hats and go home....but history has shown them to be a resilient bunch!!
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