|
Post by sigurdur on Jun 3, 2017 23:53:33 GMT
Well, at least Bernie got the money
|
|
|
Post by missouriboy on Jun 4, 2017 1:29:14 GMT
Well, at least Bernie got the money Yep. Bernie madeoff with the gold ... and so did Al and Michael and ... and ... and ... (long list).
|
|
|
Post by Ratty on Jun 4, 2017 6:41:17 GMT
Well, at least Bernie got the money Yep. Bernie madeoff with the gold ... and so did Al and Michael and ... and ... and ... (long list). ... Keith, Phil, Kevin, James, Gavin .....
|
|
|
Post by sigurdur on Jun 4, 2017 14:25:22 GMT
They may (or not) get a hitch in their gittyup here shortly. And if they do, I'm sure they'll all saunter up to the microphone and apologize right? Refund checks might be appropriate as well in some cases. Not for being wrong, but for being arrogantly political a-holes. I do have issues with the 97% as I think that claim is bunk, references are fairly easy to find refuting, but some of the others I'm not so sure. There is no question that man changes climate on a regional scale. As far as a macro scale? The evidence is very noisy. There is a tremendous amount of capital being tossed around. Most folks really don't give a hoot about the poor. They are the ones most affected by energy cost increases. They will remain poor because of the misdirection of capital. The level of state debt in the world is staggering. The level of state regulations is staggering. The two go hand in hand. The folks benefiting from both are not the poor, nor the average person.
|
|
|
Post by nautonnier on Jun 4, 2017 14:53:37 GMT
I do have issues with the 97% as I think that claim is bunk, references are fairly easy to find refuting, but some of the others I'm not so sure. There is no question that man changes climate on a regional scale. As far as a macro scale? The evidence is very noisy. There is a tremendous amount of capital being tossed around. Most folks really don't give a hoot about the poor. They are the ones most affected by energy cost increases. They will remain poor because of the misdirection of capital. The level of state debt in the world is staggering. The level of state regulations is staggering. The two go hand in hand. The folks benefiting from both are not the poor, nor the average person. The regulations are largely to ensure that the poor stay poor and the rich stay rich. The level of regulations normally mean that in established fields it is extremely difficult to make a lot of profit as those companies already set up work to create 'licencing schemes' to keep out interlopers.
|
|
|
Post by Ratty on Jun 4, 2017 23:11:24 GMT
[Snip ] The level of state debt in the world is staggering. The level of state regulations is staggering. The two go hand in hand. The folks benefiting from both are not the poor, nor the average person. Lawyers are making a killing and I blame my mother: She wanted me to become a teacher.
|
|
|
Post by missouriboy on Jun 5, 2017 0:33:30 GMT
[Snip ] The level of state debt in the world is staggering. The level of state regulations is staggering. The two go hand in hand. The folks benefiting from both are not the poor, nor the average person. Lawyers are making a killing and I blame my mother: She wanted me to become a teacher. You would have killed them in the courtroom.
|
|
|
Post by Ratty on Jun 5, 2017 7:13:11 GMT
Lawyers are making a killing and I blame my mother: She wanted me to become a teacher. You would have killed them in the courtroom. You mean I could have taken my Colt .45 ACP in?
|
|
|
Post by missouriboy on Jun 5, 2017 23:20:59 GMT
You would have killed them in the courtroom. You mean I could have taken my Colt .45 ACP in? Your IPCC .45 Special. Packs a wallop but rarely accomplishes much.
|
|
|
Post by bryson on Jun 8, 2017 18:14:05 GMT
Theodore white does the start of global cooling later this year mean that this winter is going to be cold and snowy in the Midwest and plains states.
|
|
|
Post by AstroMet on Jun 15, 2017 22:52:42 GMT
Theodore white does the start of global cooling later this year mean that this winter is going to be cold and snowy in the Midwest and plains states. Not necessarily Bryson, as global cooling's official start in mid-December this year is a climatic event that will see the first true phase of it getting underway in the early 2020s just as the El Nino I forecasted arrives. It will be followed by a powerful and truly spectacular La Nina during the winter of 2021-2022 and into spring 2022. As for the coming winter (NOAA still sucks at doing seasonal forecasts Code and their 50/50 calls are nothing but guesses and flipping a coin but it isn't forecasting.) Generally, this winter for the Plains states & Midwest will be a rather normal and quick winter season according to my forecast. Winter doesn't truly get underway until December 25, 2017 and lasts to March 6, 2018. A moderate winter that will be preceded by a dry, brilliant fall season that lasts well into December.
|
|
|
Post by nautonnier on Jun 16, 2017 11:51:17 GMT
Well actually not. I remember doing a lecture to a set of meteorologists (at Boulder NCEP believe it or not) on probabilities and perception. Probability is perceived in different ways by different groups. A meteorologist giving a 50% probability is saying 'very likely'. The analogy I used was imagine playing Russian roulette with one shell in a 6 shot revolver.... now load another 2 shells - you are now at 50% but your perception of the risk has now risen to the forecaster's perception of a 50% risk.
|
|
|
Post by phydeaux2363 on Jun 16, 2017 15:48:31 GMT
Well actually not. I remember doing a lecture to a set of meteorologists (at Boulder NCEP believe it or not) on probabilities and perception. Probability is perceived in different ways by different groups. A meteorologist giving a 50% probability is saying 'very likely'. The analogy I used was imagine playing Russian roulette with one shell in a 6 shot revolver.... now load another 2 shells - you are now at 50% but your perception of the risk has now risen to the forecaster's perception of a 50% risk. What is the probability that events will occur according to the odds, Mr. Naut?
|
|
|
Post by acidohm on Jun 16, 2017 15:55:42 GMT
Well apparently its possible to get 100% catastrophe from 0.04%
|
|
|
Post by missouriboy on Jun 16, 2017 18:56:56 GMT
Well apparently its possible to get 100% catastrophe from 0.04% It's those outliers that will get ya ... and they become more frequent apparently during cold periods. Will all the non-standard deviants please stand up?
|
|