|
Post by blustnmtn on Feb 18, 2019 22:56:46 GMT
Maybe a bit early for this thread title but I wanted to post a new article by JC and couldn’t find a suitable pre-existing thread. Anyway, I think this is interesting and I hope it’s not being presented to Congress because I’m quite sure there isn’t anyone there that has the attention span or critical thinking required to comprehend it. judithcurry.com/2019/02/17/hurricanes-climate-change-detection/#more-24723
|
|
|
Post by nautonnier on Feb 18, 2019 23:28:30 GMT
It's not too early. Now is the time the cognoscenti start hurricane preparations
|
|
|
Post by Ratty on Feb 18, 2019 23:53:50 GMT
We have a hurricane/cyclone/typhoon heading our way as I type. Cyclone OmaThat's me in the little circle.
|
|
|
Post by blustnmtn on Feb 19, 2019 0:19:55 GMT
It's not too early. Now is the time the cognoscenti start hurricane preparations Time for Acid to chime in?😎 (He knows I’m just kidding right?). My prediction is: hurricanes will occur in 2019. Any landfall in a populated area will be hyped beyond reason by the media. All will be monitored through the lens of CAGW. I could be wrong.
|
|
|
Post by sigurdur on Feb 19, 2019 0:42:57 GMT
You won't be. Another element will be added though, the hurricane was President Trump's fault.
|
|
|
Post by nonentropic on Feb 19, 2019 4:47:51 GMT
yes we get Oma also.
|
|
|
Post by nautonnier on Feb 19, 2019 11:20:13 GMT
We have a hurricane/cyclone/typhoon heading our way as I type. Cyclone OmaThat's me in the little circle. Interesting that OMA is "feeding" on the energy out there further to the South and East of West Island toward North Island Note that for a late summer observation there's a LOT of cold water around, so much for the warm pool for the El Nino. Oma will also be removing heat from the Ocean at a yuge rate. From NOAA:- "Method 1) - Total energy released through cloud/rain formation:
An average hurricane produces 1.5 cm/day (0.6 inches/day) of rain inside a circle of radius 665 km (360 n.mi) (Gray 1981). (More rain falls in the inner portion of hurricane around the eyewall, less in the outer rainbands.) Converting this to a volume of rain gives 2.1 x 1016 cm3/day. A cubic cm of rain weighs 1 gm. Using the latent heat of condensation, this amount of rain produced gives 5.2 x 1019 Joules/day or 6.0 x 1014 Watts.
This is equivalent to 200 times the world-wide electrical generating capacity - an incredible amount of energy produced! "www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/D7.htmlPeople really do not appreciate how much energy is taken from the surface and released by weather systems Do a similar calculation as the one above for the weather system(s) currently over the US Remember the alarmists do all their maths in really high precision (decimal places of watts) Yet just little 'Oma' is sucking up and releasing ~ 6.0 x 1014 Watts!!
|
|
|
Post by acidohm on Feb 19, 2019 17:46:57 GMT
It's not too early. Now is the time the cognoscenti start hurricane preparations Time for Acid to chime in?😎 (He knows I’m just kidding right?). My prediction is: hurricanes will occur in 2019. Any landfall in a populated area will be hyped beyond reason by the media. All will be monitored through the lens of CAGW. I could be wrong. Its a bit unfair Blu 🙄 Last year i didnt make any incorrect forecasts till June!
|
|
|
Post by Ratty on Feb 20, 2019 1:44:48 GMT
Time for Acid to chime in?😎 (He knows I’m just kidding right?). My prediction is: hurricanes will occur in 2019. Any landfall in a populated area will be hyped beyond reason by the media. All will be monitored through the lens of CAGW. I could be wrong. Its a bit unfair Blu 🙄 Last year i didnt make any incorrect forecasts till June! In 2018, I made no incorrect predictions at all.
|
|
|
Post by Ratty on Feb 20, 2019 3:42:38 GMT
|
|
|
Post by acidohm on Feb 20, 2019 6:16:37 GMT
Its a bit unfair Blu 🙄 Last year i didnt make any incorrect forecasts till June! In 2018, I made no incorrect predictions at all. I can see at least one way to acheive that with little effort 😉
|
|
|
Post by nonentropic on Feb 20, 2019 6:48:59 GMT
Is that a prediction from BOM so it will definitely come to NZ. More in the barrel so watch it. www.swellmap.com/forecast-mapshave a look 2 weeks out more trouble Ratty
|
|
|
Post by Ratty on Feb 20, 2019 7:04:32 GMT
Is that a prediction from BOM so it will definitely come to NZ. More in the barrel so watch it. www.swellmap.com/forecast-mapshave a look 2 weeks out more trouble Ratty That doesn't look swell to me, Non. We could do with some rain in the south-east but we don't need another Wanda.
|
|
|
Post by nautonnier on Feb 20, 2019 9:48:54 GMT
At least you should be in the quieter quadrant of the storm
|
|
|
Post by Ratty on Feb 20, 2019 10:45:00 GMT
At least you should be in the quieter quadrant of the storm That's reassuring Naut. It's been a long time since we've had a big blow in this area. Oma doesn't appear to have the credentials to provide the blow but Wanda wasn't a blow at all, just massive rain in an already saturated catchment. The catchment isn't saturated this time but ...... the weather has no memory. Since 1974, we've always bought on high ground and the locals tell me that they have never been cut off in this area. It's a dead end but we do have some local resources should the worst happen:
|
|