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Post by Ratty on Apr 13, 2019 0:26:03 GMT
Im forecasting absolutely no landfall hurricanes this year ๐๐
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Post by nautonnier on Apr 16, 2019 21:01:53 GMT
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Post by missouriboy on Apr 17, 2019 20:05:35 GMT
Joe has a global masterpiece today. Watch it.Two map extracts. First ... Water vapor anomalies from 1981-2010 norm. Note drying out in the East Pacific and West Indian Ocean. Second ... SST anomalies, 2019 minus 2016. Note the cooling straight across the equator. Hard to believe that a shift and decline in solar spectrum doesn't have something to do with this. Remaining warmer water concentrated in NW and SW Pacific gyres ... bleeding away.
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Post by nautonnier on Jun 1, 2019 20:19:27 GMT
June 1st - the beginning of hurricane season. Time to ensure that there is sufficient long life food or cans set by, water containers ready, the generator works, sufficient gasoline and propane to supply generator and cooking. If you use hurricane shutters check that they are ready with all the appropriate fixing bolts/screws; flashlights and lanterns are operable and you have spare batteries, transistor radio or if you want one a weather radio with batteries, Etc etc. And just to remind us there is a potential tropical cyclone in the GOMEX near Brownsville that could coast crawl all the way to New Orleans.
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Post by phydeaux2363 on Jun 1, 2019 22:03:12 GMT
Say it ain't so, Mr. Naut. Ole Man River doesn't need any more water with which to pressure the Old River control structure north of Baton Rouge. If that works should fail, the Mississippi will change course down the Atchafalaya, with serious economic consequences not just for New Orleans, but a large part of the USA
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Post by nautonnier on Jun 2, 2019 0:07:57 GMT
Say it ain't so, Mr. Naut. Ole Man River doesn't need any more water with which to pressure the Old River control structure north of Baton Rouge. If that works should fail, the Mississippi will change course down the Atchafalaya, with serious economic consequences not just for New Orleans, but a large part of the USA Unfortunately.....
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Post by Ratty on Jun 2, 2019 1:03:33 GMT
Stay safe people.
TTL I live in an area of permanently stable climate.
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Post by nonentropic on Jun 2, 2019 2:48:48 GMT
It is a river and it will move course as sediments deposit it will fill and then spill into lower ground thus filling progressively the channels.
its normal what is not normal is a river remaining in a single channel eternally.
you do wonder if these folk have ever studied how rivers operate
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Post by Ratty on Jun 2, 2019 4:37:24 GMT
It is a river and it will move course as sediments deposit it will fill and then spill into lower ground thus filling progressively the channels. its normal what is not normal is a river remaining in a single channel eternally. you do wonder if these folk have ever studied how rivers operate ... or studied or taken notice of ... anything:
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Post by nautonnier on Jun 2, 2019 9:15:52 GMT
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Post by phydeaux2363 on Jun 2, 2019 14:38:36 GMT
It is a river and it will move course as sediments deposit it will fill and then spill into lower ground thus filling progressively the channels. its normal what is not normal is a river remaining in a single channel eternally. you do wonder if these folk have ever studied how rivers operate Well, of course they know, Mr. Non, what rivers, especially continent draining, rivers do. There are hundreds of studies and maps showing the ever changing course of the Mississippi over millennia. The current course has been trying to change for 100 years, stopped by engineering works north of Baton Rouge that have kept the river from altering its channel twice since then, and again this year. No one has any illusion that the river won't win in the end. I'm being selfish--I just hope it waits until I'm gone so I don't have to deal with what will be a major human and economic event many will call a catastrophe. That being said, there can be little doubt the law of unintended consequences makes its appearance when you channel a river. Environmentalists and politicians wail constantly about the the loss of south Louisiana wetlands, and the effects that has on the state, especially for hurricane protection. Of course, the wetlands were built by the sediment dropped in different places as the river meandered, and are being deprived of new sediment because the river isn't allowed to flood down here, let alone change course. But letting the river flood when and where it wants, and change course when and where it wants would displace about a million people, and the choice has been made to try to protect those people despite the environmental cost. Like many problems we face as a polity, the answers seem easy, but are not.
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Post by nautonnier on Jun 2, 2019 16:29:44 GMT
It is a river and it will move course as sediments deposit it will fill and then spill into lower ground thus filling progressively the channels. its normal what is not normal is a river remaining in a single channel eternally. you do wonder if these folk have ever studied how rivers operate Well, of course they know, Mr. Non, what rivers, especially continent draining, rivers do. There are hundreds of studies and maps showing the ever changing course of the Mississippi over millennia. The current course has been trying to change for 100 years, stopped by engineering works north of Baton Rouge that have kept the river from altering its channel twice since then, and again this year. No one has any illusion that the river won't win in the end. I'm being selfish--I just hope it waits until I'm gone so I don't have to deal with what will be a major human and economic event many will call a catastrophe. That being said, there can be little doubt the law of unintended consequences makes its appearance when you channel a river. Environmentalists and politicians wail constantly about the the loss of south Louisiana wetlands, and the effects that has on the state, especially for hurricane protection. Of course, the wetlands were built by the sediment dropped in different places as the river meandered, and are being deprived of new sediment because the river isn't allowed to flood down here, let alone change course. But letting the river flood when and where it wants, and change course when and where it wants would displace about a million people, and the choice has been made to try to protect those people despite the environmental cost. Like many problems we face as a polity, the answers seem easy, but are not. Indeed, the satellite imagery shows that the sediment plume goes way out to the deeper part of the Gulf of Mexico carried by the fast moving canalized Mississippi instead of forming a delta and barrier islands from a naturally slower moving and meandering river.
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Post by nautonnier on Jun 3, 2019 20:00:35 GMT
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Post by blustnmtn on Jun 5, 2019 0:16:49 GMT
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Post by nautonnier on Jun 5, 2019 1:58:17 GMT
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