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Post by nautonnier on Aug 25, 2019 14:42:01 GMT
"THE TROPICAL SKIES Falsifying climate alarm John Christy
Computer models of the climate are at the heart of calls to ban the cheap, reliable energy that powers our thriving economy and promotes healthier, longer lives. For decades, these models have projected dramatic warming from small, fossil-fueled increases in atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide, with catastrophic consequences. Yet, the real-world data aren’t cooperating. They show only slight warming, mostly at night and in winter. According to the United Nations’ Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, there has been no systematic increase in the frequency of extreme weather events, and the ongoing rise in sea level that began with the end of the ice age continues with no great increase in magnitude. The constancy of land-based records is obvious in data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration."www.thegwpf.org/content/uploads/2019/05/JohnChristy-Parliament.pdf
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Post by sigurdur on Aug 25, 2019 17:34:01 GMT
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Post by nautonnier on Sept 1, 2019 10:58:58 GMT
From WUWT "The Next Great Extinction Event Will Not Be Global Warming – It Will Be Global Cooling
By Allan M. R. MacRae, B.A.Sc., M.Eng., August 2019 CATASTROPHIC GLOBAL WARMING IS A FALSE CRISIS – THE NEXT GREAT EXTINCTION WILL BE GLOBAL COOLING Forget all those falsehoods about scary global warming, deceptions contrived by wolves to stampede the sheep. The next great extinction event will not be global warming, it will be global cooling. Future extinction events are preponderantly cold: a glacial period, medium-size asteroid strike or supervolcano. Humanity barely survived the last glacial period that ended only 11,500 years ago, the blink-of–an-eye in geologic time."wattsupwiththat.com/2019/09/01/the-next-great-extinction-event-will-not-be-global-warming-it-will-be-global-cooling/
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Post by sigurdur on Sept 13, 2019 14:04:57 GMT
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Post by Ratty on Sept 14, 2019 1:01:45 GMT
Is there a noticeable effect on your weather, Code?
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Post by nautonnier on Sept 16, 2019 19:30:42 GMT
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Post by Ratty on Sept 17, 2019 0:22:56 GMT
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Post by missouriboy on Sept 17, 2019 3:51:12 GMT
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Post by sigurdur on Sept 17, 2019 4:06:55 GMT
Always lucky. Some days just luckier than others.
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Post by Ratty on Sept 17, 2019 5:25:27 GMT
Sig's just lucky I guess. Sorry ... haven't updated this one since 2015. And these are for the front end of the planting/growing season through 2018. And, of course, 2019 was warmer. Missouri, can you provide a few words about these graphs please? For example, what is the significance of "temperature deviation trend"? Be gentle.
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Post by blustnmtn on Oct 17, 2019 12:29:04 GMT
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Post by Ratty on Oct 17, 2019 23:56:19 GMT
The worst nightmare of all those who were gleeful at the 'recent' super nino! I would enjoy it, I think. I might regret it later...kinda of like agreeing to be tied up naked on a bed but then I might enjoy it.You would hope Code, for the former, that the weather would be kind to you ...... in the latter, that others present in the room would be kind. Let's know how it pans out.
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Post by duwayne on Nov 24, 2019 17:10:00 GMT
So far the IPCC has pretty much ignored the satellite temperatures in favor of the ground-based temperatures which show more warming. There is an article on the PHYS-ORG website titled "El Nino swings more violently in the industrial age, compelling hard evidence says" phys.org/news/2019-11-el-nino-violently-industrial-age.htmlInterestingly, this paper says "The corals' recordings of sea surface temperatures proved to be astonishingly accurate when benchmarked. Coral records from 1981 to 2015 matched sea surface temperatures measured via satellite in the same period so exactly that, on a graph, the jagged lines of the coral record covered those of the satellite measurements, obscuring them from view." This finding, along with balloon measurements of atmospheric temperatures would seem to be scientific confirmation that the satellite temperatures are accurate and would seem to provide a basis for arguing-satellite based temperatures should be recognized by the IPCC as more realistic than GISS temperatures.
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Post by missouriboy on Nov 24, 2019 21:23:28 GMT
So far the IPCC has pretty much ignored the satellite temperatures in favor of the ground-based temperatures which show more warming. There is an article on the PHYS-ORG website titled "El Nino swings more violently in the industrial age, compelling hard evidence says" phys.org/news/2019-11-el-nino-violently-industrial-age.htmlInterestingly, this paper says "The corals' recordings of sea surface temperatures proved to be astonishingly accurate when benchmarked. Coral records from 1981 to 2015 matched sea surface temperatures measured via satellite in the same period so exactly that, on a graph, the jagged lines of the coral record covered those of the satellite measurements, obscuring them from view." This finding, along with balloon measurements of atmospheric temperatures would seem to be scientific confirmation that the satellite temperatures are accurate and would seem to provide a basis for arguing-satellite based temperatures should be recognized by the IPCC as more realistic than GISS temperatures. It's so nice when people cherry pick their start dates when a longer series is available. Or maybe it's just for the next round of funding. Excluding pre-1920 or so data (lack of coverage prior to WWII), it seems clear enough the ENSO magnitudes have been dropping since 1996 along with the solar cycle, and the current Nino (not on these graphs) is very low. Same happened during the last 1-cycle minimum. Would be nice to get that coral data. If the big bad 2021-22 Nina happens, the next ENSO down cycle will be obvious. "What we're seeing in the last 50 years is outside any natural variability. It leaps off the baseline. Actually, we even see this for the entire period of the industrial age," said Kim Cobb, the study's principal investigator and professor in the Georgia Institute of Technology's School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences. "There were three extremely strong El Nino-La Nina events in the 50-year period, but it wasn't just these events. The entire pattern stuck out." "Maybe there's no good explanation for a cause. Maybe it just happened," Cobb said. "Maybe El Nino can just enter a mode and get stuck in it for a millennium."
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Post by Ratty on Nov 24, 2019 23:54:38 GMT
[ Snip ] This finding, along with balloon measurements of atmospheric temperatures would seem to be scientific confirmation that the satellite temperatures are accurate and would seem to provide a basis for arguing-satellite based temperatures should be recognized by the IPCC as more realistic than GISS temperatures. Quite!I think the U.S. surface stations project showed the unreliability of surface temperature measurements. The rest of the world would be as bad or worse (IMNSHO).
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