Global warming temperature predictions Sept 11, 2010 21:00:34 GMT
Post by icefisher on Sept 11, 2010 21:00:34 GMT
My point is that the earth's temperature reacts very quickly in a daily and (locally) seasonally way, and reacts strongly. Yet on a planetary scale it does not do so on a annual time-frame even though we recognize that a minor change in albedo/cloud cover alters the surface temperatures almost immediately at times.
Quick response, because I haven't time to read the responses from others yet.
If you look at the Central England Temperature, you will see that the maximum temperature is about 6 weeks after the summer solstice, and after the winter solstice it takes about 2 months before things warm up. That's a relatively large delay that suggest to me your basic assumptions need checking.
I think the seasonal differences in local solar insolation are much bigger than the 16 Watts difference caused by the ellipse of the orbit.
Nautonnier, you are just saying really dumb things at the moment in a deliberate attempt to be unhelpful, so I'm going to ignore you.
Thats a pretty limited argument Steve. CET is probably a victim of regional internal effects. Looking more broadly across longitude:
If you look at NH ice the winter ice maximum comes about 4 days sooner past the winter solstice (March 12) than the summer ice minimum comes after the summer solstice (September 16) according to 8 years of Jaxa data. Looking at variation, the winter varies by 29 days and the summer by 15 days suggesting that the 4 days may not be a significant difference even though its the opposite of the effect you claim.