|
Post by kalohux on Mar 8, 2012 1:01:21 GMT
I think the prediction for strong flares are wrong. I precict the chance for M-flares to be 5% and the chance for X-flares to be 1% the next 24 hours.
|
|
|
Post by kalohux on Mar 7, 2012 15:57:48 GMT
Impressive proton flare. Biggest since December 2006, I believe. It should be interesting to see the CME impact. It was mentioned previously on this site that Mar/Apr and Sep/Oct are prime seasons for geomagnetic storms (based the Earth's axial tilt providing a better "capture cross-section"). With this latest CME, do we expect the magnetic polarity to be negative (southward)? Anyone know of a good website that provides predictions involving polarity and strength? They can't predict that.
|
|
|
Post by kalohux on Mar 7, 2012 15:53:23 GMT
On spaceweather they say; Although the CME is not squarely Earth-directed, it appears direct enough to deliver a glancing blow to our planet's magnetic field on March 8-9. And on solarham you say;The new WSA-Enlil Solar Wind Prediction is calling for an almost direct CME impact during the middle of tomorrow (March 8). Spaceweather have been posting a lot of faulty information lately and despite of several mails on my behalf have not either replied or corrected their errors.
Which one is correct? Solarham or spaceweather?
|
|
|
Post by kalohux on Feb 5, 2012 20:13:36 GMT
It looks like we might get a spotless day, allready in Feb this year.
Strange, since we are supposed to reach solar max, this year or the next.
|
|
|
Post by kalohux on Feb 4, 2012 19:28:28 GMT
New sunspot, AR11414 must be the first sunspot at the equator on the solar disc this cycle? Am I correct? Could we See a solar max romping up even if the southern hemisphere does not pick up pace, can it all start up at the equator at once?
|
|
|
Post by kalohux on Jan 18, 2012 3:03:59 GMT
Interstellar cloud/ local fluff/ photon belt
I would like to know where in time aspect we are in regard to this cloud. Will it take years or thousands of years before our solar system enters the hotter parts of this cloud? Is it even real? What implications could it have on the planets and the sun?
I have searched on the internet for answers but there are only doomsdayers talking about this subject. Since I regard this site as a serious source of information, I would like to hear your oppinions.
|
|
|
Post by kalohux on Oct 31, 2011 0:04:16 GMT
Actually, you may want to ask Dr. Svelgaard. He is very knowledgeable, and answers questions.......thankfully. I know of the cloud you are talking about, but I don't understand the ramifications at all. Can please Dr. Svelgaard answer in this thread then? It is not much of a point having a public forum if all the questions is to be asked via pm.
|
|
|
Post by kalohux on Sept 9, 2011 19:32:16 GMT
It is kp7 now. Could this be connected to the outages in California?
|
|
|
Post by kalohux on Sept 6, 2011 16:47:56 GMT
I would like to know where in time aspect we are in regard to this cloud. Will it take years or thousands of years before our solar system enters the hotter parts of this cloud? Is it even real? What implications could it have on the planets and the sun? I have searched on the internet for answers but there are only doomsdayers talking about this subject. Since I regard this site as a serious source of information, I would like to hear your oppinions.
|
|
|
Post by kalohux on Sept 6, 2011 2:43:43 GMT
I am really looking forward to see if there will be an associated CME. :-) Currently monitoring the latest STEREO Ahead images. 2135 km/s is kind of... fast!
|
|
|
Post by kalohux on Sept 6, 2011 2:39:25 GMT
I am really looking forward to see if there will be an associated CME. :-)
|
|