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Post by lsvalgaard on Nov 1, 2011 17:05:18 GMT
You nicely show that your curve was off by a factor of three at the beginning of 2011.
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Post by vukcevic on Nov 1, 2011 17:24:09 GMT
Hi Doc You observation is deteriorating with age, not to mention failing memory (discussed on a many occasion in the last 4-5 years), here is a quick ‘aide memoire’: Blue line = periodicity of the oscillation Red line = amplitude of the oscillation Once you succeed in arranging that every SSNmax =120 I will dispense with red line, and if you can get your gang to introduce a compulsory cycle period of ~10.9 years, I will dispense with blue line too. Have a nice day now, as they say in CA.
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Post by lsvalgaard on Nov 1, 2011 17:37:54 GMT
Hi Doc You observation is deteriorating with age, not to mention failing memory (discussed on a many occasion in the last 4-5 years), here is a quick ‘aide memoire’: Blue line = periodicity of the oscillation Red line = amplitude of the oscillation Once you succeed in arranging that every SSNmax =120 I will dispense with red line, and if you can get your gang to introduce a compulsory cycle period of ~10.9 years, I will dispense with blue line too. Have a nice day now, as they say in CA. Last time the blue and red lines crossed was in 2005 with a dismal failure.
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Post by vukcevic on Nov 1, 2011 18:10:15 GMT
Observation, memory and now the judgment, all the way down hill.
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Post by lsvalgaard on Nov 1, 2011 19:05:30 GMT
Observation, memory and now the judgment, all the way down hill. Your comment does not seem to bring anything valuable to the table.
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loly
Level 3 Rank
Posts: 154
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Post by loly on Nov 4, 2011 0:15:13 GMT
Flare X 1.9 from SDO AIA 304
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Post by jcarels on Nov 4, 2011 17:38:19 GMT
With such a big sunspot I just had to take a picture ;D. Seeing wasn't good so looks a little bit soft. Wolfnumber for today was 81. Attachments:
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loly
Level 3 Rank
Posts: 154
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Post by loly on Nov 5, 2011 3:35:25 GMT
A magnetic filament curling around the sun's north pole erupted during the early hours of Nov. 5th. Material propeled by the blast is heading out of the plane of the solar system and will not impact any planet
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Post by justsomeguy on Nov 5, 2011 13:05:59 GMT
vukevic-
What is your proposed mechanism that drives this perceived periodicity? Are you just chasing correlations?
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Post by THEO BAKALEXIS on Nov 6, 2011 10:36:11 GMT
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Post by jcarels on Nov 6, 2011 12:15:34 GMT
Nice images Theo! I wish I had a CaK telescope here. I hope to see some sun here in Belgium.
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Post by sunspotboy on Nov 7, 2011 10:44:35 GMT
A solar Super Storm of the size and duration of the 'Carrington Event' of 1859 will down the world's power grid infrastructure for years... Think about that for a minute... No food... water... gasoline... radio... internet... In short: almost nothing will be left... Hundreds of millions in Europe and the US would surely die. But this is not all... All nuclear reactors will melt down... because the cooling of the reactors fails.... Thus, a Super Solarstorm has the potential to cause a Fukushima type accident at every nuclear power plant in the world! youtu.be/u06Hte_nK1w
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Post by Bob k6tr on Nov 8, 2011 1:36:31 GMT
AR 11339 posted a spot count of 45 for Nov 8 according to the USAF Report
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loly
Level 3 Rank
Posts: 154
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Post by loly on Nov 8, 2011 19:43:04 GMT
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Post by Bob k6tr on Nov 10, 2011 3:31:53 GMT
The NOAA Solar Region Summary shows a Sunspot Count of 208 for Nov 10. This should be a new record for SC24
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