Post by magellan on Sept 19, 2013 1:28:11 GMT
Ocean warming may be a major driver of sea-ice expansion in the Antarctic, researchers report today in Nature Geoscience1. While sea ice at the North Pole has shrunk substantially over the past three decades2, scientists have struggled to explain why sea ice near the South Pole has grown in extent over the same period3.
“The paradox is that global warming leads to more cooling and more sea ice around Antarctica,” says Richard Bintanja, a climate researcher at the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute in Utrecht. Bintanja and his colleagues show that enhanced melting of the Antarctic ice sheet — which is losing mass at a rate of 250 gigatonnes yearly — has probably been the main factor behind the small but statistically significant sea-ice expansion in the region.
www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/v6/n5/full/ngeo1767.html
www.nature.com/news/global-warming-expands-antarctic-sea-ice-1.12709
They make it up as they go along, and Numerouno is more than willing to follow. Don't forget, first it was melting Arctic ice would cause warmer NH winters with less snow, then when that didn't pan out so well for the past five years, the "experts" simply changed it to less ice equals colder snowier winters. How are they going to explain this winter?
hockeyschtick.blogspot.com/2013/05/new-paper-finds-antarctic-sea-ice.html
Abstract: The recent observed positive trends in total Antarctic sea ice extent are at odds with the expectation of melting sea ice in a warming world. More problematic yet, climate models indicate that sea ice should decrease around Antarctica in response to both increasing greenhouse gases and stratospheric ozone depletion. The resolution of this puzzle, we suggest, may lie in the large natural variability of the coupled atmosphere–ocean-sea-ice system. Contrasting forced and control integrations from four state-of-the-art models, we show that the observed Antarctic sea ice trend falls well within the distribution of trends arising naturally in the system, and that the forced response in the models is small compared to the natural variability. From this, we conclude that it may prove difficult to attribute the observed trends in total Antarctic sea ice to anthropogenic forcings, although some regional features might be easier to explain.