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Post by nautonnier on May 14, 2014 13:31:37 GMT
An interesting perhaps connected paper highlighted on Musings from Chiefio Tips.... " Abstract The historical Hungarian auroral record extends from 1523 to 1960 and is longer than the sunspot record. Harmonic analysis reveals four major multidecadal secular cycles forming an approximate harmonic set at periods of 42.85, 57.13, 85.7 and 171.4 years. These four frequencies are very close to the four major heliospheric oscillations relative to the center of mass of the solar system caused by Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus and Neptune. Similar frequencies are found in solar radiation models based on long cosmogenic isotope records (Steinhilber et al., 2012) and in long records of naked-eye sunspot observations (Vaquero et al., 2002). Harmonic regression models are used to reconstruct and forecast aurora and solar activity for the period 1956–2050. The model predicts: (1) the multidecadal solar minimum in the 1970s that is also observed in the sunspot record; (2) a solar maximum in 2000–2002 that is observed in the ACRIM total solar irradiance satellite composite; (3) a prolonged solar minimum centered in the 2030s. These findings support a hypothesis that the Sun, the heliosphere and the terrestrial magnetosphere are partially modulated by planetary gravitational and magnetic forces synchronized to planetary oscillations, as also found in other recent publications " arxiv.org/ftp/arxiv/papers/1302/1302.2190.pdf
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Post by AstroMet on May 22, 2014 16:10:41 GMT
Welcome back Astromet. We have missed you I know you have been busy, but the opinion peace in financial post was published back in October 2013 Still, I was pleased to here from you again. Thanks Neil. I've been very busy working, including preparing for global cooling, and writing a book about it as well, so time has been in short order over the past months. I would like to remind everyone that from the present, there are three (3) years and eight months to the official start of the global cooling climate that I've forecast. That's a short time. In the meantime, between now and then, expect to hear of warmer than normal temperatures, especially in 2015, which, according to my forecast will be a 'double summer,' or a strong Indian Summer in 2015, that will be hot and dry, then, into 2016, more hot and dry, then warm and wet later in 2016, then 2017 will see colder temperatures, that will lead to the start of global cooling by mid-December 2017. As for the next ENSO: I have forecasted that the next ENSO will be a La Nina (a strong one too) that will take place in 2020-2022. This will be the strong confirmation of global cooling climate that will mark the 2020s, 2030s and 2040s before we see it wane in the late 2040s and early 2050s. We have a rather deep global cooling climate ahead due to the coming hibernation of the Sun, which will be the cause of the globally cool climate. The ramifications are significant since warm is always good, but cold is not, and those who went on about the lie of 'man-made global warming,' will not be there to help anyone deal with and survive global cooling. I strongly encourage everyone to make preparations for global cooling. This one will be quite significant and will change everything for the next 30+ years.
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Post by flearider on May 22, 2014 16:21:31 GMT
oh well lets hope I win the lottery in the next 3 yrs .. then off to Australia not because it's warm but because it's still big enough to get lost in .. thx astromet .. but it may be getting colder faster than you think ..
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Post by cuttydyer on May 23, 2014 16:42:36 GMT
Good to have you back Astromet. Here's a new paper that theorizes an ice age could begin within 10 to 20 years (blaming "modern society's activities"): Paper link: www.earth-syst-dynam-discuss.net/5/545/2014/esdd-5-545-2014.htmlThe paper proposes new theories on the still-unsolved mystery of what initiates ice ages, and hypothesizes based on oceanographic observations that we may be on the threshold of a new ice age within the next 10 to 20 years. The author proposes the "hypothesis that modern society's activities might cause a repetition of the transition to an ice age threshold climate within one or two decades from 2013." Schtick link: hockeyschtick.blogspot.co.uk/2014/05/new-paper-theorizes-new-ice-age-could.html
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Post by icefisher on May 26, 2014 15:05:41 GMT
Good to have you back Astromet. Here's a new paper that theorizes an ice age could begin within 10 to 20 years (blaming "modern society's activities"): Interesting! The abstract seems consistent with my theory of this deep cold water exchange going on due to ice free seas. Though I am not so certain that the ice free seas are due to human causes, but that issue is completely outside the scope of this study. A la Michael Crichton that statement is defacto obligatory for the power seeking entity that keeps the single payer grants flowing.
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Post by flearider on May 26, 2014 22:26:37 GMT
what does build an ice age .. well it will come from the southern hemisphere..the build up of Antarctica and the melts pushing colder and colder water to the northern hem we are seeing the start now .. it's logical if the sun go's into a 30+ yr slow down if only 10 to 20 then a maunders.. I see the nh as a start to the circulation if colder fresh water is pumped in yr after yr the circulation grows smaller think hyperthermia the world shuts down it's outer extremities.. now we just have to wait and see how long we cool for ..
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