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Post by acidohm on Jul 1, 2020 18:19:41 GMT
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Post by missouriboy on Jul 3, 2020 4:20:00 GMT
More Speculation on the Speed of the Younger Dryas
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Post by acidohm on Jul 3, 2020 19:10:54 GMT
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Post by nautonnier on Jul 3, 2020 19:39:17 GMT
I had several years in 'academia' and one of the problems that they have is that getting tenure and advancing from assistant professor to full professor and all the little departmental perks are based on how many papers are produced. So the academics become paper generation factories. Each paper is _expected_ to have multiple papers cited as references. This normally entails a google scholar search and picking papers that support the idea of the new paper (confirmation bias at its best) but as the papers are rarely read all the way through often the papers contradict the paper citing them - but the paper author has not checked that deeply. In general I found academics in all fields to be totally gullible (see news.mit.edu/2015/how-three-mit-students-fooled-scientific-journals-0414 ) I would often talk to researchers from 'minor' research establishments like NASA or NOAA and ask them had they checked and replicated their cited references - to get a blank look. I would search for base assumptions in papers and ask had they cited a reference to show that the assumption was valid and had they checked/replicated it? I got both well known and unpopular at the same time In medical and pharmaceutical science this has become really dangerous. One of the things that I spent time telling the researchers in my group was that research saying that an idea does NOT work was just as valuable as research showing that it does. That is difficult to get through a university 'grants and awards' department who want something that can be patented and trigger further research. As we have seen from the Ferguson/Imperial College epidemiology forecasts for COVID-19 - you should NEVER trust an academic. Reserve trust for an engineer they have to make sure things work.
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Post by acidohm on Jul 5, 2020 11:40:28 GMT
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Post by Ratty on Jul 5, 2020 12:40:06 GMT
How does one spell alarmist and hypocrite? Clue: It's a four letter word, beginning with "R', ending in 'd'. See also under ' self righteous prick'.
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Post by missouriboy on Jul 5, 2020 18:55:37 GMT
How does one spell alarmist and hypocrite? Clue: It's a four letter word, beginning with "R', ending in 'd'. See also under ' self righteous prick'. Don't sugar coat it Ratty. Tell us what you really think.
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Post by acidohm on Jul 6, 2020 9:57:11 GMT
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Post by Ratty on Jul 6, 2020 11:16:04 GMT
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Post by nautonnier on Jul 8, 2020 19:55:08 GMT
One for you Non... "New Zealand Shows Little Warming In 130 Years, Before Alterations To Show Warming
We continue to hear warming horror stories coming from the island of New Zealand, and the socialist by sales pitch how “climate change is the biggest challenge of our time“.
Yet this doesn’t seem to be the case in New Zealand. For example, we learned from Electroverse here that the Pacific island country “just recorded its coldest June temperature in 5 years”.
Moreover, when we examine NASA GISS data, we uncover where all the warming rumors come from: alterations to the recorded historical data."notrickszone.com/2020/07/08/new-zealand-shows-no-warming-in-130-years-despite-tricks-to-show-warming/
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Post by nonentropic on Jul 8, 2020 23:33:36 GMT
some of the adjustments are valid. There have been many articles and studies about this.
It is clear that the adjusted data shows no warming but there was a location change and an altitude change.
Defreitas had the period of warming at about 0.5C as a professor here in Auckland Greenpeace bless their wee souls organized a petition for his sacking. They were relieved when he died of cancer a real loss for the rational world.
://www.climateconversation.org.nz/2015/07/de-freitas-temperature-study-reaches-top-5-of-3-67m-scientific-papers/
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Post by nautonnier on Jul 14, 2020 16:35:56 GMT
"Climate Models Unable To Show Link Between Arctic Warming And Harsh Mid-Latitude Winters
The Arctic is warming faster than the mid-latitudes. It’s the so-called Arctic amplification (AA). According to a study by Polvani et al. 2020, half of the Arctic warming is due to ozone-depleting substances – and not CO2. This was of course a great surprise, as we have already reported here. So no wonder that the climate models are going crazy, since they have so far attributed almost the entire warming to CO2.
CO2 has been hopelessly overbooked, as it now turns out.
In Nature Climate Change, a paper by Cohen et al. 2020 has been published and it shakes another myth. In the past, researchers were too happy to tell us that strong Arctic warming leads to harsh winters in mid-latitudes. However, there is a problem: the models are largely unable to reconstruct this presumed relationship: The paper finds:
Divergent consensuses on Arctic amplification influence on midlatitude severe winter weather"More here> notrickszone.com/2020/07/14/climate-models-unable-to-show-link-between-arctic-warming-and-harsh-mid-latitude-winters/
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Post by missouriboy on Jul 14, 2020 17:13:16 GMT
"Climate Models Unable To Show Link Between Arctic Warming And Harsh Mid-Latitude Winters
The Arctic is warming faster than the mid-latitudes. It’s the so-called Arctic amplification (AA). According to a study by Polvani et al. 2020, half of the Arctic warming is due to ozone-depleting substances – and not CO2. This was of course a great surprise, as we have already reported here. So no wonder that the climate models are going crazy, since they have so far attributed almost the entire warming to CO2.
CO2 has been hopelessly overbooked, as it now turns out.
In Nature Climate Change, a paper by Cohen et al. 2020 has been published and it shakes another myth. In the past, researchers were too happy to tell us that strong Arctic warming leads to harsh winters in mid-latitudes. However, there is a problem: the models are largely unable to reconstruct this presumed relationship: The paper finds:
Divergent consensuses on Arctic amplification influence on midlatitude severe winter weather"More here> notrickszone.com/2020/07/14/climate-models-unable-to-show-link-between-arctic-warming-and-harsh-mid-latitude-winters/ Anybody who truly believes the output of climate models, either has their head in 1) someone else's wallet OR 2) up a very personal dark place.
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Post by missouriboy on Jul 16, 2020 1:14:35 GMT
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Post by Ratty on Jul 16, 2020 5:34:30 GMT
I'm beginning to think that we should recognise our failings and that all climate-related research should be shelved. Climate researchers could be deployed building roads & bridges.
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