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Post by Ratty on Nov 23, 2017 10:11:06 GMT
I see it as an indication as to the future development of the nina, subsurface are still cold but perhaps we've seen the end of the development of this enso event. The BOM's take: ENSO Wrap-up (Wrap-up? Changed from "watch" to "alert")The tropical Pacific is approaching La Niña thresholds. If the current progression continues, and thresholds are exceeded for a sustained period, 2017–18 will be considered a La Niña event. As a result, the Bureau’s ENSO Outlook has been raised to La Niña ALERT meaning there is approximately a 70% chance—or triple the normal likelihood—of La Niña occurring. Climate models suggest that any event is likely to be weak and short-lived. This means it is expected to be very different to the strong 2010–12 La Niña.
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Post by acidohm on Nov 23, 2017 10:14:29 GMT
I see it as an indication as to the future develop8ment of the nina, subsurface are still cold but perhaps we've seen the end of the development of this enso event. If it _is_ an ENSO event. It certainly hasn't got the clean cut equatorial band of cold/hot look about it. A vast area of the eastern South Pacific is cold. Due to the heat capacity of water, that is a LOT of missing heat probably close to equal to all the heat in the Earth's atmosphere. That's ok cuz the atmosphere will soon heat it up cuz thats what it does, right?? 🤣😂 Everything that happens in this region is an enso event, el nino southern oscillation. Bit of a misnomer really as it's used for neutral and nina conditions too....
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ENSO 2017
Nov 24, 2017 12:22:22 GMT
via mobile
Post by sigurdur on Nov 24, 2017 12:22:22 GMT
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Post by Ratty on Dec 6, 2017 11:54:28 GMT
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Post by acidohm on Dec 6, 2017 23:15:39 GMT
The models are so good....we should pay attention 😉 We should do a poll as to when 'the model's' again show a impending nino. The winner gets called Sir...... until there IS actually a nino....
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Post by Ratty on Dec 7, 2017 0:37:19 GMT
The models are so good....we should pay attention 😉 We should do a poll as to when 'the model's' again show a impending nino. The winner gets called Sir...... until there IS actually a nino.... I'm already a Sir. Can I still enter?
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Post by sigurdur on Dec 7, 2017 5:45:56 GMT
No. You are too cold.
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Post by Ratty on Dec 15, 2017 22:53:19 GMT
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Post by hrizzo on Dec 16, 2017 11:47:52 GMT
The "climate models" are just another version of those "crazy trucks" or "knives on the loose" of leftish multicultural "news". Never a driver, never a stabber... just inanimate objects doing bad things. Modelers are ethereal.
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Post by sigurdur on Dec 28, 2017 17:28:02 GMT
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Post by nautonnier on Jan 18, 2018 13:12:09 GMT
So this is a weak La Nina. Reverse the colors and make that a warm anomaly - I suspect we would be seeing headlines making wild claims about the huge El Nino
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Post by Ratty on Jan 18, 2018 13:17:10 GMT
THAT's not a La Nina! THIS is a La Nina, La Indian and La Atlantic:
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Post by nautonnier on Jan 18, 2018 14:08:59 GMT
I think that the actual quote is: "Call that a La Nina? That's a La Nina"
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Post by missouriboy on Jan 18, 2018 14:31:59 GMT
THAT's not a La Nina! THIS is a La Nina, La Indian and La Atlantic: What happened Ratty? You curse someone down south?
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Post by blustnmtn on Jan 18, 2018 20:46:47 GMT
THAT's not a La Nina! THIS is a La Nina, La Indian and La Atlantic: What happened Ratty? You curse someone down south? Ratty might fall out of his tree yet!
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