A specialist tells The Local a big quake is due to hit south east region at some point in the future "and there will be fatalities". Locals should take heed.
“We don’t know when a big one will come, but it will and there will certainly be fatalities.”
Those were the words of French seismologist Remy Bossu from the European Mediterranean Seismological Centre (EMSC) in Paris, the day after a rare earthquake measuring 5.2 magnitude on the Richter scale hit the south east of France.
Monday night’s quake, felt in towns from Nice to Marseille and Aix-en-Provence to Grenoble, may have caused little damage but it was a stark reminder, Bossu says, that south-eastern France is in a potentially dangerous active seismic zone and the next one could do some serious damage."
In our drive through the old mountain cities of Liguria we stumbled across the remnants of a large cathedral in Bajardo, Italy whose dome collapsed in the large 1887 Ligurian earthquake. It hit at mass, burying half the town's population in the rubble. Another solar minimum.
The linkage between volcanic activity and solar events is not clear to me but there have been no real volcanic event at a weather level for some years and actually not that many for a 150 years.
Given the quantity of satellite imagery and measurements of various types that have accumulated over the last 4 decades, I expect to see a lot more research on this issue. Fertile ground for many dissertations. Figures given for the tropopause are nearly twice as high at the equator (17 Km) as at the poles (9 km) ... and with the current loopy circulation, lower level polar volcanic injections might be widely disseminated. 250 hPa is about 10000 meters and seems to be really active right now. I do not have a running tally, but I remember at least two recent eruptions that apparently breached the tropopause in the tropics and a few lower level eruptions further north may have also injected material. How much is enough to have what effects? We don't know. But we live in exciting times. Curse or not remains to be seen. But see we shall.