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Post by nautonnier on Jan 29, 2020 20:42:20 GMT
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Post by nautonnier on Jan 30, 2020 3:51:03 GMT
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Post by nautonnier on Feb 19, 2020 23:35:18 GMT
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Post by Ratty on Feb 20, 2020 5:27:18 GMT
Need an Astro view/analysis.
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Post by missouriboy on Feb 20, 2020 6:59:57 GMT
Need an Astro view/analysis. I'm waiting for my early, long Spring. |
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Post by graywolf on Feb 20, 2020 10:34:43 GMT
Need an Astro view/analysis. I'm waiting for my early, long Spring. Ditto! Yet still the rains keep coming here in the UK (thanks partly to the Polar Night Jet's power/strength a.t.m?) We await the 'final warming' and how that goes, it could either 'Go out like a Lamb' seeing as it's been 'coming in like a lion' most all of winter!!! When was the last winter we saw the P.N.J. acting in such an orderly way? Just an observation but the Antipodean version ended on a rare SSW leading to the conditions that primed Oz for its burn? Will north follow south and give us a warm entry into Spring/summer and dry out the fields for the Farmers (here in the UK) currently blighted by flood? The PNJ's 'orderly manner' all winter has mainly kept the Arctic firmly locked in the Arctic meaning many places have had a glimpse of 'where' their winter temps would sit if they weren't being intermittently hammered by 'Polar Plunges' as the PNJ throws weird shapes into the lower Lats. Plenty of Winter Max's surpassed this Winter as a result (incl Florida's 90f the other day?). We are also seeing the Great Lakes with low ice due to the lack, this year, of the PNJ placing a 'lobe' over NE Canada/USA.... no fat Lady yet so the potential for big 'Lake Effect Snow' should the Lakes see a late cold plunge due to the expanses of open water in the Lakes? |
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Post by nautonnier on Feb 20, 2020 13:25:57 GMT
Indeed, I have been mowing all through the 'winter' and now we have fall. Leaves stay on the trees until the new growth starts and it has in Florida.
So we may get Astro's long spring - not so sure about the other CONUS states.
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Post by missouriboy on Feb 20, 2020 14:08:08 GMT
I'm waiting for my early, long Spring. Ditto! We await the 'final warming' Sounds like an Alvin Gore Science fiction short ... or, a re-write of Dante's Inferno.  Undoubtedly Europe will make an appearance. Hope you get that glorious spring. I may have to move to the winter-long spring of Florida, followed by a summer retreat back north. |
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Post by Ratty on Feb 21, 2020 1:29:29 GMT
I'm waiting for my early, long Spring. Ditto! Yet still the rains keep coming here in the UK (thanks partly to the Polar Night Jet's power/strength a.t.m?) We await the 'final warming' and how that goes, it could either 'Go out like a Lamb' seeing as it's been 'coming in like a lion' most all of winter!!! When was the last winter we saw the P.N.J. acting in such an orderly way? Just an observation but the Antipodean version ended on a rare SSW leading to the conditions that primed Oz for its burn?Will north follow south and give us a warm entry into Spring/summer and dry out the fields for the Farmers (here in the UK) currently blighted by flood? The PNJ's 'orderly manner' all winter has mainly kept the Arctic firmly locked in the Arctic meaning many places have had a glimpse of 'where' their winter temps would sit if they weren't being intermittently hammered by 'Polar Plunges' as the PNJ throws weird shapes into the lower Lats. Plenty of Winter Max's surpassed this Winter as a result (incl Florida's 90f the other day?). We are also seeing the Great Lakes with low ice due to the lack, this year, of the PNJ placing a 'lobe' over NE Canada/USA.... no fat Lady yet so the potential for big 'Lake Effect Snow' should the Lakes see a late cold plunge due to the expanses of open water in the Lakes? How do you figure that, GW? |
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Post by acidohm on Feb 21, 2020 6:32:14 GMT
It was forecast during SSW that it would lead to hot/dry conditions in Aus for at least a few weeks...
Cant remember the source, it may be further back on this thread.
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Post by Ratty on Feb 21, 2020 7:06:13 GMT
It was forecast during SSW that it would lead to hot/dry conditions in Aus for at least a few weeks... Cant remember the source, it may be further back on this thread. The continent was certainly very dry but ..... it is often that way and we were in a loooong drought. Antarctica's "Sudden Stratospheric Warming" Has Started Impacting AustraliaDespite the above article, linking Aussie dryness to SH SSW is drawing a long bow, methinks, a prediction with a high percentage chance of success. Of course, I could be wrong ...... |
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Post by acidohm on Mar 13, 2020 7:29:08 GMT
GFS 🤷🏼♂️ having another go at SSW 🤷🏼♂️ this late in the season 🤷🏼♂️
Worth mentioning in case it transpires, but mostly 🤷🏼♂️
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Post by nonentropic on Mar 18, 2020 18:15:07 GMT
I think there is a fresh NH SSW. earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/10hPa/overlay=temp/orthographic=-100.98,70.97,579/loc=56.316,76.922 In the SH we had one at a similar time in the season it slowed the Spring quite markedly I think Australia and NZ both had snow in the high country till the longest day. Europe and Canada are a lot closer to the poles than any of us in the SH, this could hit season length in NH. |
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Post by acidohm on Mar 18, 2020 21:13:10 GMT
Working on a theory high pressure in trop is most likely to form under the sinking, compressed and therefore warmer strat, this set up looks very interesting for Europe 🤞🏻🤞🏻
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Post by acidohm on Mar 18, 2020 21:20:24 GMT
GFS gives us this, its ok, not really cold but is a cold anomaly.
Out of range of ECM so cant get agreement.
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Undoubtedly Europe will make an appearance.
