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Post by missouriboy on Apr 17, 2021 2:23:18 GMT
The optimists are getting air time. They say we may know by summer ... but so far, no rocket ship.
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Post by duwayne on May 23, 2021 14:17:23 GMT
The Australian Bureau of Meteorology is looking for Cycle 25 to be similar to Cycle 24.
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Post by nautonnier on May 23, 2021 18:27:41 GMT
The Australian Bureau of Meteorology is looking for Cycle 25 to be similar to Cycle 24. Faites vos jeux mes amis
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Post by missouriboy on May 23, 2021 21:49:07 GMT
Tis easier to expand an old hole than to dig a new one.
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Post by Ratty on May 23, 2021 23:59:19 GMT
Tis easier to expand an old hole than to dig a new one. Confucius?
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Post by missouriboy on May 24, 2021 0:18:10 GMT
Tis easier to expand an old hole than to dig a new one. Confucius? Missouriboy. I watched many, many graduate students expanding old holes under the watchful eye of their academic task master. Often it was his/her hole. Protection rackets are insideous.
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Post by nautonnier on May 30, 2021 18:34:47 GMT
Missouriboy. I watched many, many graduate students expanding old holes under the watchful eye of their academic task master. Often it was his/her hole. Protection rackets are insideous. Then the academic task master with a well practiced innocent expression will say I gave the same problem to these MS/PhD students and they came up with a similar answer. QED I have seen this too with tenured professors that have not updated their lecture notes in decades.
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Post by missouriboy on May 30, 2021 23:00:47 GMT
Missouriboy. I watched many, many graduate students expanding old holes under the watchful eye of their academic task master. Often it was his/her hole. Protection rackets are insideous. Then the academic task master with a well practiced innocent expression will say I gave the same problem to these MS/PhD students and they came up with a similar answer. QED I have seen this too with tenured professors that have not updated their lecture notes in decades. When filling in old holes, those lecture notes should be the first fill item.
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Post by missouriboy on May 31, 2021 2:13:33 GMT
Preliminary sunspots for May, 2021 are 88% of April, 2021. Cannot find a site that estimates or speculates on how much solar radiation may be reflected by the current buildup of volcanic ash or gases in the stratosphere.
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Post by nautonnier on May 31, 2021 19:08:53 GMT
Preliminary sunspots for May, 2021 are 88% of April, 2021. Cannot find a site that estimates or speculates on how much solar radiation may be reflected by the current buildup of volcanic ash or gases in the stratosphere. There is a post on TallblokesTalkshop where Roger continues his spat with Leif .... "
Solar Cycle 25 Predictions Update: Talkshop vs Svalgaard Posted: May 18, 2021 by tallbloke in Forecasting, Solar physics, solar system dynamics 33
The last time we took a look at Leif Svalgaard’s SC25 prediction in 2018, he was predicting a peak amplitude of around 140SSN in 2024 according to the plot or (giving himself more latitude) “SC25 will be somewhere between SC24 and SC20, provided the Polar Field Precursor Relationship holds.”
This has been modified in his latest presentation on the subject. The peak amplitude has been revised downwards to 128+/-10SSN."tallbloke.wordpress.com/2021/05/18/solar-cycle-25-predictions-update-talkshop-vs-svalgaard/To use an analogy I have used before - Leif seems to want to model the internal flows of the sun without referring to what causes those flows - like modeling a mug of coffee being stirred but not including the spoon.
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Post by missouriboy on May 31, 2021 21:34:35 GMT
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Post by missouriboy on May 31, 2021 21:41:59 GMT
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Post by missouriboy on May 31, 2021 21:57:45 GMT
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Post by walnut on Jun 1, 2021 1:52:35 GMT
Getting interesting Been a long, cool/wet spring here.
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Post by glennkoks on Jun 1, 2021 12:22:26 GMT
May was about 1 degree cooler than average for my tiny part of the globe. Mostly due to cloud cover and a wetter than average month. Very comfortable by our standards. Dr. Roy Spencer has not updated the UAH global temperature yet but it will be interesting to see if it is the second month in a row below the baseline.
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