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Post by glc on May 21, 2009 11:37:19 GMT
Note the mean line is indeed pretty much central to the high/low trends. OK, shows the data looks reasonable. BUT... the trend lines are from around the 18th century If you are referring to the the black line. That represents the 1961-1990 mean temperatures. Which basically says that this year is a quite typical year, based on a mean that includes much colder periods. Certainly doesn't imply this year is warm. The temperature anomaly for this year (up to May 20th) is +0.70 deg above the 1961-1990 mean. See hadobs.metoffice.com/hadcet/cet_info_mean.htmlThis is is not exceptionally warm, but probably places it in the top ~15%. Put it this way the "cooler" sun isn't having too much effect nor is it likely to. I'd love to see a number of these data graphs, showing the data period in say 60-year chunks (thus averaging out sea cycles). I think it would be interesting.... Here is a plot of the CET record back to the late 18th century: hadobs.metoffice.com/hadcet/and here's the complete data set going back to 1659 hadobs.metoffice.com/hadcet/cetml1659on.dat
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Post by icefisher on May 21, 2009 23:35:08 GMT
This is is not exceptionally warm, but probably places it in the top ~15%. Put it this way the "cooler" sun isn't having too much nor is it likely to. You mean about one standard deviation. Not surprising even if there were no longterm temperature trends. Adding in a recent phase shift of a peak of a long term trend and the temps are probably just about exactly where you would expect them to be.
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Post by byz on May 26, 2009 20:33:19 GMT
Nice couple of day some rain but looks good for the weekend It has been a great spring but not for tomatoes something weird happened with sunscald and it efected all my tomatoes I wonder if the ozone was not so thick one day?
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Post by kenfeldman on May 26, 2009 22:33:29 GMT
80 degrees in Fairbanks yesterday and in the 70s again today.
Many communities in Alaska were flooded because the early warmth melted the snow much quicker than normal this year.
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Post by tacoman25 on May 27, 2009 2:57:23 GMT
80 degrees in Fairbanks yesterday and in the 70s again today. Many communities in Alaska were flooded because the early warmth melted the snow much quicker than normal this year. And not even close to a record...87 degrees, from 1960. They were due for some warmth, anyway. Did you check the anomalies in Fairbanks the past 7 months? They had basically six straight months of much below normal temps.
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Post by Belushi TD on May 27, 2009 17:34:56 GMT
Ken -
The flooding this year is at LEAST as much linked to extremely heavy snowfall this past winter as it is to warm temps.
*waits for Ken to attribute the heavy snowfall to gerbil worming*
Belushi TD
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dresi
Level 3 Rank
Posts: 120
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Post by dresi on May 29, 2009 16:14:28 GMT
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Post by hilbert on Jun 2, 2009 1:15:24 GMT
Snow on the mountains near Flagstaff, Arizona on the last day of May. Light snow on a mountain in central New Mexico.
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Post by sigurdur on Jun 2, 2009 1:18:49 GMT
My 1st wheat is just coming through. Only 35 days behind. NOthing else planted yet, and the weather in this neck of the woods continues to be 10F below normal.
Dog gone it! Will AGW kick in soon!
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Post by frankthetank on Jun 3, 2009 2:29:46 GMT
Just a recap of spring from up here in the midwest (Wisconsin). We ended spring below normal on rain (over an inch below) and ended with temp about .7F Below normal. May being the worse at almost 2F below normal (brrr).
I think it has been pretty nice, just no extended period of 80F temps. Always in the low 70F's and 60F's... and nights have been downright chilly (40's). If i was to compare the last few weeks, it would be best summed up as really nice October weather (cool/dry)...
Garden is doing good, just could use some more heat. You'd think with it being so dry, we would see higher temps....
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