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Post by nautonnier on Apr 26, 2021 17:02:49 GMT
and another famous man said tomorrow will be the same as today. Not a weather forecast but more accurate. That man had never been to Missouri. I worked with researchers from Newton OK, center for the prediction of storms, who built a short term weather model that actually did the same thing - it's chucking it down 20 miles South with an F3 and the ambient wind is from the South at 20knots. Expect it to be windy and wet in an hour. I then built (and patented) a 4D object model of the atmosphere that did very much the same thing but with a little more 'intelligence' amazing how much computer power was needed.
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Post by missouriboy on Apr 26, 2021 17:22:15 GMT
That man had never been to Missouri. I worked with researchers from Newton OK, center for the prediction of storms, who built a short term weather model that actually did the same thing - it's chucking it down 20 miles South with an F3 and the ambient wind is from the South at 20knots. Expect it to be windy and wet in an hour. I then built (and patented) a 4D object model of the atmosphere that did very much the same thing but with a little more 'intelligence' amazing how much computer power was needed. We live with weather and ponder its aggregation as climate. Weather modelers and short term forecasters have become much better in the last decade or so. These "short-term prophets" generally recognize their limitations, while providing useful service. They work hard to improve this. Too bad that the wannabe long-term prophets don't have similar "humility" and ethics.
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Post by nautonnier on Apr 26, 2021 18:29:36 GMT
I worked with researchers from Newton OK, center for the prediction of storms, who built a short term weather model that actually did the same thing - it's chucking it down 20 miles South with an F3 and the ambient wind is from the South at 20knots. Expect it to be windy and wet in an hour. I then built (and patented) a 4D object model of the atmosphere that did very much the same thing but with a little more 'intelligence' amazing how much computer power was needed. We live with weather and ponder its aggregation as climate. Weather modelers and short term forecasters have become much better in the last decade or so. These "short-term prophets" generally recognize their limitations, while providing useful service. They work hard to improve this. Too bad that the wannabe long-term prophets don't have similar "humility" and ethics. Difficult to have humility when you spend all your time publicizing and increasing the size of your 'beowulf clusters'
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Post by missouriboy on Apr 26, 2021 19:40:27 GMT
We live with weather and ponder its aggregation as climate. Weather modelers and short term forecasters have become much better in the last decade or so. These "short-term prophets" generally recognize their limitations, while providing useful service. They work hard to improve this. Too bad that the wannabe long-term prophets don't have similar "humility" and ethics. Difficult to have humility when you spend all your time publicizing and increasing the size of your 'beowulf clusters' And I asked myself ... Self! What the hell is a beowulf cluster? So I looked it up ... A Beowulf cluster is a computer cluster of what are normally identical, commodity-grade computers networked into a small local area network with libraries and programs installed which allow processing to be shared among them. The result is a high-performance parallel computing cluster from inexpensive personal computer hardware.Wikipedia So, thank you Naut for expanding my knowledge base. Some people do this with facebook friends, and become part of an echo chamber cluster. Luckily, individual PCs don't yet have opinions, and thus, don't need to be unfriended or canceled.
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Post by nautonnier on Apr 26, 2021 23:32:10 GMT
Difficult to have humility when you spend all your time publicizing and increasing the size of your 'beowulf clusters' And I asked myself ... Self! What the hell is a beowulf cluster? So I looked it up ... A Beowulf cluster is a computer cluster of what are normally identical, commodity-grade computers networked into a small local area network with libraries and programs installed which allow processing to be shared among them. The result is a high-performance parallel computing cluster from inexpensive personal computer hardware.Wikipedia So, thank you Naut for expanding my knowledge base. Some people do this with facebook friends, and become part of an echo chamber cluster. Luckily, individual PCs don't yet have opinions, and thus, don't need to be unfriended or canceled. Glad I could expand the knowledge - needless to say I had NO idea what the cluster was until one of my students a German who would read compiler code before bed, said that he thought it was the way to go. He was supported by a 'hacker' we had who wrote what I called stiffware. Change anything anywhere in his programs and they would just stop working - as he made use of compiler features that nobody else seemed to know about. You can get a real feeling of inferiority with a 20 plus team like that but I knew the operational requirements that they needed to meet and they had unexplained blanks in their knowledge like which of those states is Iowa or Idaho? Having someone demonstrably English teaching them US geography and history made them realize there was more to life than compiler directives and then they would ask what are the rules for say pressure settings for aircraft operations and you can define them word perfect without pause So i have been working remotely with one of them a naturalized Turk who just got his PhD in AI and ML who I keep kidding about Constantinople and he says well we won at Gallipoli (my grandfather was a landing craft coxswain aka Lighterman at Gallipoli and was wounded but the only survivor on his lighter after picking up the landed troops to transfer back to HMS en.wikipedia.org/wiki/HMS_Euryalus_(1803) Euraylus .) Gallipoli was one of the biggest cockups ever, makes a bridge too far and Mons look like spectacular successes.
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Post by missouriboy on Apr 27, 2021 0:21:30 GMT
And I asked myself ... Self! What the hell is a beowulf cluster? So I looked it up ... A Beowulf cluster is a computer cluster of what are normally identical, commodity-grade computers networked into a small local area network with libraries and programs installed which allow processing to be shared among them. The result is a high-performance parallel computing cluster from inexpensive personal computer hardware.Wikipedia So, thank you Naut for expanding my knowledge base. Some people do this with facebook friends, and become part of an echo chamber cluster. Luckily, individual PCs don't yet have opinions, and thus, don't need to be unfriended or canceled. Glad I could expand the knowledge - needless to say I had NO idea what the cluster was until one of my students a German who would read compiler code before bed, said that he thought it was the way to go. He was supported by a 'hacker' we had who wrote what I called stiffware. Change anything anywhere in his programs and they would just stop working - as he made use of compiler features that nobody else seemed to know about. You can get a real feeling of inferiority with a 20 plus team like that but I knew the operational requirements that they needed to meet and they had unexplained blanks in their knowledge like which of those states is Iowa or Idaho? Having someone demonstrably English teaching them US geography and history made them realize there was more to life than compiler directives and then they would ask what are the rules for say pressure settings for aircraft operations and you can define them word perfect without pause So i have been working remotely with one of them a naturalized Turk who just got his PhD in AI and ML who I keep kidding about Constantinople and he says well we won at Gallipoli (my grandfather was a landing craft coxswain aka Lighterman at Gallipoli and was wounded but the only survivor on his lighter after picking up the landed troops to transfer back to HMS en.wikipedia.org/wiki/HMS_Euryalus_(1803) Euraylus .) Gallipoli was one of the biggest cockups ever, makes a bridge too far and Mons look like spectacular successes. If you guys ever need a GIS guy let me know. I have expensive software requirements and a hankering to move to Florida.
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Post by nonentropic on Apr 27, 2021 1:45:03 GMT
Yes, Naut we just had ANZAC day also a direct result of Gallipoli where something like 1% of New Zealand's population was slaughter in a few months. Think about that if 3.5 Million Americans died in one battle what would transpire, we like the Australians, bless their souls, celebrate with Rugby matches and Dawn parades.
It became a founding element of both nations. Not sure if that is a good thing!!
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Post by nautonnier on Apr 30, 2021 19:58:14 GMT
Yes, Naut we just had ANZAC day also a direct result of Gallipoli where something like 1% of New Zealand's population was slaughter in a few months. Think about that if 3.5 Million Americans died in one battle what would transpire, we like the Australians, bless their souls, celebrate with Rugby matches and Dawn parades. It became a founding element of both nations. Not sure if that is a good thing!! It is history to be learned from (or not) The Navy tried to repeat the same method of losing before you start in the Falklands, landing troops in the wrong bay then having 2 completely undefended troop ships the 'Sir Galahad' and 'Sir Tristram' sail around to the next bay to 'save time' instead they got bombed. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bluff_Cove_air_attacks RAF CH-47 Chinook, Bravo November was flown by a friend of mine who joined the RAF with me. He had taken it up on air test when he was told that the 'Atlantic Conveyor' a misused container ship they were operating the CH47's from had been sunk. He's still miffed about the kit that he lost as all he was left with was the kit he was air testing in.
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Post by acidohm on May 1, 2021 8:11:51 GMT
Yes, Naut we just had ANZAC day also a direct result of Gallipoli where something like 1% of New Zealand's population was slaughter in a few months. Think about that if 3.5 Million Americans died in one battle what would transpire, we like the Australians, bless their souls, celebrate with Rugby matches and Dawn parades. It became a founding element of both nations. Not sure if that is a good thing!! It is history to be learned from (or not) The Navy tried to repeat the same method of losing before you start in the Falklands, landing troops in the wrong bay then having 2 completely undefended troop ships the 'Sir Galahad' and 'Sir Tristram' sail around to the next bay to 'save time' instead they got bombed. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bluff_Cove_air_attacks RAF CH-47 Chinook, Bravo November was flown by a friend of mine who joined the RAF with me. He had taken it up on air test when he was told that the 'Atlantic Conveyor' a misused container ship they were operating the CH47's from had been sunk. He's still miffed about the kit that he lost as all he was left with was the kit he was air testing in. That's a famous aircraft!! It has a plaque in it commemorating it's involvement. There's documentaries on it, and your friend I believe, is a Hero. Hero's continue to be born in this airframe... youtu.be/-xjbvz-vE2E
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Post by nautonnier on May 1, 2021 15:16:52 GMT
It is history to be learned from (or not) The Navy tried to repeat the same method of losing before you start in the Falklands, landing troops in the wrong bay then having 2 completely undefended troop ships the 'Sir Galahad' and 'Sir Tristram' sail around to the next bay to 'save time' instead they got bombed. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bluff_Cove_air_attacks RAF CH-47 Chinook, Bravo November was flown by a friend of mine who joined the RAF with me. He had taken it up on air test when he was told that the 'Atlantic Conveyor' a misused container ship they were operating the CH47's from had been sunk. He's still miffed about the kit that he lost as all he was left with was the kit he was air testing in. That's a famous aircraft!! It has a plaque in it commemorating it's involvement. There's documentaries on it, and your friend I believe, is a Hero. Hero's continue to be born in this airframe... youtu.be/-xjbvz-vE2ESpeaking as a long term controller - the safest place to shoot a pilot is in the head just an echo like hitting a drum. My compatriot was P2 you can see him handing out first aid supplies in the early shots.
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Post by acidohm on May 1, 2021 16:13:38 GMT
So I'm guessing you'd agree with the sentiment that the weakest part of any aircraft is the nut holding the flight controls Naut? 😉
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Post by nautonnier on May 1, 2021 16:28:11 GMT
It is history to be learned from (or not) The Navy tried to repeat the same method of losing before you start in the Falklands, landing troops in the wrong bay then having 2 completely undefended troop ships the 'Sir Galahad' and 'Sir Tristram' sail around to the next bay to 'save time' instead they got bombed. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bluff_Cove_air_attacks RAF CH-47 Chinook, Bravo November was flown by a friend of mine who joined the RAF with me. He had taken it up on air test when he was told that the 'Atlantic Conveyor' a misused container ship they were operating the CH47's from had been sunk. He's still miffed about the kit that he lost as all he was left with was the kit he was air testing in. That's a famous aircraft!! It has a plaque in it commemorating it's involvement. There's documentaries on it, and your friend I believe, is a Hero. Hero's continue to be born in this airframe... youtu.be/-xjbvz-vE2EAnyone flying something low and slow when there are ground troops with automatic weapons is either a 'hero' or an 'idiot' dependent on your point of view. When I first got back to London centre I was living close to a 'Master Tailor' [warrant officer] from the Blues and Royals. He was involved when the IRA thought that it would really advance their cause to blow up some of the ceremonial horses close to Buckingham Palace. When in fact it probably did more to unite the 'Brits' against the hardline IRA. You can see why that would be from the pics below. rarehistoricalphotos.com/seven-horses-of-the-queens-household-cavalry-lie-dead-1982/ So we got chatting and he had been in a small 'light tank' (Scorpion?) in the Falklands with a 2" gun and noticed that the attacking Argentinians were all following the same course up the valley turn back and run in to strafe/bomb. So he decided to treat it like a skeet shoot, and had his gunner aim at where the aircraft would be turning then call to fire when it looked appropriate he claimed 2 hits
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Post by nautonnier on May 1, 2021 18:54:25 GMT
So I'm guessing you'd agree with the sentiment that the weakest part of any aircraft is the nut holding the flight controls Naut? 😉 Certainly true when I was 'the n(a)ut' and you have this feeling that another couple of knots and you will be well and truly 'behind the aircraft'. 400kts at 50ft doing map reading is too exciting for some people. Of course if Acid wants to..... or in Wales against the Viet-taff High speed low level is what I missed - the truck driver C-130s and other transports were boring like swapping a 1000cc Harley Davidson for a Ford 350 or RAM truck. Just as an FYI in the next few days on Fox Tucker Carlson, you will be seeing an ex RAF policeman called Nick Pope who I met in MOD when I was setting up a Low Flying Booking and Information System that got called MARETS. He was in charge of the low flying complaints cell in MOD and handled all the UFO reporting. Most interesting low flying complaint was a from a farm vet who claimed a low flying aircraft broke his arm. He had his arm up the back end of a cow and the jet thundered over the top - cow decided to leap out of way and took (part of) the vet's arm with it. Absolutely true story What I was attempting to do was provide a planning system that would allow low flying aircraft to plan to miss each other - something a few aircraft had rather spectacularly failed to do and in the same MP's constituency. In the earlier days of my time in the RAF this would be met with the comment ' bound to lose a few' and attrition rates below 2% were not considered worth reporting. With draw downs 2% became a more significant percentage of the force so reporting and avoidance became more important.
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Post by missouriboy on May 4, 2021 2:53:53 GMT
Astro's latest on Facebook.
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