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Post by fatjohn1408 on Mar 15, 2019 13:47:33 GMT
We'll go by nsdic data for this one.
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Post by fatjohn1408 on Mar 15, 2019 13:48:40 GMT
I picked 5-5.3 million
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Post by sigurdur on Mar 16, 2019 1:11:25 GMT
4-4.4
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Post by wheels59 on Mar 16, 2019 9:53:41 GMT
5.6-6
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Post by fatjohn1408 on Mar 18, 2019 9:58:17 GMT
people seem to be optimistic.
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Post by neilhamp on Mar 18, 2019 16:26:31 GMT
Surprised to see so many people forecast 5+ I went for 4.7-5
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Post by sigurdur on Mar 18, 2019 16:36:24 GMT
Low Solar usually results in low ice, hence my 4.0-4.4
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Post by fatjohn1408 on Mar 19, 2019 21:41:29 GMT
Low Solar usually results in low ice, hence my 4.0-4.4 That's not true. 2008 - 2009 was the last low and was pretty high 2007 was the low year but that year only had 150 days without sunspots so only on the way to minimum. Prior to that I think 1996-97 was a real minimum and 96 was one of the highest since '79 and '97 was just above average.
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Post by fatjohn1408 on Apr 4, 2019 9:28:47 GMT
Ok I'm going to lock this poll in about a week or so. If anyone hasnt voted yet, this is your chance.
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Post by fatjohn1408 on Apr 5, 2019 18:34:17 GMT
I locked it already. Saw someone got a vote in for all time low. Current warm arctic is already nudging the ice in a steep retreat. Not fair versus those that guessed a month ago.
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Post by fatjohn1408 on Aug 8, 2019 12:22:37 GMT
Bumping this thread. We are at 5.7 already and looks very likely to head under 4.4 imo. This forum was clearly too optimistic in their expectations. Yours truly guilty of that as well.
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Post by Ratty on Aug 8, 2019 12:42:00 GMT
Bumping this thread. We are at 5.7 already and looks very likely to head under 4.4 imo. This forum was clearly too optimistic in their expectations. Yours truly guilty of that as well. What was Graywolf's guess?
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Post by sigurdur on Aug 8, 2019 13:51:21 GMT
What is the prize??
4-4.4
This year or next year will be the lowest minimum for decades to come. Very similar to the mid 1940's. I read a paper some time ago about the ice cycle of the Arctic. All the current events are right on time.
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Post by Ratty on Aug 8, 2019 22:34:42 GMT
What is the prize?? 4-4.4 This year or next year will be the lowest minimum for decades to come. Very similar to the mid 1940's. I read a paper some time ago about the ice cycle of the Arctic. All the current events are right on time. Got any more info, Sig ??
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Post by douglavers on Aug 8, 2019 22:52:27 GMT
4.14178
Not sure about the last decimal place
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