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Post by Ratty on May 8, 2021 14:54:08 GMT
Best visualisation of the 'demic? Even has the race issue covered.
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Post by nautonnier on May 8, 2021 19:24:46 GMT
I look at other sources of 'infection fear' and the films and videos like "mutant strain" or "Zombie Apocalypse" that really follow the same plot - it is a kind of 'race subconscious'. Along comes a slightly different variant of SARS-CoV-2 and the 'media studies grads' in big tech rush out the same plot that we are all going to die. Except that the way these things work is those strains with the highest IFR die out quickest (by definition). Those variants that have a high infection rate and low fatality rate become the dominant strain - that is the way evolution works. Kill the host organism fast and the variant dies with the hosts. Keep the host organism alive but infectious and the variant becomes dominant but less deadly.
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birder
Level 3 Rank
Posts: 223
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Post by birder on May 8, 2021 21:06:02 GMT
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Post by missouriboy on May 8, 2021 23:21:18 GMT
I and the Missus have decided to confront fate and bring him to his knees. We have recycled last summers airfare credits into a new set of tickets to Portugal leaving mid-July and returning mid-August. Gonna travel Portugal from the top to the bottom. And then cross over into Spain and do Seville, Cordoba, Malaga, Granada, Valencia and Barcelona. Then back to Lisbon in time to get our PCR tests and results within 72 hours before boarding the aircraft home (current US rules regardless of whether your vacinated or not). Airbnb all the way. If Spain won't let us in (if Portugal does then Spain, at a land crossing probably will) then we will rebook additional airbnbs in Portugal. May be up in the woods by then, but what the Hell. Damn the torpedoes, straight ahead. Tally ho!
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Post by Ratty on May 9, 2021 0:17:32 GMT
I and the Missus have decided to confront fate and bring him to his knees. We have recycled last summers airfare credits into a new set of tickets to Portugal leaving mid-July and returning mid-August. Gonna travel Portugal from the top to the bottom. And then cross over into Spain and do Seville, Cordoba, Malaga, Granada, Valencia and Barcelona. Then back to Lisbon in time to get our PCR tests and results within 72 hours before boarding the aircraft home (current US rules regardless of whether your vacinated or not). Airbnb all the way. If Spain won't let us in (if Portugal does then Spain, at a land crossing probably will) then we will rebook additional airbnbs in Portugal. May be up in the woods by then, but what the Hell. Damn the torpedoes, straight ahead. Tally ho!
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Post by missouriboy on May 9, 2021 0:35:32 GMT
Faith is the basis of all endeavor. Where is our Moses?
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Post by sigurdur on May 9, 2021 0:49:06 GMT
We are going to the American NW this summer. Want to do a bit in Canada, probably won't be able to enter legally. They are arresting pastors now for holding church services..... so, Canada may be a lost cause. 🤔
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Post by missouriboy on May 9, 2021 1:28:27 GMT
We are going to the American NW this summer. Want to do a bit in Canada, probably won't be able to enter legally. They are arresting pastors now for holding church services..... so, Canada may be a lost cause. 🤔 I am sure that "western Canadians" are capable of revolting.
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Post by sigurdur on May 9, 2021 1:58:51 GMT
We are going to the American NW this summer. Want to do a bit in Canada, probably won't be able to enter legally. They are arresting pastors now for holding church services..... so, Canada may be a lost cause. 🤔 I am sure that "western Canadians" are capable of revolting. All talk and no muster as of yet.
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Post by gridley on May 9, 2021 13:31:23 GMT
I am sure that "western Canadians" are capable of revolting. All talk and no muster as of yet. As far as I've heard, same here. Of course if it happened I probably wouldn't hear about it.
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Post by duwayne on May 9, 2021 17:59:26 GMT
I look at other sources of 'infection fear' and the films and videos like "mutant strain" or "Zombie Apocalypse" that really follow the same plot - it is a kind of 'race subconscious'. Along comes a slightly different variant of SARS-CoV-2 and the 'media studies grads' in big tech rush out the same plot that we are all going to die. Except that the way these things work is those strains with the highest IFR die out quickest (by definition). Those variants that have a high infection rate and low fatality rate become the dominant strain - that is the way evolution works. Kill the host organism fast and the variant dies with the hosts. Keep the host organism alive but infectious and the variant becomes dominant but less deadly. Clearly, the variants with the high infection rates become dominant. The daily COVID deaths in India with the new variants are up 4,000% from the level just 2 months ago and still climbing. The new variants do not appear to have a low fatality rate.
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Post by nautonnier on May 9, 2021 20:03:33 GMT
I look at other sources of 'infection fear' and the films and videos like "mutant strain" or "Zombie Apocalypse" that really follow the same plot - it is a kind of 'race subconscious'. Along comes a slightly different variant of SARS-CoV-2 and the 'media studies grads' in big tech rush out the same plot that we are all going to die. Except that the way these things work is those strains with the highest IFR die out quickest (by definition). Those variants that have a high infection rate and low fatality rate become the dominant strain - that is the way evolution works. Kill the host organism fast and the variant dies with the hosts. Keep the host organism alive but infectious and the variant becomes dominant but less deadly. Clearly, the variants with the high infection rates become dominant. The daily COVID deaths in India with the new variants are up 4,000% from the level just 2 months ago and still climbing. The new variants do not appear to have a low fatality rate. Depends how much you trust the figures from India - if the numbers were really that high the media would not have to misuse pics/video of events 2 years ago. COVID or Gas Leak?
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Post by nonentropic on May 10, 2021 1:47:47 GMT
I think the deaths data will be as solid as the data from the West, probably worked to the data suppliers' best advantage, such as subsidies.
"Infections" or "cases" are a function of testing quantity as much as anything so likely understated in a lower GDP country.
Critically the deaths per million have only recently risen towards a tenth of countries such as the US and UK. Deaths at 4000/day are 3people/day growth in deaths/Million so it would take nearly 2 years to reach the calamities that the West are and during that time they vaccinate probably 4 million/day having reached closing in on 200 million to date. So 400 days for 100%, but more critically to get to 50% which looks like the inflection point 130 days maybe. My pick India will have a washed-up death toll of 700K being 500/Million about 25% of what we define as developed countries. Issues or unknowns are the new variants and Ivermectin efficacy.
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Post by nautonnier on May 10, 2021 14:46:16 GMT
Do not attempt to download the video all you will get is:
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Post by nautonnier on May 10, 2021 19:32:24 GMT
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