Weatherbell, Bastardi's group, is forecasting 14-20 named storms, 7-11 hurricanes, 3-6 major hurricanes and total ACE 145-195 (Accumulated Cyclone Energy). Basis is a warm Atlantic main development region; warm Gulf of Mexico, no El Nino and Euro is showing a favorable MJO pattern.
"Climate scientists are predicting that as many as 20 named hurricanes will develop in the Atlantic basin during the six-month season that officially begins on Monday."
Anyone have any predictions on how many hurricanes we will have this year?
I predict that climate scientists will be able to name twenty hurricanes.
It's easy with satellites and a little adjustment - a fish storm way out in mid-Atlantic for 30 minutes becomes a hurricane and the counter goes. This is then compared with a busy period in the 50's when transient fish storms were of no interest and all the talking heads are claiming record years
"The rules are simple: They lie to us. We know they are lying. They know we know they are lying, but they keep lying to us and we keep pretending to believe them."