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Post by Ratty on Jul 28, 2015 5:17:47 GMT
You should give some more thought to that camper van Sig. It's obviously too dangerous to live up there.
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Post by sigurdur on Jul 28, 2015 18:04:25 GMT
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Post by flearider on Jul 28, 2015 20:31:55 GMT
wow .. and wow .. very strange events happening .. or are they ...
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Post by nonentropic on Jul 28, 2015 20:38:21 GMT
weather
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Post by acidohm on Jul 29, 2015 20:13:28 GMT
Metchecks synopsis on forecasted weather for the UK: "It is at this point when there is a chance that warmer and more settled conditions could take over across much of Britain and Ireland if the high to the east could fend off the Atlantic low. However the Atlantic low looks set to be an unusually deep feature for early August with forecast models suggesting a central pressure of below 975mb: This coupled with a strong jet stream means that there is only like to be one outcome: The Atlantic will have too much power once again and therefore the warmer air will again be readily pushed away to the east allowing Britain and Ireland to remain under the influence of Atlantic sourced weather. A band of rain will push eastwards early next week with sunshine and showers following, most of the showers again towards the north and west where it will be windy at times whilst south-eastern regions see more settled conditions under a weak ridge of high pressure:" Not 'extreme' unless you want to call it 'extremely mundane', but thats British weather for you....always mundane but sometimes extremely so But....definitely not warm.....
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Post by flearider on Jul 29, 2015 23:42:54 GMT
yep blackpool hottest time of the year .. 12deg c ... but it is 12:42 am last year we were looking at 18-20 at this time ..
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dresi
Level 3 Rank
Posts: 120
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Post by dresi on Jul 30, 2015 17:35:05 GMT
It seems I have moved 1 000 km south because I don't have any other explanation for what is happening. Still no rain and another long and brutal heatwave is no the way after few days of barely average temperatures. It's July and trees are shedding leaves, grass is long gone and rivers are almost empty. If you want to burst into flames, visit Central Europe. We have enough for everyone!
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Post by acidohm on Jul 30, 2015 18:35:29 GMT
It seems I have moved 1 000 km south because I don't have any other explanation for what is happening. Still no rain and another long and brutal heatwave is no the way after few days of barely average temperatures. It's July and trees are shedding leaves, grass is long gone and rivers are almost empty. If you want to burst into flames, visit Central Europe. We have enough for everyone! Wow...I can only assume the heat is getting concentrated south of the jetstream, it is currently over north France whereas it should be north of Scotland! !! Literally, I think u have the heat we don't, on top of what u would have had anyway!! I'm wondering if papers like this (and there are others) describe what we're experiencing?? www.principia-scientific.org/low-solar-activity-correlated-to-jet-stream-blocking-say-scientists.html
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Post by graywolf on Jul 31, 2015 11:12:05 GMT
I think low solar has been seen to coincide with atlantic blocking on our side of the pond but I'm not seeing any Atlantic blocking or northern 'blocking'?
I think the 'cold pool' has an input here but that the biggest screw has to be from the Arctic basin? since we began looking at the way ice loss impacted the jet we have seen more areas become 'ice free' by summers end . The initial studies ran from 2000 and were focused over our side of the basin ( Barentsz/Kara) and here in the UK we took the bigger hit from 07 through to 2012. We have not seen the flooding issues that the pre 2012 jet brought us and though we see the jet kinked south we are still seeing only 'lame' L.P. systems roll over us? Temp is the issue with week after week of p.m. air masses and unseasonable winds.
With Beaufort looking done by mid sept and nino stoking up i suggest another miserable east coast winter and another poor arctic winter ( high temps and low ice thickening?)
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Post by acidohm on Jul 31, 2015 12:57:41 GMT
With atlantic ssta plummeting and solar activity too....I'm getting decent tyres for pickup just in case. Bad winter likely 15/16 but not as likely as for 16/17....fear repeat of '09-'12/13 but more so.
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Post by dontgetoutmuch on Jul 31, 2015 16:51:23 GMT
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Post by sigurdur on Jul 31, 2015 17:47:26 GMT
I don't agree with him about the LIA being regional. There is too much proxy data showing it was global. NO, it wasn't cold everywhere all the time, but the cold areas were larger than the warm areas as a general rule. Even today, folks get mixed up in regards to warming/cooling. The USA has not warmed, in fact, it has cooled in the past 150 years. But we are a small part of the whole picture. Areas experience warm temperatures, and the sky is falling. Even tho this is weather, not climate. And that pesky magnetic field data that AGW folks want to totally ignore. A lot more going on that most want to admit.
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Post by slh1234 on Aug 1, 2015 7:46:14 GMT
Business travel - I don't do as much of this as I did 10 - 5 years ago, but this week has seem some of it: I've reported that it has been a cool spring and Summer in Busan, South Korea ... except for 2 - 4 days after a typhoon or tropical storm. Well, on Sunday, we were supposed to get another tropical storm - weakened from what was once a Cat 3 Typhoon. If it had hit at the time it was projected, it would have cancelled my flight, but it slowed down - almost stopped, and drifted east until it dissipated, and so it didn't affect my flight. So then I flew to Seattle for most of the week. It got above 90 degrees F for at least two of those days this week. I lived in the Seattle area for about 4 years prior to moving to Korea, and 90 degrees is HOT by Seattle standards. People think they're going to die (Nobody in my original home of Oklahoma laugh when Seattle thinks they're getting extreme weather - mind your Oklahoma manners like your Oklahoma mothers taught you Today, I flew down from Seattle to San Francisco where the weather is cooler than Seattle. I only have one day here, but the weather is about like normal for this time of year. My daughter and son-in-law are telling me continuously about how dry it is, though. I lived here for about 5 years before moving to Seattle (and I lived here when I first started visiting solarcycle24.com). This weather is about what you expect this time of year, as far as I can recall, but I'm using perception, and not highly calibrated instruments to say that. Tomorrow, I fly back to my current home in Busan, South Korea where, according to Weatherunderground, the hottest day in our 5 day forecast will have a high of 31 degrees (about 88 degrees F). We have air conditioners, but where I live, the only time we run them is when the wind is too high to keep the windows open. Most days, we have a good wind, and so the house really won't feel that hot with the windows open. FWIW, the coolest of the days in our 5 day forecast in Busan is projected to have a high of 27 degrees (About 80 degrees F). There's not much temperature swing projected from night to day in that time frame as we are right beside the sea.
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Post by sigurdur on Aug 1, 2015 17:36:04 GMT
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Post by douglavers on Aug 1, 2015 21:30:56 GMT
wattsupwiththat.com/2015/07/31/the-mathematics-of-carbon-dioxide-part-3/Interesting article in WUWT about CO2 and climate. Basically demolishes the idea that CO2 as the primary driver of climate using the IPCC's own numbers and formulae. Deserves a wider audience, but one despairs for science in this era. Once upon a time there was a paper written, in German, "On the Electrodynamics of Moving Bodies". I suspect it would not have passed the gatekeepers these days.
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