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Post by Ratty on Feb 8, 2019 6:38:01 GMT
Different back then Sig. They just didn't realise how important CO 2 was.
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Post by nautonnier on Feb 8, 2019 12:00:51 GMT
"2018 Temperature Prediction Competition: We Have A Winner! Date: 08/02/19
Global Warming Policy Forum The average prediction by GWPF readers was 0.59°C, and the median was 0.63°C. GWPF readers therefore did quite a lot better than the paid experts at the Met Office. A year ago, we asked readers to predict how global temperatures would evolve over 2018, for a chance to win a bottle of House of Lords whisky and a copy of Bernie Lewin’s history of the IPCC. GWPF readers, no doubt attracted by the educational possibilities of the book rather than the more prosaic pleasures of the whisky, came in great numbers and we ended up with a large number of entries. To add a little spice to the recipe, the Met Office had issued their own prediction, so this was also a chance for readers to pit themselves against the professionals."www.thegwpf.com/2018-temperature-prediction-competition-we-have-a-winner/
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Post by nautonnier on Feb 9, 2019 9:54:44 GMT
I think Piers may not agree with NASA
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Post by nautonnier on Feb 10, 2019 20:21:09 GMT
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Post by Ratty on Feb 10, 2019 23:55:56 GMT
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Post by nautonnier on Feb 12, 2019 11:40:29 GMT
The Hidden Hand of Activism
Unbiased scientific inquiry is not possible if the scientist has an agenda related to the research question in terms of his or her activism needs. In climate science the hidden hand of activism favors findings that support activism against fossil fuels. In this case, the researcher’s activism needs can be served with an excessive reliance on climate models that are programmed with the fossil fuel to CO2 emissions to rising atmospheric CO2 concentration to warming driven by way of climate sensitivity – that is the responsiveness of surface temperature to the logarithm of atmospheric CO2 concentration. Once objective scientific inquiry is corrupted in this way, the role of observational data is to verify the models and not to challenge the models. much more here: tambonthongchai.com/2019/02/03/hidden-hand/
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Post by nautonnier on Feb 12, 2019 12:13:49 GMT
Another bureau rewrite warms Australia’s climate history
Did you know that Australia’s rate of temperature warming per decade since 1910 has increased by 23%?
No? Neither does the Australian public, despite the Bureau of Meteorology several weeks ago releasing a new ACORN dataset of daily temperatures over the past 109 years that significantly rewrites Australia’s climate history.
ACORN 1 (Australian Climate Observations Reference Network – Surface Air Temperature) was released in 2012. The bureau has released ACORN 2 dailies, a total revision that significantly increases the warming trend calculated from the average temperatures since 1910 at 112 weather stations across the country.
The BoM hasn’t yet issued a press release to announce ACORN 2 and there’s been no media coverage. However, the bureau has published a report explaining the differences between ACORN 2 and ACORN 1, the dataset that got it wrong.wattsupwiththat.com/2019/02/11/another-bureau-rewrite-warms-australias-climate-history/
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Post by missouriboy on Feb 12, 2019 16:32:31 GMT
"2018 Temperature Prediction Competition: We Have A Winner! Date: 08/02/19
Global Warming Policy Forum The average prediction by GWPF readers was 0.59°C, and the median was 0.63°C. GWPF readers therefore did quite a lot better than the paid experts at the Met Office. A year ago, we asked readers to predict how global temperatures would evolve over 2018, for a chance to win a bottle of House of Lords whisky and a copy of Bernie Lewin’s history of the IPCC. GWPF readers, no doubt attracted by the educational possibilities of the book rather than the more prosaic pleasures of the whisky, came in great numbers and we ended up with a large number of entries. To add a little spice to the recipe, the Met Office had issued their own prediction, so this was also a chance for readers to pit themselves against the professionals."www.thegwpf.com/2018-temperature-prediction-competition-we-have-a-winner/ Might I suggest that "Frank" and the runners up be installed at the Met Office with power to fire and dissolve the obvious incompetence. As the denizens of said place have spent too much time beyond the top of their favorite hangout ... the Error Bar. This without even noting that the UAH 2018 global satellite average anomaly was 0.23 C, 40% of the final Met estimate. The 2019 competition is now open, and our group ought to consider a go at the prize. Who will lead the charge? www.thegwpf.com/2019-temperature-prediction-competition/And while we are discussing the Met and HADCRUT4, perhaps a comparison to UAH. No surprises that the Met is higher than UAH and that the nearly 40 year Met trend has been increasing. Chart 2 shows the 2016-Jan.2019 trend. But look at chart 3. Seems that the bureaucrats may be hedging. The 1979-2015 difference from UAH had been up, up and away. But check out 2016-Jan.2019. The "slippery slimey weasel difference" is on the down turn. Having read the writing on the walls, they are looking toward retaining their cushy, worthless jobs? Nothing sobers an outlook like the proximity of a hanging (or something like that).
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Post by sigurdur on Feb 12, 2019 19:07:00 GMT
Duwayne!!
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Post by Ratty on Feb 12, 2019 20:30:37 GMT
The Hidden Hand of Activism
Unbiased scientific inquiry is not possible if the scientist has an agenda related to the research question in terms of his or her activism needs. In climate science the hidden hand of activism favors findings that support activism against fossil fuels. In this case, the researcher’s activism needs can be served with an excessive reliance on climate models that are programmed with the fossil fuel to CO2 emissions to rising atmospheric CO2 concentration to warming driven by way of climate sensitivity – that is the responsiveness of surface temperature to the logarithm of atmospheric CO2 concentration. Once objective scientific inquiry is corrupted in this way, the role of observational data is to verify the models and not to challenge the models. much more here: tambonthongchai.com/2019/02/03/hidden-hand/Jamal has re-written some of that .... now reads: Unbiased scientific inquiry is not possible if the scientist has an agenda related to the research question in terms of his or her activism needs. In climate science the hidden hand of activism favors findings that support activism against fossil fuels. In this case, the researcher’s activism needs can be served with an excessive reliance on climate models. This is because climate models are pre-programmed with CO2 emissions to rising atmospheric CO2 concentration to warming driven by way of climate sensitivity. Thus, empirical tests of theory will always support the theory because climate models are an expression of theory. This is why objective scientific inquiry requires that empirical tests of theory must be independent of theory. In climate science, the use of climate models corrupts empirical tests.
Once objective scientific inquiry is corrupted in this way, the role of observational data is to verify the models and not to challenge the models.
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Post by missouriboy on Feb 12, 2019 20:36:18 GMT
I think Piers may not agree with NASA Lies, damned lies and statistics. Which do you think Piers prefers?
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Post by missouriboy on Feb 12, 2019 20:47:33 GMT
I'm sure it must just be a processing error? Or SLOW mail? It seems that AOC just got it ... and must have misread the dates? She missed Armageddon and didn't even notice.
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Post by Ratty on Feb 12, 2019 21:33:37 GMT
I'm sure it must just be a processing error? Or SLOW mail? It seems that AOC just got it ... and must have misread the dates? She missed Armageddon and didn't even notice. Not noticing the date is a definite Internet hazard. The date of publication is one of the first things I now look for on anything I read.
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ant42
Level 3 Rank
Melbourne, Australia
Posts: 129
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Post by ant42 on Feb 12, 2019 22:38:39 GMT
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Post by Ratty on Feb 12, 2019 22:46:15 GMT
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