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Post by nautonnier on Jan 21, 2018 9:37:30 GMT
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Post by missouriboy on Jan 21, 2018 10:12:58 GMT
USGS is full of little niches like this. We had native fish and frog guys in Flagstaff.
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Post by Ratty on Jan 21, 2018 11:55:40 GMT
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Post by sigurdur on Jan 21, 2018 20:04:01 GMT
ca.news.yahoo.com/newly-commissioned-u-combat-ship-165115599.htmlMONTREAL — A brand new Navy warship that has been stuck in Montreal for weeks will spend the winter in Canada after its journey to Florida was thwarted by cold and ice. The USS Little Rock was commissioned in Buffalo on Dec. 16 in a grand ceremony attended by over 8,000 people that featured a brass band, speeches by military leaders and a chaplain who prayed for "fair winds and following seas."
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Post by sigurdur on Jan 21, 2018 22:10:34 GMT
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Post by Ratty on Jan 21, 2018 23:48:39 GMT
Gavin's right, of course. There is natural variation.
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Post by missouriboy on Jan 22, 2018 0:48:56 GMT
So ... ignore the inconvenient weather, which does not fit the message. It is merely noise.
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Post by nautonnier on Jan 22, 2018 1:06:25 GMT
Was on the beach today in the cloud and rain. Air temperature barely made 55F the sea temperature seems to be around 10F lower than average... www.surf-forecast.com/breaks/Daytona-Beach/seatempNot good news as this is the Gulf Stream on its way to NW Europe.
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Post by nautonnier on Jan 22, 2018 11:43:22 GMT
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Post by glennkoks on Jan 22, 2018 13:02:00 GMT
It's much warmer here now but more records from January:
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Post by slh1234 on Jan 22, 2018 14:56:45 GMT
Can you explain what it means, please? The numbers, of course - not the sales terms.
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Post by missouriboy on Jan 22, 2018 15:40:41 GMT
Can you explain what it means, please? The numbers, of course - not the sales terms. You're gonna burn. East coast Yankee's are gonna freeze ... and we're gonna thread the needle.
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Post by missouriboy on Jan 22, 2018 15:44:21 GMT
It's much warmer here now but more records from January: And this is how weather becomes climate ... one multiple records at a time.
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Post by youngjasper on Jan 22, 2018 15:54:15 GMT
slh, the numbers represent years (33 is 1933, etc.) which Big Joe uses as analogues to make his forecast. The 5,4,3,2,1 represents the weighted blend of the years. He looks for similar patterns in past years to make forecasts. He sees in those years the cold, warm and now predicted cold coming again. So expect the East US to be warmer than average and then turn cold again, and he believes very cold.
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Post by missouriboy on Jan 22, 2018 17:30:19 GMT
slh, the numbers represent years (33 is 1933, etc.) which Big Joe uses as analogues to make his forecast. The 5,4,3,2,1 represents the weighted blend of the years. He looks for similar patterns in past years to make forecasts. He sees in those years the cold, warm and now predicted cold coming again. So expect the East US to be warmer than average and then turn cold again, and he believes very cold. Well said. Big Joe has said he believes in cycles and his analogue techniques are proving to be pretty accurate ... never exact but 'rhymes' as Mr Twain remarked. The Dogmatrons never see the light ... or choose to ignore it. Their willful ignorance will yet bite them ... as it should.
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