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Post by icefisher on Jan 16, 2010 21:09:07 GMT
From Joe Bastardi European Weather BlogI said that if the El Nino sticks around 2010 will be a record warm year. I'm not sure what Joe Bastardi's self congratulatory guff has got to do with that statement. Sticks around? Is that until tomorrow, next week, next month, all year?
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Post by nautonnier on Jan 16, 2010 21:38:17 GMT
It looks a little weak at the moment - especially compared to the huge warm anomaly between New Zealand and Chile. El bastardo gigante?
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Post by hairball on Jan 16, 2010 21:46:38 GMT
I've heard it speculated (from ship-based measurements earlier in the century) that the warm patch in the South Pacific is normal for a large El Nino. The reasoning is that during the first 2 (edit: large) El Ninos since the satellites went up El Chichon and Pinatubo prevented the feature from forming. Could this be the reason for apparent global warming: the volcanos' clouds disrupted a teleconnection between the two poles? (fixed, thanks sigurdur
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Post by sigurdur on Jan 16, 2010 21:49:32 GMT
I've heard it speculated (from ship-based measurements earlier in the century) that the warm patch in the South Atlantic is normal for a large El Nino. The reasoning is that during the first 2 El Ninos since the satellites went up El Chichon and Pinatubo prevented the feature from forming. Could this be the reason for apparent global warming: the volcanos' clouds disrupted a teleconnection between the two poles? Did you mean South Pacific hairball?
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Post by nautonnier on Jan 17, 2010 3:10:53 GMT
I've heard it speculated (from ship-based measurements earlier in the century) that the warm patch in the South Pacific is normal for a large El Nino. The reasoning is that during the first 2 (edit: large) El Ninos since the satellites went up El Chichon and Pinatubo prevented the feature from forming. Could this be the reason for apparent global warming: the volcanos' clouds disrupted a teleconnection between the two poles? (fixed, thanks sigurdur The archive only goes back so far but looking at 2002-2003 El Nino There is no huge South Pacific warm spot.
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