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Post by Bob k6tr on Jun 15, 2011 17:52:45 GMT
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Post by Bob k6tr on Jun 15, 2011 17:48:18 GMT
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Post by Bob k6tr on Jun 15, 2011 17:45:08 GMT
Hi, I'm new on this site. I have a question, when the sun goes in a minimum, does it in any way affect its plasma qualities? Another question, but this one is of a vocabulary nature. I remember reading a post on this board once, (I think it was bob kt6r), reprimanding an idiot who was flaming someone. He used a spanish or italian word at the end of his post, and I'm trying to remember what it was. I think it was "Claro?", as in "Do you understand?" or something like that. Could someone (hopefully) Bob kt6r remind me the word please. Sorry, I suffer from OCD, I just need to know this small piece of info. I know it is irrelevant, but that's how it works sometimes for me. I wont bother you anymore after thanks. I was writing on a another board and I was trying to remember that word I read to use it, and remembered reading it here.. Please help me out Plasma I never kick and rarely admonish someone for using any particular word. The incident you metioned happened quite a while ago and the name of the poster escapes me. What I do remember is he made a series of posts disparging other members. After being warned about his behavior he decided to take corrective action by posting his attacks in Italian. One such attack lead the recipient to leave the board. I don't know a word of Italian but do know how to use Babel Fish. Although the translation was rough it was apparent the attack was none to flattering. The fact that he chose to disguise his attack in a language that few know was a taccit admission that he knew his conduct was unacceptable. With that he was kicked. It has been sometime since that incident and the conduct of people on the board has been very good for an extended period. (I'm knocking on wood.) These incidents/posters seem to come in spurts. Hopefully this run still has a very long ways to go. Bob K6TR
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Post by Bob k6tr on May 17, 2011 20:03:07 GMT
I note the north field has gone to zero when it often does not. How significant is that? Both Fields reverse one each solar cycle. By Solar Minimum they will be opposite of where they were the cycle before. As the fields oscillate the number of times they cross 0 depends on several factors. Namely how steep the transition is and the period of oscillation.
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Post by Bob k6tr on May 13, 2011 8:14:34 GMT
Anymore information from Wilcox about surges in Magnetic Field Strength at the Poles ? It looks like there is still is a sizable coronal hole in the South.
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Post by Bob k6tr on May 11, 2011 5:13:11 GMT
Happy Birthday
I know, I know
When you get to our age you don't want to be reminded anymore. ;D
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Post by Bob k6tr on Apr 24, 2011 9:49:14 GMT
Has remained above 100 for 34 consecutive days. Nothing very high and nothing very low.
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Post by Bob k6tr on Apr 7, 2011 7:44:29 GMT
There was a sharp 3% drop in the Oulu cosmic ray count cosmicrays.oulu.fi/#databasefrom March 29 -30 .Since then the down trend has been significantly steeper. Could anyone suggest any fairly sudden solar event which could account for these observations? High-speed solar wind stream making its presence felt. Definite Solar Broom Effect.
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Post by Bob k6tr on Apr 6, 2011 21:04:52 GMT
Does such a graph exist for all solar cycles dr Svalgaard ? France ask SIDC (Sloar Influences Data Center) that is where the graph comes from.
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Post by Bob k6tr on Apr 3, 2011 20:02:38 GMT
But remember Leif a considerable part of that can be attributed to the difference between the 27 day Solar Rotation and the quirky calendar month system that contains 30 to 31 days. Last month is a classic example. With 31 Days and some favorable triming March was ablle to include a very active band of Longitudes twice. That goosed the numbers rendering an artificially high Monthly Sunspot Number. Stop and ponder this. Over the last several days the 304A Index reading surpassed the record high of 231 (@ EVE) set early in the month. This comes despite the fact the 27 Day Daily Sunspot Number peaked 4% lower than early in the month and the 10.7 cm SFI was down 20% from the levels recorded early in the month. As I type this out the 304A Index is tickling 235. Bob, Those up- and down swings are still there even if you average for 27 days. And if you look at the graph for Cycle 24 you will see the the monthly number remained at or below 5 for the first 12 months of the Cycle. Returning to Cycle 14 It showed 3 peaks during the same time period. The first of 12 at Month 2 the second of 15 at month 8 and the third of 15 at month 12. No such activity took place during the first 12 months of Cycle 24. Now we are entering the phase of rapid runnup phase of Cycle 24. The March Number peak at a SN of 56 27 months after Minimum while the same such Peak for Cycle 14 occurred 30 months after Minimum. Nonetheless I pointed out that a statistical anomoly lead to an inflated Monthly Number for March. April may even see a decline in real activity. With that being said it is readily apparent that Cycle 24 is overtaking but still show a substantial increase over previous dips. The next few months will be key in determining what happens but if the peak is more than a year away it is pretty certain it will be considerably high than that of Cycle 14. And from what I see of hemispheric activity there will be 2 Peaks to Cycle 24 like what occurred in Cycle 23 and not 4 Peaks that occurred in Cycle 14. Beyond that to hold out Cycle 14 as a model for Cycle 24 is to engage in numerology. People become emotionally attached their statements and then see only what they want to see. If you want to see a more open minded comparison use Which compares a number of similar Cycles
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Post by Bob k6tr on Apr 3, 2011 5:07:31 GMT
Thanks solarstormlover. If those numbers are correct we should move above the trendline predictions by NOAA. Maybe certain websites will even do a mea culpa for all the crap they have written about them. But remember solar cycle 14 and its wild swings: But remember Leif a considerable part of that can be attributed to the difference between the 27 day Solar Rotation and the quirky calendar month system that contains 30 to 31 days. Last month is a classic example. With 31 Days and some favorable triming March was ablle to include a very active band of Longitudes twice. That goosed the numbers rendering an artificially high Monthly Sunspot Number. Stop and ponder this. Over the last several days the 304A Index reading surpassed the record high of 231 (@ EVE) set early in the month. This comes despite the fact the 27 Day Daily Sunspot Number peaked 4% lower than early in the month and the 10.7 cm SFI was down 20% from the levels recorded early in the month. As I type this out the 304A Index is tickling 235.
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Post by Bob k6tr on Apr 1, 2011 4:38:08 GMT
Yes, the page looks good and updated:) I hope that doesn't scare you off from our thread, it is active and using your site as reference quite frequently. Hopefully us over at GLP will be able to get you some paying users, I personally am too broke to help at the moment.. GLP gets millions of hits per day btw, and not many complaints about viruses. It must have been some kind of coincidence that you got one at the same time you followed the link I posted, sorry about that.. Thanks I will however be looking to add E-Mail + E-Mail to SMS alert Yearly Subscriptions soon and also a T-Shirt option to help raise money, not so much to support the website.. however to support myself. After 10 years, I will most likely be losing my job due to our call center facility closing and shipping jobs overseas. I will most likely be out of work Starting August 1st. I will be on unemployment for up to 40 some weeks, however I would rather try and sustain myself using this website and providing a service. Jobs are hard to come by in this town, and I dont really want to lose the roof over my head. Kevin Hi Kevin Sorry to read about your impending job loss. Sadly this is all to familiar. If there is a bright side you will be laid off near the peak of the Cycle. So set aside the month of August to finish off the paperwork chores associated being laid-off. By the week in September the HF Bands should be picking up big time.. BTW the Tee-Shirt thing is a good idea and I have an idea to expand on it. Put me down for several shirts !
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Post by Bob k6tr on Mar 28, 2011 21:27:38 GMT
Notice To Airmen Regarding High Altitude Jetstream containg Radioactive Particulate Material. More than likely they will issue an alert to the carriers first. Im flying Lufthansa--would it be prudent to call them or the FAA? Best, The Carrier has a vested economic interest in seeing that you, and every other passenger, gets on that plane. They will tell you only if absolutely necessary. If you want to continue this discussion please PM me.
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Post by Bob k6tr on Mar 28, 2011 14:29:02 GMT
Hi Bob - Starting to panic here. Am flying NYC-Frankfurt on the evening of 3/30 and they are predicting M and possible xclass flares: www.swpc.noaa.gov/today.htmlI am traveling with my 13 month old and and am pregnant (very early)--would you advise to change my flight a couple of days later? Thank you very much for your advise... On that route ? NO If I were you I would be far more concerned about what is going on in Fukushima Japan. Unit 3 is fueled with Plutonium Oxide Fuel which is the nastiest substance known to Human Beings. Tests were done with that stuff involving beagle puppies. And what was found is there is no dose small enough that it did NOT cause cancer. Radioactive material is getting up into the jetstream and minute amounts been found across the US even as far east as Germany. I got off an airplane Friday and as I exitted I stopped to ask the flight crew a couple of questions regarding the matter and they replied that the FAA has not issued any notices to Air Carriers to step up inspections of aircraft air filtration systems. So right now things seem to be OK but the situation in Japan could deteriorate dramaticly over the coming weeks. And it sounds like they may not get out of the woods over there for another month or two. Keeping an eye on what the news media is reporting about Unit 3 in Fukushima. If you want more reassurance get in touch with the FAA before your flight to see if any notices to Carriers or NOTAMs to Airmen have gone out.
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Post by Bob k6tr on Mar 24, 2011 4:52:05 GMT
thank you! I never knew that would you all have other sites i can dig into to read more about? to save you all from me ;D Not much in the way of Heliophysics Basics but a great deal of info www.solen.info/solar
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