Is your delayed predicate significant to peak? If it were not delayed then it would be simultaneous and merely added. The current SSN is a "delayed" peak. That it survives smoothing is another question.
Just not as easy to find it as it once was, but the data on the current cycle is easier to find. Still I strongly appreciate the fact that this site and its message board is available to get unfiltered information and expert opinions!
Ole Doc Sief Summum crede nefas animam praeferre pudori et propter vitam vivendi perdere causas. Count it the greatest sin to prefer life to honor, and for the sake of living to lose what makes life worth living
I know we all really want the trend to go up! But really no rocket science to see it's going down? I don't even have to look at the current trend just see what's going on around with the world weather? Everywhere we get new records even in the southern hemisphere!
Some observations show that sunspots’ magnetic field strength varies with the solar cycle, and others (including de Toma’s) show that sunspots’ magnetic fields aren’t changing with time. De Toma was even able to reproduce Penn’s results by excluding small sunspots, suggesting Penn’s trend might result from the way his team selects the sunspots they measure.
I wonder why there were no weak sunspots detected before 2006. There have always been weak sunspots (pores), that were just visible. So small sunspots weren't observed before that time. So this graph only shows that their detection levels are getting better, or their observations are more complete, small sunspots are now included.
So, when are the "experts" going to start predicting cycles as double-peaked? Could it have been any more obvious than with this cycle - and yet the single peak red line remains. No matter how it ends up, in my opinion, everyone failed except for the "fringe" who, with no scientific precedent other than the shape of the last cycles, suspected a more spread out double peak.
At the start of the next cycle, I'm going to post my double peaked prediction, and we'll see who gets it closer - the traditionalists or the hacks.
See you in another 7.5 years. Oh yeah, another hack prediction.
Thinking some more here, will the peaks continue to spread to the point where they occur during solar minima, and therefore not show any sunspots at all? Is this what causes a Maunder Minimum? If it does, let's hope they don't name it after some scientist who refused to predict dual peaks.