Solar Cycle 24 Main Discussion XI

[cuttydyer]

Apr 24, 2013 10:43:33 GMT AD6AA said:

Am I missing it or is the link to this message board gone from SOLARHAM.COM?

I used Google to get here.

Mike
AD6AA

Now available via the main drop down menu:

[AD6AA]

Thanks.

I looked in the menu and must have missed it. Not much activity here, maybe I'm not the only one missing the link.

Mike
AD6AA

[randwick]

.
What are the chances for a delayed second peak ?
the last cycles had one with what seems to be an increased differentiation ,
is it hemispheric ?

[Doug Huffman]

Is your delayed predicate significant to peak? If it were not delayed then it would be simultaneous and merely added. The current SSN is a "delayed" peak. That it survives smoothing is another question.

May 6, 2013 22:15:29 GMT randwick said:

.
What are the chances for a delayed second peak ?
the last cycles had one with what seems to be an increased differentiation ,
is it hemispheric ?

[cuttydyer]

Weak article from the Mail:



Link: www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2321187/Look-Nasa-releases-stunning-image-latest-flare-heading-Earth-sun-heads-solar-maximum.html

[miedosoracing]

Same here, went around google to find the forum. I actually even clicked on the drop down. Missed it totally. Anyways, I guess if you want to find it, you will. LOL.

[Ole Doc Sief]

Just not as easy to find it as it once was, but the data on the current cycle is easier to find. Still I strongly appreciate the fact that this site and its message board is available to get unfiltered information and expert opinions!

[andor]

I know we all really want the trend to go up!
But really no rocket science to see it's going down?
I don't even have to look at the current trend just see what's going on around with the world weather?
Everywhere we get new records even in the southern hemisphere!

Just my thoughts............

[jcarels]

Interesting article on the website of Sky & Telescope. Nice so see that not all solar scientist agree on the Livingston & Penn effect.

www.skyandtelescope.com/news/The-Weakest-Solar-Cycle-in-100-Years-216752671.html

Some observations show that sunspots’ magnetic field strength varies with the solar cycle, and others (including de Toma’s) show that sunspots’ magnetic fields aren’t changing with time. De Toma was even able to reproduce Penn’s results by excluding small sunspots, suggesting Penn’s trend might result from the way his team selects the sunspots they measure.

Oct 6, 2011 12:47:40 GMT jcarels said:

I wonder why there were no weak sunspots detected before 2006. There have always been weak sunspots (pores), that were just visible. So small sunspots weren't observed before that time.
So this graph only shows that their detection levels are getting better, or their observations are more complete, small sunspots are now included.

[justsomeguy]

Anyone computed the average sunspot and flux numbers for last month?

[sigurdur]

The sun has "flipped upside down", with its north and south poles reversed to reach the midpoint of Solar Cycle 24, Nasa has said.

www.yalibnan.com/2013/12/30/the-sun-has-flipped-upside-down-nasa/

[sixpac]

Apr 10, 2013 12:03:58 GMT Bob k6tr said:

Mar 26, 2013 17:10:38 GMT justsomeguy said:

I am still betting the L & P effect has reduced a normal cycle to a low cycle and the length will be shorter than expected (eg pretty normal length of 11-12 years), of course, only a guess.

The mean length (for whatever its worth) of the Cycles on Record is 10.7 years

Is 10.7 years correct?

I was actually browsing earlier and found it on wiki saying mean duration (years) as being 11.1

[n3eg]

So, when are the "experts" going to start predicting cycles as double-peaked? Could it have been any more obvious than with this cycle - and yet the single peak red line remains. No matter how it ends up, in my opinion, everyone failed except for the "fringe" who, with no scientific precedent other than the shape of the last cycles, suspected a more spread out double peak.

At the start of the next cycle, I'm going to post my double peaked prediction, and we'll see who gets it closer - the traditionalists or the hacks.

See you in another 7.5 years. Oh yeah, another hack prediction.

[n3eg]

Thinking some more here, will the peaks continue to spread to the point where they occur during solar minima, and therefore not show any sunspots at all? Is this what causes a Maunder Minimum? If it does, let's hope they don't name it after some scientist who refused to predict dual peaks.

[dontgetoutmuch]

Hi Guys,

Is today the first spotless day?