Astronut wrote:
"This cold, wet early spring will lead to a wet, humid and cloudy summer generally, as that is what astronomic transits show me."
"There's another bone dry year with little rain, short water supplies, heat waves, blistering temperatures and spread of the drought this year."
Just which is it wet humid and cloudy? Or bone dry with little rain...?
But I will agree your going to be correct one way or the other.
Again, Glenn, learn the proper vocabulary. It is Astromet, not 'astronut.' And it is YOU'RE not "YOUR."
It is not a wonder why you appear to be unable to understand the complexities of climate and weather. You cannot even learn the difference between you're and your - after constant corrections of your English, by me. You need to stop playing with yourself kiddo.
The weather is not the same everywhere. It is not 'one-size fits all.' That's childish thinking.
If you are to post Glenn, then enlighten, and show some intelligence and commonsense. Moreover, also know how to learn that which you yourself do not yet know - rather than to act out. Quit writing such stupid shit on my thread, calling people names and acting like a buffoon.
If you cannot act like a grown-up, then take your stupidity back to your parents. We are not babysitters here for you Glenn. Change your own diapers pal. You should be old enough to have been potty-trained by now, yes?
Now, there is drought in some regions, while in others it is cold and wet - in the same hemisphere and often in the same conus and regions. The affects of coldness, wetter conditions, along with drought, then followed by heavy rains can and do exist at the same time.
An astrometeorological lesson for you:
These extremes - floods and droughts - are forced by astronomic configurations, and especially the condition of the Sun relative to Earth. The ideal scenario requires that precipitation be supplied at a decent regular rate, and for dry weather to arrive at a regular rate as well.
But this cannot be measured by averages because deviations from ideal climate conditions cannot be fully understood by counting just floods and droughts. Floods are short term events that make headline news. At the same time, heavy rains do not become trouble, that is, until the fruits and crops start to rot.
Droughts are long term climate events that make headlines as well. It will take time for the available water to flow away and you will notice light rains waning until it becomes drier and drier leaving little time to adjust. This happened to many farmers worldwide last year, including in North America.
Climate regions are basically defined by the average annual rainfall they receive. And yet these averages are very easy to misinterpret. For instance, any region can have an average annual rainfall of say 20 inches, but if it gets 20 inches of rainfall in 1-2 days, then receives little to no rain the rest of the year, then the area will have a few days of flooding, followed by eleven months of drought.
Now, this occurred in the Atlanta, Georgia several years ago. Atlanta had what they called a 'record drought,' and the drought ended with a record rain event that flooded many parts of the city. So, at the end of the year the record showed that Atlanta had nearly normal annual rainfall.
In climate situations like the drought in the Corn Belt, there is more than one type of excess water. Ecosystems require the correct amount of water and more water is not always better. It is best to be within normal ranges for the region in question. We are all aware of floods, but we must remember floods are not the only excess water problem. A flood usually becomes a problem, not because rivers simply overflow their banks, but because human activity encroaches on flood plains.
My forecast for the growing season means a late start, then a muggy, wet and mostly cloudy summer with variable, but warmer temperatures and heavy rains that can cause problems for farmers during the summer season. MOst crops and many plants require time to dry out after rainfall.
If they don't dry out, then they begin to mold and rot. And some plants, even with light rainfall that happens persistently, will destroy the fruit. So you see that excess water conditions can occur even without flooding.
For the Corn Belt, is also not safe to conclude that any normal annual rainfall means that no drought exists. This is because field moisture and groundwater may still be low. So one cannot come to a conclusion that heavy rains will end drought, because field moisture and groundwater cannot be determined from total rainfall or river levels as the result of heavy rains that runs off into fields and then into rivers.
Long-term averages and outliers do not accurately tell us whether we have healthy water conditions to maintain ourselves, livestock and fields.
For instance, field droughts happen when soil fails to maintain enough moisture to support crops. So, any water is drawn out of the soil by evaporation, roots and seepage into aquifers that are deeper.
Tilling the soil and reducing plant diversity can increase losses to evaporation. So can the wind and low humidity. Water is absorbed mainly from rains and snowfall. However, absorption has a highly nonlinear relationship with precipitation rate as most of the water from heavy rains rapidly run off the top of the soil and into a river.
A field drought can start just after a heavy rain event - even when reservoirs are full. Much of the moisture from slowly melting snowpack - late snowmelt - will tend to soak into the soil.
So this means that a cold wet winter tends to be good for field water. But soil absorption rates can be slowed by compression from traffic and impermeable structures like as roads, patios, lawns and water-drainage projects. So, traffic and construction contribute to field droughts.
My calculations for this year's climate and resulting weather showed a cold, wet early spring that leads to a wet, humid and cloudy year.
For drought-affected regions in a multi-year drought, there's another bone dry year ahead for crops, with little rain, short water supplies, heat waves, blistering temperatures and spread of the drought this year.