State of Climate Science!

[sigurdur]

wattsupwiththat.com/2016/02/20/the-guardians-dana-nuccitelli-uses-pseudo-science-to-libel-dr-john-christy/

[sigurdur]

news.yahoo.com/map-shows-where-climate-change-160100393.html

Good luck with their predictions/analysis.

[Ratty]

Feb 22, 2016 23:30:07 GMT sigurdur said:

news.yahoo.com/map-shows-where-climate-change-160100393.html

Good luck with their predictions/analysis.

It will take a supercomputer to determine whether any of the predictions are correct .... or not. None of the older supercomputers are up to it (obviously) so, we need to dedicate more funds to the new generation SCs.

PS: I retired from the IT industry in 2002.

• To whom do I submit my grant application? 
• Will I have to upgrade my electricity supply? 
• Will it fit in the garage? 
• How many assistants will I need?

 

[missouriboy]

Feb 23, 2016 4:24:17 GMT Ratty said:

Feb 22, 2016 23:30:07 GMT sigurdur said:

news.yahoo.com/map-shows-where-climate-change-160100393.html

Good luck with their predictions/analysis.

It will take a supercomputer to determine whether any of the predictions are correct .... or not. None of the older supercomputers are up to it (obviously) so, we need to dedicate more funds to the new generation SCs.

PS: I retired from the IT industry in 2002.

• To whom do I submit my grant application? 
• Will I have to upgrade my electricity supply? 
• Will it fit in the garage? 
• How many assistants will I need?

 

The 'assumptions' alone (in 8-point font) would fill a 10-story government office building!
Good luck Ratty.  

[sigurdur]

Seems during the Roman Empire sea levels were considerably higher. This is documented by the canals for fish farms and salt mines.

www.yahoo.com/news/sea-level-rising-fastest-pace-2-800-years-000357615.html

[icefisher]

Feb 23, 2016 16:37:45 GMT sigurdur said:

Seems during the Roman Empire sea levels were considerably higher. This is documented by the canals for fish farms and salt mines.

www.yahoo.com/news/sea-level-rising-fastest-pace-2-800-years-000357615.html

Yep another indicator we have not fully recovered from the LIA.

[walnut]

The lying establishment bureaucrats have put some of us in the bizarre position of wishing for a new ice age.

[sigurdur]

Are you sure this is good news?

[sigurdur]

true, but even the best computer will be limited by crappy software.

[sigurdur]

Won't let me copy the abstract, but this is an interesting read!!!!

www.nature.com/articles/nclimate2938.epdf?referrer_access_token=EdjjubGeQDPGIx5vL1QW6dRgN0jAjWel9jnR3ZoTv0OqExA1EwYluYLwiaayT9ble9FcNagQ1ss5L1V0KiWd-xzbFQjp8p3e-nUsgU7jNuUykRRWZpgMltUfROWf3xSKeGSSY7TvMiWdaeBCmNzlbQKCodQ3ivWje8eZYAs8Dr1uu8L-i3CHt8f_jYiil5eU0vkTP9FQoSKFHHetLPsMBatVkmispiD6AK7RHliZN_I%3D&tracking_referrer=www.nature.com

One of the author's blog post

www.climate-lab-book.ac.uk/2016/making-sense/#comment-2008

The absolute value of the trend is not really relevant for such an assessment – it is far more instructive to examine how global temperatures have changed relative to our expectations, as represented by the CMIP5 simulations, for example.

Figure 1 also compares the observed trends with the CMIP5 simulations (grey shading). Note that CMIP5 also shows a recent drop in the expected rate of change for 15-year trends – the earlier peak is because of accelerated trends starting just after the 1991 eruption of Mt. Pinatubo, e.g. 1992-2006.

Observations should fall outside the simulated spread sporadically because of internal variability – we do not expect the observations to always match the ensemble mean. However, the recent observations are all continuously outside the ±1σ spread of the simulations for a lengthy period, which is obviously unusual. It is also not just global temperatures that have been unusual – the tropical Pacific sea surface temperatures & winds have also behaved well outside the simulated range.

[walnut]

I've learned to use tree rings to make forecasts.

[sigurdur]

They really do work well. You can cut one down and tell if the growing season was wet or dry.

How they are bent in the circle indicates the squirrel load. The squirrel load indicates how many nuts they found at the last AGW meeting.

Aw yes, the wonders of modern climate science.

[walnut]

My own tree ring count analysis indicates that we should close 40 coal powered plants per year.

[acidohm]

Feb 24, 2016 21:21:18 GMT walnut said:

My own tree ring count analysis indicates that we should close 40 coal powered plants per year.

Just out of interest Walnut, do you include locally absent and/or false bands in your counting, it's just my own research indicate we should close 38 coal powered plants , erect 50,000 wind turbines and stop cows farting......

[sigurdur]

Gosh, so now some want cows to blow up. Will climate scientists be within range to observe the repercussions of **** flying. Tenderized meat?

Think of the marketing potential! Habel meat for all!