2020 Worldwide Ag Production

[sigurdur]

A new year, new challenges.

South American weather generally looks favorable at this time.

Australia is a bit dry

European area looks good.

Russian area a bit dry, Ukraine is ok for now.


Chima is having problems.

Code, your up!

[Ratty]

Jan 3, 2020 15:36:56 GMT sigurdur said:

A new year, new challenges.

South American weather generally looks favorable at this time.

Australia is a bit dry

European area looks good.

Russian area a bit dry, Ukraine is ok for now.


Chima is having problems.

Code, your up!

Sig, love your use of understatement to make a point.

[sigurdur]

Subscriber only.........

[Ratty]

Climate sensitivity, agricultural productivity and the social cost of carbon in FUND

Abstract

We explore the implications of recent empirical findings about CO2 fertilization and climate sensitivity on the social cost of carbon (SCC) in the FUND model. New compilations of satellite and experimental evidence suggest larger agricultural productivity gains due to CO2 growth are being experienced than are reflected in FUND parameterization. We also discuss recent studies applying empirical constraints to the probability distribution of equilibrium climate sensitivity and we argue that previous Monte Carlo analyses in IAMs have not adequately reflected the findings of this literature. Updating the distributions of these parameters under varying discount rates is influential on SCC estimates. The lower bound of the social cost of carbon is likely negative and the upper bound is much lower than previously claimed, at least through the mid-twenty-first century. Also the choice of discount rate becomes much less important under the updated parameter distributions.

[acidohm]

Jan 3, 2020 15:36:56 GMT sigurdur said:

A new year, new challenges.

South American weather generally looks favorable at this time.

Australia is a bit dry

European area looks good.

Russian area a bit dry, Ukraine is ok for now.


Chima is having problems.

Code, your up!

Uk, no-one has really been able to get machines into fields since november....waterlogged.

[nautonnier]

Feb 16, 2020 7:49:30 GMT Ratty said:

Climate sensitivity, agricultural productivity and the social cost of carbon in FUND

Abstract

We explore the implications of recent empirical findings about CO2 fertilization and climate sensitivity on the social cost of carbon (SCC) in the FUND model. New compilations of satellite and experimental evidence suggest larger agricultural productivity gains due to CO2 growth are being experienced than are reflected in FUND parameterization. We also discuss recent studies applying empirical constraints to the probability distribution of equilibrium climate sensitivity and we argue that previous Monte Carlo analyses in IAMs have not adequately reflected the findings of this literature. Updating the distributions of these parameters under varying discount rates is influential on SCC estimates. The lower bound of the social cost of carbon is likely negative and the upper bound is much lower than previously claimed, at least through the mid-twenty-first century. Also the choice of discount rate becomes much less important under the updated parameter distributions.

All this erudition based on the false assumptions that there is proof that in the real atmosphere the small additional carbon dioxide from human activities has any effect and that a warmer atmosphere increases the heat content of the planet.

[acidohm]

[missouriboy]

Feb 16, 2020 14:21:53 GMT acidohm said:

Found this on a response to this page.  Interesting.  I think he is claiming superior Dutch political results.  

davidhembrow.blogspot.com/2014/02/why-does-britain-flood-more-readily.html

[acidohm]

Amongst the agricultural community, the environment agency, EU and environmentalism are to blame.

EU doesnt want rivers dredged to protect animals, EA doesnt do enough to maintain waterways and i beleive farmers used to get some payment for maintaining waterways on their land, which they now dont get and arent allowed anyway cuz EU greenies.

[Ratty]

It's an ill wind ......

[missouriboy]

Feb 17, 2020 6:02:12 GMT Ratty said:

It's an ill wind ......

Virus?

[Ratty]

Feb 17, 2020 6:11:28 GMT missouriboy said:

Feb 17, 2020 6:02:12 GMT Ratty said:

It's an ill wind ......

Virus?

Fart.

[nautonnier]

Comment Sig?

[missouriboy]

Feb 17, 2020 13:55:53 GMT nautonnier said:

Comment Sig?

Nuance is everything. Could Bloomberg grow a tomato or a potato?  Could he grow enough consistently to feed his family?  Could he grow enough effectively to feed 10000 people and make a profit?  Probably he'd just hire someone else to do it.  He should know better.  His logic seems to be that you cannot trust a farmer with a tractor.  He might go out and kill someone with it.  You have to sell him a license ... and that will solve everything.

[sigurdur]

I would like Mr. Bloomberg to try farming.

Not hire someone to farm for him. Actually do it.

I don't think he has the ability to start a tractor. 😂