Post by AstroMet on May 15, 2011 8:15:22 GMT
Good post Phydeaux,
Although La Nina values will continue to decline back to neutral we will remain with the effects of La Nina for most of this year as the clashes of cool and warm air systems that caused the tornadoes and heavy rains that have led to the floods continue into May.
It's been quite an eventful climate cycle since mid-2009 for the world with many weather records broken by ENSO, which is solar forced.
astromet,
I suggest that you and phydeaux both submit your novel interpretation for publication.
Thermostat, since you are young, inexperienced and still ignorant on what constitutes and regulates the Earth's climate I again suggest you do more learning rather than commenting, as you are not qualified in the least to tell others what is 'over' and what is not when it comes to ENSO.
You will learn more about the Earth's natural world outside of an academic building and 'publications' because that is where the climate and weather exists.
Spend more time actually observing and you will learn more rather than being a smart ass pretending to know more about the climate and especially La Nina, than you actually do in reality.
You're most likely either fresh out of school, or still in school, but that education is background for you to learn how to apply knowledge in the real professional world. Your comments clearly show that you're not there yet and you won't get there by mouthing off as if you are a professional, which of course, you are not.
If you do want to become a professional forecaster someday then the only way to accomplish that is through hard work, observing the real world's climate and weather. You will want to keep your mouth shut while you apply your ears, eyes and mind to observe and earnestly study the entire natural world.
Acting out like a immature child clicking repeated 'smites' on people you disagree with on this pro board does not lead to climate and meteorological knowledge and experience.
You fail to ask good questions of those more experienced than you, though you profess to being an academic learner spending his time in university libraries telling others to do so as if you are the only one with access to such libraries?
You are in your mid-twenties, yes? Do you not think that it is well past the time for you to man up, get real and quit with the man-made global warming baby bullshit and come correct with a mature attitude which seeks to learn rather than to pretend?
How's that for a 'novel interpretation?'
Regarding La Niña -
This La Nina has been anything but typical. It was very wet, colder than normal, odd and deep oscillation phase which has broken many weather records. I continue to state that the 2009-2011 El Nino and La Nina, which I forecasted years in advance, will be one to study for a long time; especially for the record levels of precipitation.
The outlook just ahead shows that the northern United States will experience cooler than normal temperatures for early summer as I forecasted. The southern U.S. will see warmer than normal temperatures.
Overall, cooler sea surface temperatures in the Pacific will keep temperatures largely below normal in the north from May to July. I've forecasted that by August we will see more seasonal summer temperatures returning.
Nonetheless, as La Niña wanes, it will continue to be the primary driver of weather in both hemispheres. Winter is about a month away for the southern hemisphere and snowfall in places like Australia have already begun.
What we will see is a cooler north and warmer southern pattern in the U.S. that has been the reason for the extreme weather this spring in the states.
So, the event is far from over. La Niña will have influences worldwide even as values decline. The influences this month through June and into July 2011 will see suppressed convection over the western central tropical Pacific Ocean with strong convection over Indonesia.
NOAA expects La Nina's effects in the United States to "include an enhanced chance for below-average precipitation across southeastern Texas and Louisiana and an increased chance of below-average temperatures for the Pacific Northwest."
These are real world impacts which affect many millions of people in widely dispersed geographic regions.
The cooler than normal temperatures, such as those in the Pacific Northwest, as well as the floods in Manitoba, Canada, the early snows in Australia, the record tornado disaster in the Southern U.S., the extreme drought conditions in southeastern Texas and the flooding of the Mississippi River in the United States - are all La Nina related.
So obviously, despite you gazing at a graphic and declaring that 'all is well,' the climate impacts of La Nina are not over.
