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Post by acidohm on Apr 13, 2018 11:47:15 GMT
Well....we'll know sure enough in 24 months or so Naut!
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Post by nautonnier on Apr 13, 2018 12:38:10 GMT
Well....we'll know sure enough in 24 months or so Naut! I'll not be selling my coat
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Post by Ratty on Apr 13, 2018 13:02:23 GMT
Well....we'll know sure enough in 24 months or so Naut! I'll not be selling my coat I might purchase a hat like this, not sure how many megawatts it will generate, but should keep me warm.
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Post by sigurdur on Apr 13, 2018 14:09:20 GMT
I don't see a battery?
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Post by Ratty on Apr 14, 2018 0:13:29 GMT
What do you think the topper is for?
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Post by icefisher on Apr 14, 2018 3:53:02 GMT
Or (1) the new precise instruments are showing what has always happened but was never before noticed. Or (2) the Sun doesn't actually work the way the scientists (after a whole 50 years of detailed study) think it does and their hypotheses are about to be falsified. Yep! Solar models, climate models, the Ptolemaic theory model all have much in common. Every once in a while they have to go in and add a a new layer, like an aerosol or retrograding star firing its after burners to keep the model in sync with observations. They all are and always have been done by brilliant scientists who really knew how to keep the checks rolling in.
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Post by duwayne on May 30, 2018 0:19:51 GMT
I’ve posted the chart below from the SIDC before. It shows that Solar cycle minimums which begin with a lot of spotless days actually turn out in the end to have a below average number of spotless days. As shown on the chart, the current cycle is near the upper end of the spotless day rate. This could mean that the total number of spotless days for this minimum could be less than 400. So far there have been 216 spotless days during this minimum. Could this mean there will be less than 200 spotless days in the months ahead and the percentage of spotless days will decline and the sunspots increase? Does this mean we are actually already close to the bottom of this minimum? The last minimum based on the 13-month smoothing calculation was December 2008. The average cycle of 11 years would indicate a possible bottom around December 2019. This chart would indicate that the cycle bottom could occur several months before that date.
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Post by nautonnier on Jun 9, 2018 10:55:45 GMT
"Solar scientist and part-time NSA operative Leif Svalgaard has produced a prediction for solar cycle 25, four years after Rick Salvador published his 86 year prediction in the swiftly censored “Pattern Recognition in Physics”.
It appears at the end of a 30 page pdf document he has published on his website. This is an interesting document, with a wealth of gayly coloured butterfly diagrams, polar field reconstructions and more. "tallbloke.wordpress.com/2018/06/09/leif-svalgaard-reveals-his-solar-cycle-25-prediction-at-last/
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Post by blustnmtn on Jun 9, 2018 13:12:21 GMT
"Solar scientist and part-time NSA operative Leif Svalgaard has produced a prediction for solar cycle 25, four years after Rick Salvador published his 86 year prediction in the swiftly censored “Pattern Recognition in Physics”.
It appears at the end of a 30 page pdf document he has published on his website. This is an interesting document, with a wealth of gayly coloured butterfly diagrams, polar field reconstructions and more. "To tallbloke.wordpress.com/2018/06/09/leif-svalgaard-reveals-his-solar-cycle-25-prediction-at-last/Watching this play out is worse than a cricket match or the Russian collusion circus. The 2 predictions are well documented and they both can’t be correct. This is a fantastic time for solar science and those who have an interest in it. Hopefully, we are not on the precipice of learning about the trigger for the next period of glaciation.
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Post by Ratty on Jun 9, 2018 13:22:59 GMT
"Solar scientist and part-time NSA operative Leif Svalgaard has produced a prediction for solar cycle 25, four years after Rick Salvador published his 86 year prediction in the swiftly censored “Pattern Recognition in Physics”.
It appears at the end of a 30 page pdf document he has published on his website. This is an interesting document, with a wealth of gayly coloured butterfly diagrams, polar field reconstructions and more. "To tallbloke.wordpress.com/2018/06/09/leif-svalgaard-reveals-his-solar-cycle-25-prediction-at-last/Watching this play out is worse than a cricket match or the Russian collusion circus. The 2 predictions are well documented and they both can’t be correct. This is a fantastic time for solar science and those who have an interest in it. Hopefully, we are not on the precipice of learning about the trigger for the next period of glaciation. Tut tut, Blue. Very disappointing .....
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Post by acidohm on Jun 9, 2018 18:35:19 GMT
"Solar scientist and part-time NSA operative Leif Svalgaard has produced a prediction for solar cycle 25, four years after Rick Salvador published his 86 year prediction in the swiftly censored “Pattern Recognition in Physics”.
It appears at the end of a 30 page pdf document he has published on his website. This is an interesting document, with a wealth of gayly coloured butterfly diagrams, polar field reconstructions and more. "To tallbloke.wordpress.com/2018/06/09/leif-svalgaard-reveals-his-solar-cycle-25-prediction-at-last/Watching this play out is worse than a cricket match or the Russian collusion circus. The 2 predictions are well documented and they both can’t be correct. This is a fantastic time for solar science and those who have an interest in it. Hopefully, we are not on the precipice of learning about the trigger for the next period of glaciation. I think even if we are, it'll be our great grandkids who live to ponder the results. I'm certain that cooling is ahead however, just not certain to the extent, don't think anyone can be....
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Post by glennkoks on Jun 11, 2018 3:33:14 GMT
I certainly am not going to use the words unprecedented. But is it rare to have frost warnings for parts of Nevada and Maine and a winter storm watch for portions of Idaho and Montana on June 10th? www.weather.gov
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Post by Ratty on Jun 13, 2018 3:21:21 GMT
I certainly am not going to use the words unprecedented. But is it rare to have frost warnings for parts of Nevada and Maine and a winter storm watch for portions of Idaho and Montana on June 10th? www.weather.govDon't know but I suspect it's happened before I'm sure it would have because they are such similar climates .......
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Post by nautonnier on Jun 30, 2018 0:31:42 GMT
'Tis blank again after the short burst of activity
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Post by sigurdur on Jul 11, 2018 1:45:23 GMT
ntrs.nasa.gov/archive/nasa/casi.ntrs.nasa.gov/20110023422.pdfA key question for many studies of solar UV irradiance is to understand the magnitude of irradiance variations over the solar cycle, which has significant spectral dependence and can vary from cycle to cycle. We discuss the temporal variation at selected wavelengths in this section,
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