Tiny increments do a record year make ... until the curve duth break your technique.
Embedded in all these ~120 year time series are multi-year increments whose internal variance approaches 2 degrees C ... and multi-decade increments whose internal variance approaches 4 degrees C ... as well as even longer ones of larger variance, largely outside of our instrument record.
Most of us have survived changes of 4 degrees C (mean annual) in our lifetime ... our ancestors survived larger ones. And yet, our modern witch doctors will have us believe that the sky will begin to fall at 4 degrees! And after 2, our fate is sealed.
Yep ... you're right. Sure hasn't been much change. But never let a minor detail interrupt a 'dash for cash'.
COP 3 took place in December 1997 in Kyoto, Japan. After intensive negotiations, it adopted the Kyoto Protocol!!! Rarely in the course of human events has such an (ig)noble organization totally misidentified every problem ... lost every battle ... and won the war !!!!?? Time to strike the tent ... raise the white flag of victory ... throw a memorable Parisan party ... and march off into the sunset. Mission accomplished!
"Ice Doesn't Lie - But NASA and NOAA Climate Scientists Do. It's Not Science ... It's Fraud." (Thank you Tony Heller!)
Look for the satellite data to be adjusted to bring it into compliance with the fully fraudulent surface temperatures. The Guardian is now working to discredit UAH, so it seems likely that RSS will soon be making big changes – to match the needs of the climate mafia. Bookmark this post.
And what goes up, will come down. The question is ... How far? This Eastern Equatorial Sea-surface Warming Event (aghhh, El Nino was so much easier) has had a long run-up (2 years). Similar past events suggest that LONG La Ninas go along with long El Ninos. If that is so, then late 2016-2019 could be eye opening. And that is closing in on the solar-cycle-specific minimum of a Grand Minimum??? I'm with Joe Bastardi on this one. There are, I believe, good odds that temperature anomalies will drop below the last two La Nina levels. And does that leave the temperature anomaly index at less than 0? That would be an index drop of 0.8C or greater (with UAH currently at +0.8). Notice the length of La Ninas following major El Ninos.
... "According to the Met Office’s forecast for the next five years, 2016 is likely to be the warmest since records began. Then in 2017 there will be a dip as the effects of El Niño dissipate and there is some planet-wide cooling.
But after that, and for the remaining three years of the decade, the world will continue to experience even more warming. The forecast, which will be released this week, is the first such report that the Met Office has issued since it overhauled its near-term climate prediction system last year.
“We cannot say exactly how warm it will get but there is no doubt the overall upward trend of temperatures will continue,” said Doug Smith, a Met Office expert on long-term forecasting. “We cannot say exactly how hot 2018, 2019 or 2020 will be. That will depend on other variables. But the general trend is going to be upwards.”" ...