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Post by sigurdur on Feb 24, 2018 17:15:26 GMT
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Post by missouriboy on Feb 26, 2018 14:59:26 GMT
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Post by sigurdur on Feb 26, 2018 17:35:34 GMT
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Post by missouriboy on Feb 26, 2018 18:17:21 GMT
And amongst the other important conclusions ... There is a significant possibility however that the climate is actually ocean-driven, directly forced by the Sun, and mediated by H2O changes of state.
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Post by sigurdur on Feb 26, 2018 18:33:11 GMT
And amongst the other important conclusions ... There is a significant possibility however that the climate is actually ocean-driven, directly forced by the Sun, and mediated by H2O changes of state.What a NOVEL idea!
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Post by Ratty on Feb 27, 2018 0:17:14 GMT
Very interesting read. Does anyone know who Javier is?
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Post by missouriboy on Feb 27, 2018 2:42:23 GMT
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Post by Ratty on Feb 27, 2018 6:03:20 GMT
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Post by nautonnier on Feb 28, 2018 11:31:38 GMT
"They’ve become partisan attack dogs, permanently on the lookout for “deniers.” So-called “consensus” climate science reaches new lows nearly every day, with many researchers now better resembling dogmatic, fire-and-brimstone preachers — the kind of people who burnt heretics at the stake during the Middle Ages and suppressed scientific discovery — than scientists engaged in the pursuit of knowledge.
I don’t begrudge scientists who either believe their own research shows, or who believe the dominant number of peer-reviewed papers indicate, humans are causing climate change and the changes will be dangerous. But I do disagree with many of the assumptions made by proponents of the theory of anthropogenic global warming (AGW). Data and evidence show most of their projections concerning temperatures, ice, hurricanes, species extinction, etc. have failed. As a result, I don’t think their projections of the future climate conditions are trustworthy, especially not to make the kind of fundamental, wrenching, costly changes to our economy and systems of government that have been proposed as necessary for fighting climate change. I don’t think climate scientists can foretell the future any better than the average palm reader."Read the complete article at: spectator.org/alarmist-climate-researchers-abandon-scientific-method/
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Post by sigurdur on Feb 28, 2018 19:17:01 GMT
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014WR016056/fullAn important potential consequence of climate change is the modification of the water cycle in agricultural areas, such as the American Midwest. Soil moisture is the integrand of the water cycle, reflecting dynamics of precipitation, evapotranspiration, and runoff in space and time, and a key determinant of yield. Here we present projected changes in the hydrologic cycle over a representative area of the American Midwest from regional climate model experiments that sample a range of model configurations. While significant summer soil moisture drying is predicted in some ensemble members, others predict soil moisture wetting, with the sign of soil moisture response strongly influenced by choice of boundary conditions. To resolve the contradictory predictions of soil moisture across ensemble members, we assess an extensive and unique observational data set of the water budget in Illinois. No statistically significant monotonic trends are found in observed soil moisture, precipitation, streamflow, groundwater level, or 2 m air temperature over a recent 26 year period (soil moisture 25 years). Based on this analysis of model simulations and observations, we conclude that the sign of climate change impacts on the regional hydrology of the American Midwest remains uncertain
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Post by missouriboy on Feb 28, 2018 20:44:14 GMT
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014WR016056/fullAn important potential consequence of climate change is the modification of the water cycle in agricultural areas, such as the American Midwest. Soil moisture is the integrand of the water cycle, reflecting dynamics of precipitation, evapotranspiration, and runoff in space and time, and a key determinant of yield. Here we present projected changes in the hydrologic cycle over a representative area of the American Midwest from regional climate model experiments that sample a range of model configurations. While significant summer soil moisture drying is predicted in some ensemble members, others predict soil moisture wetting, with the sign of soil moisture response strongly influenced by choice of boundary conditions. To resolve the contradictory predictions of soil moisture across ensemble members, we assess an extensive and unique observational data set of the water budget in Illinois. No statistically significant monotonic trends are found in observed soil moisture, precipitation, streamflow, groundwater level, or 2 m air temperature over a recent 26 year period (soil moisture 25 years). Based on this analysis of model simulations and observations, we conclude that the sign of climate change impacts on the regional hydrology of the American Midwest remains uncertain So ... data just slightly longer than the pause. For us it would seem that hydrologic results will depend on the regular inflow of our usual moist air masses. If less power in the tropics results in less umpf from the south, I fear those air masses may not penetrate as far north. That's a question if anyone's got some answers. Our droughts have been to a degree tempered by the fact that our normal is nearly 43 inches. So we've got some to play with.
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birder
Level 3 Rank
Posts: 223
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Post by birder on Feb 28, 2018 21:55:54 GMT
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Post by nautonnier on Feb 28, 2018 22:08:10 GMT
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014WR016056/fullAn important potential consequence of climate change is the modification of the water cycle in agricultural areas, such as the American Midwest. Soil moisture is the integrand of the water cycle, reflecting dynamics of precipitation, evapotranspiration, and runoff in space and time, and a key determinant of yield. Here we present projected changes in the hydrologic cycle over a representative area of the American Midwest from regional climate model experiments that sample a range of model configurations. While significant summer soil moisture drying is predicted in some ensemble members, others predict soil moisture wetting, with the sign of soil moisture response strongly influenced by choice of boundary conditions. To resolve the contradictory predictions of soil moisture across ensemble members, we assess an extensive and unique observational data set of the water budget in Illinois. No statistically significant monotonic trends are found in observed soil moisture, precipitation, streamflow, groundwater level, or 2 m air temperature over a recent 26 year period (soil moisture 25 years). Based on this analysis of model simulations and observations, we conclude that the sign of climate change impacts on the regional hydrology of the American Midwest remains uncertain Well what a surprise. The 'global average temperature' (sic) is altered by hundredths of a degree based on temperature readings taken in the Arctic which it is claimed have risen markedly. As I have said before it is rather like including your freezer in the 'average house temperature'; raising the temperature in the freezer from minus 30C to minus 20C; and then saying you've warmed the house up. Look the average temperature has increased by 0.01C!! More air conditioning will be required....
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Post by Ratty on Feb 28, 2018 22:12:47 GMT
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014WR016056/fullAn important potential consequence of climate change is the modification of the water cycle in agricultural areas, such as the American Midwest. Soil moisture is the integrand of the water cycle, reflecting dynamics of precipitation, evapotranspiration, and runoff in space and time, and a key determinant of yield. Here we present projected changes in the hydrologic cycle over a representative area of the American Midwest from regional climate model experiments that sample a range of model configurations. While significant summer soil moisture drying is predicted in some ensemble members, others predict soil moisture wetting, with the sign of soil moisture response strongly influenced by choice of boundary conditions. To resolve the contradictory predictions of soil moisture across ensemble members, we assess an extensive and unique observational data set of the water budget in Illinois. No statistically significant monotonic trends are found in observed soil moisture, precipitation, streamflow, groundwater level, or 2 m air temperature over a recent 26 year period (soil moisture 25 years). Based on this analysis of model simulations and observations, we conclude that the sign of climate change impacts on the regional hydrology of the American Midwest remains uncertain "Remains uncertain" = "more research needed"
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Post by nautonnier on Mar 1, 2018 13:03:59 GMT
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