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Post by acidohm on Aug 29, 2016 9:40:50 GMT
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Post by nautonnier on Aug 29, 2016 9:55:25 GMT
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Post by Ratty on Aug 29, 2016 10:24:55 GMT
Page not found?
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Post by nautonnier on Aug 29, 2016 17:11:39 GMT
Works for me. Go to NHC.NOAA.GOV - then click on Gaston, then on Interactive Map (at the top).
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Post by Ratty on Aug 29, 2016 23:38:20 GMT
Works for me. Go to NHC.NOAA.GOV - then click on Gaston, then on Interactive Map (at the top). Looks like it will miss north Dakota then .....
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Post by sigurdur on Aug 30, 2016 0:26:51 GMT
Works for me. Go to NHC.NOAA.GOV - then click on Gaston, then on Interactive Map (at the top). Looks like it will miss north Dakota then ..... Don't count on it missing Ratty. Hericanes have a mind of their own!
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Post by Ratty on Aug 30, 2016 8:53:02 GMT
Looks like it will miss north Dakota then ..... [ Snip ] Don't count on it missing Ratty. Hericanes have a mind of their own! I know; I'm married too ....... PS: Hericanes? That what you call 'em in ND?
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Post by nautonnier on Aug 30, 2016 14:12:09 GMT
For those interested, the hurricane center holds an archive of all their forecasts for every storm they cover. So if you go to here: www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2016/graphics/al09/loop_3W.shtml You will see a wiggle watcher's paradise as the graphics forecasts are strung together in an animation. Watch how the initial forecasts of the turn to the North have been amended successively as the storm goes further into the Gulf than expected.
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Post by sigurdur on Aug 30, 2016 19:35:27 GMT
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Post by sigurdur on Aug 30, 2016 19:37:22 GMT
Heard a news story yesterday while driving, CBS was talking about Katrina. I loved how it was presented "the one time class 5 storm". The list of Category 5 Atlantic hurricanes encompasses 30 tropical cyclones that reached Category 5 strength on the Saffir–Simpson hurricane wind scale within the Atlantic Ocean (north of the equator), Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico. Hurricanes of such intensity are somewhat infrequent in the Atlantic basin, occurring only once every three years on average. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Category_5_Atlantic_hurricanes
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Post by sigurdur on Aug 31, 2016 3:24:22 GMT
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Post by nautonnier on Aug 31, 2016 10:48:49 GMT
More wiggle watching, www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2016/graphics/al09/loop_3W.shtmlSee in this loop how the actual center of the storm carries on westward despite the models (and the forecasters) believing it was going to turn North. These track forecasts are often more inaccurate than you would expect.
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Post by graywolf on Aug 31, 2016 18:05:51 GMT
I think that the NHC have it a little awry? I think that it is already further west than they thought and is over pretty warm ocean. If it stalls here before being forced north she might emerge Cat 1 Hermione? Then what?
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Post by phydeaux2363 on Aug 31, 2016 18:09:04 GMT
Then it hits the Gulf Coast as a Cat 1 or even 2, and no one remembers her name six weeks from now. It's not like a Cat 1 is unprecedented on the coast.
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Post by sigurdur on Aug 31, 2016 18:14:07 GMT
Then it hits the Gulf Coast as a Cat 1 or even 2, and no one remembers her name six weeks from now. It's not like a Cat 1 is unprecedented on the coast. What Phydeaux2363? You mean a hurricane is like a blizzard up here? Get a few every winter, some worse than others. 80-100 mph winds, and that is WITHOUT warm water. Gosh................one would think this is unprecedented!
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