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Post by dontgetoutmuch on Jun 9, 2020 15:19:31 GMT
Regarding the narrative of this thread I think it is safe to say NO, Trump will not survive. I am going to predict he will not be reelected. Any counter narratives? Yep, President Trump will be re-elected. Trump wins 45 states, Republicans maintain control of the Senate. In the House Nancy loses the Gavel. Any questions?
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Post by dontgetoutmuch on Jun 1, 2020 18:54:58 GMT
Trump Has Gone AWOL During America’s CrisisTrump likes to portray himself as Mr. Ruffy Tuffy, but he has no coherent policy. Forget quelling the riots. He doesn’t even seem capable of delivering a national address from the Oval Office. A negative article from a left wing rag, I'm shocked. I guess they went with this one rather then the other version that screams that Trump is unhinged because he is demanding mass arrests... www.thedailybeast.com/unhinged-trump-demands-mass-arrests-flag-burning-lawsFor mentally damaged leftists with TDS, it doesn't really matter what Trump has done, is doing, or will do, through the filter of their mania, it is wrong somehow. This is the same group of trust fund basement dwelling trolls that named their organization Anti-Fa (Anti-Fascists) and go out and go 100% fascist on their political enemies, and absolutely lose track of the bouncing ball. Which is how you get the media blaming the mostly peaceful protests on African American White Supremacists.
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Post by dontgetoutmuch on Apr 27, 2020 11:19:27 GMT
Congratulations NeilHamp!!! He was closest unless we declare that every one overbid.
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Post by dontgetoutmuch on Apr 16, 2020 18:10:58 GMT
Phase I of the whole who knew the Wu Flu was a thing coverup is about over...
In case your tinfoil hat is not super-glued on with a neat double thickness...
The story that the Chinese Wu-Flu, is a naturally occurring event while never believable, has become so farcical as even the Media has noticed.
Phase II. The Chinese government, while completely innocent, and pure as the wind driven snow may have lost containment on a virus being studied for purely humanitarian purposes.
I don't know what Phase III will bring, but I'm curious:
1. If the Chinese govt. had a vaccination program underway prior to the escape of the virus? 2. How many, if any of Chinese senior party members, and family members have been infected by the Mongolian Malaise, and if chances of avoiding serious consequences vary statistically by level of party affiliation? 3. Why the virus appears to have been designed to be able to survive easily outside the host? 4. Why the virus appears to have been designed to have a delayed onset of symptoms, until well after the host has become infectious? 5. Why an animal virus appears to have been modified to infect humans? 6. Why the virus appears to have been enhanced to weaken the immune system of the host?
Why, it almost looks like the Kung Pau Sicken was designed as a biological weapon to damage Chinas adversaries, while at the same time, remove non-productive members and other undesirables from the Chinese population.
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Post by dontgetoutmuch on Apr 15, 2020 13:39:36 GMT
If I'm not too late I'll take 30 Apr.
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Post by dontgetoutmuch on Feb 28, 2020 1:27:27 GMT
So... (Adjusts tinfoil hat)
I think I got this, but let me know if I am wrong...
1. China steals Corona Virus samples from Canada, U.S. and Australia??? labs. 2. China modifies virus at Wuhan level 4 lab with specific goals in mind. A. Increase infectivity. (is that a word? What is the word for ability to spread?) B. Increase mortality for immunodeficiency, geriatric and pre-existing conditions. (Diabetes, cardiac, respiratory...) 3. Virus gets out before it is ready, probably some janitor selling infected lab bats or something. 4. Western countries response is ludicrous, got to be some sort of pressure applied by Chinese govt. 5. Virus escapes "local" containment, gets out. Korea, Italy, Japan, Iran, Germany???, UK??? 6. Contagion goes worldwide, extremely vulnerable individuals, regions most affected. 7. Along with huge short term market and supply disruptions. 8. Turns out to be nothing burger in true first world, regions that are already smoking holes... Smoke a little more. 9. Chinese economy collapses, worldwide supply chains adjust in about a year... ish? 10. The rest of us live happily ever after. 11. A new seasonal event, like flu season evolves, affecting the same groups.
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Post by dontgetoutmuch on Dec 31, 2018 13:06:14 GMT
31 Dec 2018... Solar cycle 24 is drawing to a close... There have been 357 spotless days since cycle 24 began fading... There were 221 spotless days in 2018. As of today, there have been 15 spotless days in a row.
A number of extremely wimpy and off kilter cycle 25 spots have been identified, but as of now cycle 25 has not started ramping up...
I believe that cycle 24 is projected to transition to cycle 25 around September of 2019, giving us another 180ish spotless days, unless the minimum just goes off the rails... If this occurs then cycle 24 will have been just short of eleven years long and a little weak.
Does anyone think that there is a chance for an extended minimum? Can cycle 25 hold off until 2020? I know Dr. Svalgaard has a cycle 25 prediction out, but I have not heard anyone mention Livingston & Penn for quite some time, does anyone have any recent information on this? Is it still a thing?
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Post by dontgetoutmuch on Dec 24, 2018 19:06:35 GMT
Major Eruption at Krakatau... Tidal wave spawned by flank collapse kills hundreds... Major Eruption at Etna...
The average number of ongoing eruptions at any one time is about 20. There are currently 42 erupting volcanoes in the world.
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Post by dontgetoutmuch on Dec 5, 2018 19:55:00 GMT
My home in Eagle River is 6 miles from the epicenter. Home was built in 1984. I have been through significant quakes up there, the last one was a 7.1 in Jan 2016 that was pretty darn scary. It was about 70 miles away IIRC. The house took no damage from that one. This one was much worse. I am temporarily in Virginia, so I was not there at the time, but it looks like the entire garage door (Steel people door into the house.) frame popped out of the wall, completely intact. We lost the mirror in the guest bathroom. A sealed gas fireplace insert popped out of its place. (Flex gas line, no leak.) The vanity in the master bath came free of the wall. (On that, the flex hoses to the sink were not damaged, but the drain pipes from the sinks were broken.) A couple of light fixtures, and many, many cracks in drywall. On the bright side, all fixable.
It is a miracle that no one was killed or seriously injured. A friend was getting out of the shower and has a funny story about how he ran outside in only his towel. He says he was praying "Please don't let me get killed wearing only a towel!" Another friend lost all of her dishes when they fell out of the kitchen cabinet.
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Post by dontgetoutmuch on Nov 19, 2018 12:22:50 GMT
17 Nov 2018, a short lived spot in the Northern hemisphere. Did not last long enough to be numbered. Did have a cycle 25 profile and was mid-to high latitude. The magnetic profile was twisted about 45° off of horizontal...
Not sure any of these three active regions are true cycle 25, or just random magnetic knots showing briefly at the surface...
Time will tell. Popcorn futures are up.
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Post by dontgetoutmuch on Nov 13, 2018 13:03:12 GMT
So, 24 spotless days and now 2726 which is practically invisible and right on the equator. Probably would not have counted 75 years ago... Still it Being November 2018, exactly nine years into cycle 24, and a couple of years from the minimum??? With 60% spotless day count for the year and climbing steadily we could be in for a long quiet time...
Correct me if I'm wrong, but we have not seen a high latitude reverse polarity (from cycle 24) spot yet? I think Leif has a prediction out for 25, a moderate cycle, a bit stronger than 24, but I can't remember if he predicted when the 24/25 minimum would be...
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Post by dontgetoutmuch on Jul 1, 2018 0:58:24 GMT
Pesky global warming is causing all of the extra ice.
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Post by dontgetoutmuch on Apr 27, 2018 3:16:58 GMT
It hasn't happened yet, but I would like to congratulate the 2018 winner.
Neilhamp!!!!
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Post by dontgetoutmuch on Sept 4, 2017 1:22:17 GMT
Another update from Joe - Looking like a Matthew rerun Really, really, really don't like Joe's forecast... The top of his (cat) 4 is just South of my house... And that model run with a @$#% 884 mb cat 5 monster heading my way does not help the digestion. On the bright side, you know it has to be wrong... Wrong ocean for a super typhoon... ;-) IMHO it goes into FL or re-curves out to sea with a near miss on the outer banks. The picture I have in mind has two cones. One for FL and one for an outer banks glancing blow, then up the coast 200 miles offshore... Everything in between is safe as a bank.
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Post by dontgetoutmuch on Jul 29, 2017 11:24:14 GMT
Hmmm... Not seeing much news... Do you have a link?
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