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Post by nautonnier on Jun 12, 2017 11:37:24 GMT
Here we go again - Hurricane Season 2017 starting running through to November 2017
Yes we had an extratropical storm that because of the fuss about 'Superstorm' Sandy that became just an extratropical storm so all the hurricane updates stopped, now the decision is that even if it isn't a real hurricane it will be treated like one. Science losing to the lame stream media again.
Anyway, Joe Bastardi is now saying that this year is an analog of 1957, 1972, 1982 which were 'early gulf development years'. also that phase 2 of the Madden-Julian Oscillation is evolving which is big ticket phase for TC development in the Atlantic basin in close to the US
We shall see.
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Post by phydeaux2363 on Jun 12, 2017 13:36:59 GMT
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Post by nautonnier on Jun 12, 2017 14:24:10 GMT
I would think that the 'old city' around Le Quartier Français will remain unscathed as it has done for a a couple of centuries, as it was built when people were more careful about floods and tides. However, the rest of the urban sprawl built in the same way as a lot of New York and New Jersey without regard to natural forces, is likely to be underwater again. Heavy storm rains draining into Pontchartrain from the North could easily be a threat as well.
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Post by dontgetoutmuch on Jun 14, 2017 21:26:18 GMT
I would think that the 'old city' around Le Quartier Français will remain unscathed as it has done for a a couple of centuries, as it was built when people were more careful about floods and tides. However, the rest of the urban sprawl built in the same way as a lot of New York and New Jersey without regard to natural forces, is likely to be underwater again. Heavy storm rains draining into Pontchartrain from the North could easily be a threat as well. One thing that many people outside of LA probably don't understand is that if $14.5 billion was budgeted for flood protection, all New Orleans got was a rubber ducky to play with when it floods. The corruption runs deep. This is the land of Edwin Edwards and William 'Cold Cash' Jefferson. That money is in in the pockets of corrupt democrats from Louisiana to Washington D.C. You can bet that when another storm strikes, well funded Dems will be screaming climate change from the rooftops of their high and dry posh mansions. The media will eat it up.
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Post by nautonnier on Jun 14, 2017 23:35:06 GMT
I would think that the 'old city' around Le Quartier Français will remain unscathed as it has done for a a couple of centuries, as it was built when people were more careful about floods and tides. However, the rest of the urban sprawl built in the same way as a lot of New York and New Jersey without regard to natural forces, is likely to be underwater again. Heavy storm rains draining into Pontchartrain from the North could easily be a threat as well. One thing that many people outside of LA probably don't understand is that if $14.5 billion was budgeted for flood protection, all New Orleans got was a rubber ducky to play with when it floods. The corruption runs deep. This is the land of Edwin Edwards and William 'Cold Cash' Jefferson. That money is in in the pockets of corrupt democrats from Louisiana to Washington D.C. You can bet that when another storm strikes, well funded Dems will be screaming climate change from the rooftops of their high and dry posh mansions. The media will eat it up. Indeed they will. The Canalized Mississippi reduced the flood risk in its flood plain for the Wards along the river but the other effect is that instead of a shallow slow moving river in a delta, the Mississippi was altered into a fast flowing canalized river. The silt that used to dropped by the slow moving river is now carried out and dropped in the deeper Gulf waters. In consequence the barrier islands are being eroded away and there is less protection for New Orleans from hurricanes like Katrina heading North in the Gulf.
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Post by nautonnier on Jul 31, 2017 18:38:58 GMT
Don't PANIC!! 35kts sustained wind - or in Scots terminology a little breezy _and_ it is warm rain too. Hardly worth reporting
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Post by phydeaux2363 on Jul 31, 2017 21:13:07 GMT
Five named Atlantic storms, none of which remained a "storm" for more than a day. Total ACE of 4.35 so far, 3.0 BELOW normal for the date. Only one of the five named storms had an ACE greater than 1.0. Tell me any of these five would have been named in 1970, or even 1990, and I'll say you hang with Griff over at WUWT.
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Post by Ratty on Jul 31, 2017 22:05:08 GMT
I did a search for " tropical storm Emily" and it seems the MSM has gone apoplectic over the rare opportunity to ramp up a scare. We wouldn't bother closing the windows for something like Emily. Not like its namesake: Hurricane Emily - 2005
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Post by nautonnier on Aug 1, 2017 0:19:15 GMT
Some twerp** actually declared a state of emergency! We had more rain from a standard weather system on Saturday. I am waiting for the deluge of unprecedenteds ** Twerp an anglo-saxon equivalent of Dork - but with no redeeming qualities
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Post by Ratty on Aug 1, 2017 0:47:04 GMT
I really enjoyed that show with Robin Williams ....
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Post by glennkoks on Aug 1, 2017 2:16:14 GMT
Five named Atlantic storms, none of which remained a "storm" for more than a day. Total ACE of 4.35 so far, 3.0 BELOW normal for the date. Only one of the five named storms had an ACE greater than 1.0. Tell me any of these five would have been named in 1970, or even 1990, and I'll say you hang with Griff over at WUWT. You are 100% correct. None of these storms would have been named a few decades ago.
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Post by nautonnier on Aug 3, 2017 21:09:27 GMT
Joe Bastardi is saying that this year is an analogue for 2004 - somewhat disturbing for Florida And on time off the Cape Verde and at Curacao some possible storms www.nhc.noaa.gov/
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Post by Ratty on Aug 3, 2017 23:39:39 GMT
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Post by nautonnier on Aug 4, 2017 16:52:50 GMT
Of course it didn't qualify. But the alarmists have got to keep their numbers up. I don't think any of the 'storms' so far this year really qualified in a way that someone in the 1950's would have called anything more than a tropical depression. But in these days when saying 'Hi Guys' is a 'micro-agression' (sic) anything more than a zephyr and panic breaks out.
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Post by nautonnier on Aug 4, 2017 22:23:19 GMT
A good resource for weather watchers particularly the hurricane modeling community. spaghettimodels.com/
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