After my analysis of the world's preparation for a Little Ice Age, it is my view that the 2020s, 2030s and 2040s will be pretty bad as we will have already begun the new climate regime of global cooling by mid-December 2017 - that's this year.
I cannot stress enough to anyone reading this that it is already too late for nations to prepare for this little ice age. It's too late to prepare infrastructure, and so it will be hit-and-miss situations from this point on out with few opportunities to really make a difference.
At least 95% of all the events from the weather of global cooling will be reaction. The years of preparation were wasted with useless propaganda of 'man-made global warming' and arguing with its proponents about something that does not exist.
Therefore, expect disasters to be the result of at least 30 years of wasteful ideology about something that is imaginary and that violates all the laws of thermodynamics and physics.
The Sun is heading toward its Grand Minimum and each and every single solar minimum has caused global cooling - that's a fact.
Thank you Theodore. I have a couple questions. Are you predicting this minimum to be deeper in terms of solar activity than the Dalton Minimum?
And at the other end of the scale the LIA appears to have bottomed at the Maunder Minimum with 70 years of virtually no sunspots but it seems pretty likely that getting to that point required the input of previous grand minimums known as the Wolf and Sporer and perhaps also the Oort minimums after the Roman Optimum over a period of at least 500 (back to the Medieval Maximum but maybe as much as 1700 years back to the Roman Optimum (which is fairly widely believed to have been warmer than the Medieval Maximum). So the LIA seems clearly to have been a larger event than just the Maunder minimum, with the Vikings being extirpated out of Greenland because of impinging cold more than a century before the Maunder Minimum started. When you note the 20's, 30's, and 40's (noting that he 40's would suggest 42 years cold conditions whereas the Dalton was attributed for maybe about 30 years and the Maunder
which would be the small number for the LIA was 70 year of low solar activity and likely cool conditions) it would seem your comment of a LIA either implies we are either starting a lot colder than the optimum that marked its start or that you are predicting an event at least the size of the Maunder Minimum. Could you elaborate a bit more? Or is there not much else to say other than uncertainty of what happens after answering the first question.
Yes Icefisher, I do expect this solar Grand Minimum to be deeper than the Dalton Minimum. Long dry conditions were interrupted by intense deluges. Unseasonal spells of cold weather became the norm. The problem is that as the Sun weakens and ultraviolet radiance declines, the Earth attempts to compensate.
Every level of solar minimums that have happened before has been a great challenge for humanity. The colder and wetter climate contrasted by bouts of drier-than-normal weather and followed by wetter-than-normal weather, along with radical temperature extremes, the shorter growing seasons, superstorms, along with an increase seismic and volcanic activity is a reality under little ice ages.
Moreover, people should be getting ready for some strong earthquakes worldwide, especially in California, Oregon, Washington State and the Mississippi River Valley as we head over and into the next Grand Solar Minimum.
To me, the next Grand Minimum looks to be similar to the Maunder Minimum, a shorter one of 36 years holding three solar cycles (#25, #26 & #27) but of a worse kind - in effect a mini-ice age.
I have calculated that solar activity will have fallen to about 63% by the year 2033, but that the era of global cooling will have started by December 2017.
As you know, I predicted that the coming era of global cooling will last approximately 36 years. I expect it to be shorter than the previous Maunder Minimum in the 17th century which was five solar cycles.
This new Grand Minimum will take up three (3) solar cycles, but will be worse as a result.
When I made this forecast 12 years ago, many climatologists disagreed with me and said that there was no mini-ice age coming, as they continued to push anthropogenic global warming, which of course does not exist.
There were a few solar scientists who contacted me asking me, as you did, for clarification. I told them the same thing that I forecasted, that we will enter a new mini-ice age of global cooling in late 2017 and it will continue to 36 years, encompassing solar cycles #25, #26 and #27 lasting to the year 2053.
Generally, world temperatures will see a decline of between 1.5 to 2.1 degrees Celsius. A very serious situation. The entire global cooling era will be marked by decline in sunlight and UV radiance.
This allows more cosmic ray intrusion into the solar system causing increased reflecting clouds causing less direct sunlight. This influx of cosmic rays promotes the production of dense low-level clouds that can either warm and cool depending on how they are formed.
The water droplets which form around dust particles create dark clouds, which tend to trap heat and warm the Earth. However, clouds that form around nuclei produce bright reflective clouds this exacerbates global cooling because they reflect the Sun's UV radiance/light/heat back into space and so cool down the land and oceans on the Earth's surface.
The Sun’s average radiation input is about 1366 Watts per meter squared (W/m²) with more at the equator but with less at higher latitudes on average. Clouds reflect about 27.7 W/ m² so if you stand in the Sun you can feel the heat and if you go into shade it is still warm.
However, if you step under a shiny reflector of Sun, then it is even cooler as the Sun’s UV rays are reflected back into outer space. Ice crystals high in the Stratopause of the Earth called Diamond Dust adds to the refraction of sunlight as well.
So this is what is going to happen soon, in fact, it is already underway and will increase in resonance.
As the Sun goes into its Grand Minimum with the start of solar cycle #25, the level of ultraviolet radiation emitted by the Sun decreases significantly. The Sun's heliosphere, which protects the solar system from cosmic rays, also weakens, allowing more cosmic rays to penetrate straight into the Earth's atmosphere.
This decrease in the Sun's UV alters the heating in the upper atmospheric region of the Earth which is called the 'stratopause.' This alteration changes the reaction zone where diamond dust ice crystals develop. The physics of high-ice clouds are quite different than that of low liquid clouds.
Now, diamond dust reflects sunlight at the top of the Earth's atmosphere and act as a kind of very strong multiplier because of the tiny amounts of water that's required to produce these microscopic ice crystals. It is already known that electrons that are released by interstellar cosmic rays act as catalysts.
They significantly accelerate the formation of stable, ultra-small clusters of sulphuric acid and water molecules which are building blocks for cloud condensation nuclei
Diamond dust can remain aloft for weeks and months as they create pockets of very cold air underneath them.
So, as the regular ice crystal production in the Earth's polar regions fall, the temperature there rises and as a result the polar vortex weakens.
Diamond dust that descends in the stratosphere outside of the polar vortex create blocking highs that alters the wind pattern of the jet stream from a 'zonal' to a more 'meridional' flow.
As a result, the meridional flow pattern allows the jet stream to penetrate and transport all that very cold air from high-latitude regions into mid-latitudes where most of the world's population lives.
There will be more signs of this reflection of sunlight to come and they will be shown by these kind of effects around the Sun which will become more common in 2020-2026.
There are three (3) phases of this mini-ice age I've forecasted by astronomic means. Each one is about 11-12 years marked by increased world cloudiness, first over the oceans, but also quickly over land masses as the Sun nears its quiescent phase.
2017-2029 - bad
2029-2041 - worse
2041-2053 - awful
The weather of global cooling will see bouts of continuous rains, with blasting storms torrential rains causing flash floods in cities and great floods in rural regions. Monsoon seasons will be more active worldwide as well.
Coastal regions and island nations are at particular threat so my advice is to not to reside in those regions over the entire period of global cooling.
Summer seasons will begin later and later as seasonal irregularity extends. It will be cooler and cloudier coming out of spring. The months of May, June, July and August will be cloudier and wetter with more frequent cyclone and hurricane activity. Summer pushed into September/October with clearer skies with short bouts of warm temperatures and dry conditions.
These dry conditions will lead to drought in regions then contrasted by sudden cooler temperatures and heavy rains, causing mudslides that strip the land of nutrients in soil over the years.
It is because of the radical shift and alteration of the jet streams that will cause many weather problems for populations during the era of global cooling.
During winter seasons there will be heavier-than-normal snowfall, sometimes for 30 hours straight or more over cities. After the snow, polar vortexes will sweep south, freezing all that snow up for weeks on end.
Delayed spring seasons by extension of winter will see ice storms predominate during early spring followed by river-based floods with warm temperatures in late April and May.
Overall, the increased jet stream irregularity means southern penetration by means of meridional wind pattern flows and less zonal flows resulting in bouts of polar vortex intrusions of sub-zero air temperature masses during winter seasons at mid-latitude.
These polar vortex intrusions will become more common during the climate era of global cooling. Few (if any) regions of the world are truly prepared.
The torrential rains I forecasted as a mark of the transition to global cooling have been taking place over the last several years and has increased dramatically in 2017.
The AGW alarmists claimed that it is 'sea-level rise' that accounts for the floods, but that's not true as sea-levels have not risen.
All the water is not coming from the seas, but rather, from the atmosphere, that is, from the SKIES.
The evidence isn't difficult to find.
Consider that in 2016, a the establishment media reported that a "1,000-year" rainstorm flooded Baton Rouge and seven southern parishes in the American state of Louisiana, killing 13 people and damaging 92,000 homes.
Three years earlier in 2013, a year’s worth of rain drenched the steep slopes of Colorado’s arid Front Range for five straight days, setting off flash floods that killed ten people.
Of course, this year, torrential rains drenched Africa, Europe, India, Nepal and Bangladesh, where flooding killed more than 1,200 people and displaced 40 million people.
In the Atlantic Basin, the powerful hurricanes that set records this year were said to have been exacerbated by 'human warming' by AGW alarmists, which is total BS.
These blasting storms increase during COOL atmosphere periods, not 'warm ones' exacerbated by human emissions of CO2 as the AGW alarmists claim.
Consider this,
See the tracks of major hurricanes in graphic below.
Now, during the 25-year period (1945-1969) when the Earth underwent a weak variable cooling climate against the following 25-year period (1970-1994) when the Earth underwent moderate modest warming you can see that hurricane activity was greater during the cooling climate.
Also, it is a fact that CO2 amounts in the warmer later period (1970-1994) were approximately 18% higher than in the earlier cooler period.
Major Atlantic hurricane activity during the later period was only about one-third of that of the earlier period despite warmer global temperatures.
The advent of global cooling is something everyone will have to face. It is far better to prepare for it rather than to continue to engage in the total fiction of 'man-made global warming,' which has caused nearly every nation on Earth to be wholly unprepared for the inevitable disasters to come under the mini-ice age now about to officially start.