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Post by acidohm on Oct 7, 2017 19:49:30 GMT
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Post by tobyglyn on Oct 7, 2017 20:35:52 GMT
Wow, very interesting, thanks for the link!
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Post by Ratty on Oct 7, 2017 22:20:21 GMT
I hear it brings oil up closer to the surface, makes the coca plants grow faster and creates loss of equilibrium in local politicians.
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Post by missouriboy on Oct 8, 2017 3:06:20 GMT
It's the only process that dependably functions in Venezuela these days.
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Post by nautonnier on Oct 13, 2017 16:46:07 GMT
MJO going wild according to Joe Bastardi
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Post by phydeaux2363 on Oct 13, 2017 16:55:05 GMT
How will it affect North America, Mr. Naut?
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Post by duwayne on Feb 27, 2018 1:41:29 GMT
This thread could be a validation of Theo's forecast. The 2017 forecast was: " Winter will begin on November 12, 2016 and will last more or less to April 29, 2017 due to planetary signatures which show a late spring with temperatures not really warming up until May 2017. Winter 2016-17 will be colder-and-wetter than normal, especially from the Midwest to the East, including the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic states. Although meteorological winter begins December 1, 2016, expect to see snow earlier-than-normal in the Plains states, the Rocky Mountains, into the Midwest and to the Eastern U.S. coast. December 2016 will be colder-than normal and feel like mid-winter for two-thirds of the nation; while the Southern and western states will experience cooler than normal temperatures, with dry conditions persisting in California.
There will be colder-than-normal and wetter then normal snowfall for the Midwest, Mid-Atlantic that will also extend into the Southeastern United States. The key to preparing for the coming winter will be to know that it will be the 'air temperatures' that will be very cold. Expect abrupt changes in temperatures over the course of the winter and do not be swayed by sudden appearances of brief warmer temperatures in February and March 2017 because winter will not be done just yet. Insulation against the colder-than-normal winter air, and the dampness of its precipitation of freezing rain, snow and ice will be the headlines throughout the winter season.
In 2017, there will be abrupt and odd temperature disparities, with temperatures plunging as much as 25 to 30 degrees over a course of hours in some regions, especially in the Midwest, Rocky Mountains and South.
The spring of 2017 will 'appear' to begin early in late February/early March, but will turn out to be colder and wetter than normal - making winter feel longer. The months of April and May 2017 will be wetter than normal, with temperatures below normal for the northeast and Mid-Atlantic and slightly above normal in the South and Southeastern U.S.
My general advice for the coming winter is to treat it as a small taste, a prelude if you will, to the arrival of global cooling, which will begin in late 2017 and be completed fully by the year 2020 when the Sun enters its quiescent phase." Well the first part of the winter appears to have gone as advertised - let's see how the rest of the year pans out. Comments and updates will follow I am sure. The forecast does appear to be somewhat parochial, it would be useful to see what is expected for the rest of the world. Nautonnier, did you assess whether this thread validated Astro's forecast? I recall that you laid out a metric for measuring the prediction at some point in this thread.
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Post by nautonnier on Feb 27, 2018 13:03:01 GMT
I am not sure we know yet, although South America lost a lot of crops due to cold. At the moment UK is looking at several days below zero and there is snow in Rome. Just weather of course. As is the SSW leading to warming in the arctic and the snow in Europe. The same meridonal jets that probably led to the SSW, also give cold one side warm the other with storms and rain under the jet weathers. What has caused the huge Rossby waves in the jet streams? Possibly a quiescent sun with less high frequency radiation... The sun is a lot quieter than expected, so another 'experiment' is being validated will the quiescence and long solar cycle lead to cooler weather - as it has in the past. Which of the wide spread of forecasts for the Solar activity will prove right? From just about the same, to back up to SC23 level to a plunge into inactivity? Which do I consider most likely? I think things will get cooler but that there are many with colors nailed to the mast of dangerous warming and they are the holders of the metrics and recordings. So we may have to wait until there is no fudge big enough. One thing I am certain of is that I no longer trust scientists.
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Post by missouriboy on Feb 27, 2018 20:22:30 GMT
One thing I am certain of is that I no longer trust scientists.
I believe that many shed that title in all but name many years ago. Others such as Judith Curry maintained their professional honor, if not their positions, by insisting that skepticism is a primary hallmark of science.
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Post by nautonnier on Feb 28, 2018 0:44:23 GMT
One thing I am certain of is that I no longer trust scientists.I believe that many shed that title in all but name many years ago. Others such as Judith Curry maintained their professional honor, if not their positions, by insisting that skepticism is a primary hallmark of science. But even Judith Curry was harried out of her tenured post.
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Post by Ratty on Feb 28, 2018 0:50:50 GMT
One thing I am certain of is that I no longer trust scientists.I believe that many shed that title in all but name many years ago. Others such as Judith Curry maintained their professional honor, if not their positions, by insisting that skepticism is a primary hallmark of science. But even Judith Curry was harried out of her tenured post. Same with Bob Carter and Murry Salby and likely to happen to Peter Ridd. There are others.
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Post by missouriboy on Feb 28, 2018 0:56:34 GMT
One thing I am certain of is that I no longer trust scientists.I believe that many shed that title in all but name many years ago. Others such as Judith Curry maintained their professional honor, if not their positions, by insisting that skepticism is a primary hallmark of science. But even Judith Curry was harried out of her tenured post. That's what I meant with "if not their positions".
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