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Post by missouriboy on Oct 8, 2020 21:45:27 GMT
Thanks. Now if I only had my old GIS software.  |
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Post by acidohm on Oct 9, 2020 4:49:14 GMT
Thanks. Now if I only had my old GIS software. Sorry Missouriboy 😞 So used to you producing great graphs but i have no idea what it entails! What format do you use? |
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Post by nautonnier on Oct 19, 2020 20:47:29 GMT
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Post by missouriboy on Oct 19, 2020 21:08:13 GMT
Thanks. Now if I only had my old GIS software. Sorry Missouriboy 😞 So used to you producing great graphs but i have no idea what it entails! What format do you use? Missed this one. If I had my old (expensive) software ... or spent the time finding, installing and learning some of the semi-freeware out there, I would take these files in their gridded format, along with SST and SSTA grids, and other data sets. And analyze. Big job.  May be beyond hobby status. |
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Post by missouriboy on Oct 19, 2020 21:58:55 GMT
Copied from Twitter ...   |
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Post by missouriboy on Oct 19, 2020 22:08:11 GMT
So about 2030, we will see the bottom of this cycle again. It should be testable shortly ... geologically speaking. CO2 is going to have a hard decade coming up. |
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Post by missouriboy on Oct 22, 2020 17:29:34 GMT
This will really NOT fly with the Green New Deal. Expect payback. This should be saved in case this site and any of us are still around in a few years to check it's progress. While these projections do not show dramatic change for the region, and Cliff should get a few attaboys for the effort, the problems with climate models is the same as it's always been ... a reliance on certain key assumption and techniques that, if changed, may dramatically affect the output. - the assumption that CO2 is a large positive climate driver and that you know what that is. - backcasting to a base period to keep the projection from "taking off for the stars". If number 1 turns out to be overestimated, or if currently poorly-known driving forces change the relevance of the near past as a key to the future (the old geologic principle of uniformitarianism), then .... its hard to model for "you don't know what you don't know". |
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Post by nautonnier on Oct 22, 2020 17:48:25 GMT
This will really NOT fly with the Green New Deal. Expect payback. This should be saved in case this site and any of us are still around in a few years to check it's progress. While these projections do not show dramatic change for the region, and Cliff should get a few attaboys for the effort, the problems with climate models is the same as it's always been ... a reliance on certain key assumption and techniques that, if changed, may dramatically affect the output. - the assumption that CO2 is a large positive climate driver and that you know what that is. - backcasting to a base period to keep the projection from "taking off for the stars". If number 1 turns out to be overestimated, or if currently poorly-known driving forces change the relevance of the near past as a key to the future (the old geologic principle of uniformitarianism), then .... its hard to model for "you don't know what you don't know". My problem with it, was that Cliff assumes that the Sun will remain constant not just TSI but all the other electromagnetic outputs. If the Sun were to alter its outputs by a fractional amount or something changes in the Earth's reaction to those outputs all bets are off. |
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Post by flearider on Oct 23, 2020 12:45:22 GMT
well according to the news the uk will receive snow next week. early oct wow .. just like when i was in canada .. now where did that gulf stream go ..  |
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Post by missouriboy on Oct 23, 2020 15:55:29 GMT
well according to the news the uk will receive snow next week. early oct wow .. just like when i was in canada .. now where did that gulf stream go .. It seems to have gone over the hill about 2010 and may now be accelerating ... right on time?   |
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Post by duwayne on Oct 23, 2020 17:02:13 GMT
Missouriboy, I see you use Dropbox for posting your charts. I tried the free version of Dropbox and used it once successfully to post here, but it didn't work the second time. Are you using the free version?
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Post by missouriboy on Oct 23, 2020 17:18:47 GMT
Missouriboy, I see you use Dropbox for posting your charts. I tried the free version of Dropbox and used it once successfully to post here, but it didn't work the second time. Are you using the free version? Yes. I'm too cheap to pay for one. So far it has worked well. |
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Post by Ratty on Oct 23, 2020 17:56:42 GMT
Missouriboy, I see you use Dropbox for posting your charts. I tried the free version of Dropbox and used it once successfully to post here, but it didn't work the second time. Are you using the free version? Duwayne, the trick is to manually replace "http:// www.dropbox.com ...." with "http:// dl.dropbox.com ....." H/T to Blue. |
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Post by acidohm on Oct 23, 2020 21:03:37 GMT
well according to the news the uk will receive snow next week. early oct wow .. just like when i was in canada .. now where did that gulf stream go .. Where?? Outlook is zonal, and its late October now Flea 😉 |
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Post by Ratty on Oct 23, 2020 23:04:50 GMT
well according to the news the uk will receive snow next week. early oct wow .. just like when i was in canada .. now where did that gulf stream go .. Where?? Outlook is zonal, and its late October now Flea 😉 Spoilsport!  |
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May be beyond hobby status.
