The problem is the 'confirmed' requires someone to be able to do the 'confirming' and then be able to publish it to someone who can collate and publish the figures. From the leaking news - it would seem that there are no more test kits; doctors are overworked and also succumbing; numbers are overwhelming the capacity of the system. This means that the nice calm mathematical models will significantly undercount and could lead to optimism that is not justified.
I must admit with influenza killing an order of magnitude more people every winter, the Chinese response seemed overkill ( ) but perhaps they know more than they are willing to share with outside countries.
“The day will come when the man at the telephone will be able to see the distant person to whom he is speaking.” Alexander Graham Bell 1906
Yes there are a few aspects to this which elude rock solid fact.
That essentially 0 information from the inhabitants of china works its way back to my digital interactions is either down to my complete ineptitude, or a massive blackout, or perhaps my lack of use of chinese characters 🤔 Even then, if there were images of peoples heads exploding, pretty sure we'd all be seeing them by now. However theres a reason 50million are in quarantine, and we just dont appear to be hearing from them....
Then theres the official records, given to us by the government that isolated millions of its inhabtants and seemingly prevents them from communicating.
Since disturbing, but unverifyable clips of people falling in the street have ceased as abruptly as they started, nothing further has appeared all today. This is a day by day event tho. As with most things these days, the world has never experienced a situation like this where information has the potential to spread so rapidly. Even during riots in HK, masses of footage spread rapidly.
Meanwhile, any infection is spreading, apparantly rapidly, apparently undetectably, where its known millions from the epicentre avoided the quarantine. And we only suspect the effects are shit to awful.
I apologise but im not really ranting fearfully. Its a very intriguing situation which fulfills my need to analyse the heck out of things.
Obviously there is potential for a virus to quickly spread worldwide, but how the chinese are managing it, and what happens with these isolated cases cropping up off flights around the world is interesting.
Really tho, its how do the real facts get spread in parallel to the disease. Which travels faster? Clearly modern technology has the capacity to inform everyone on the globe pretty much instantly, however only if un-supressed. The virus is probably harder to supress and will travel slower.
I wonder which We'll meet first, the facts or the virus 🤷🏼♂️
No one will be surprised to hear that there is a worryingly wide range of problems associated with climate change. From extreme weather events to melting ice caps and the extinction of animal species - these have all been well-researched to fall somewhere in the range of ‘likely’ to ‘highly probable’. Perhaps not as obvious is the suddenly rise of the Corona virus and the flu, as a direct result of climate change.